Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Odds & How to Watch – Thursday, March 12

Two teams desperate to snap losing streaks meet Thursday night at FedExForum as the Dallas Mavericks (0‑8 in their last eight) face the Memphis Grizzlies (0‑5 in their last five). Dallas has failed to cover in six of those eight losses, while Memphis covered the spread in the first three defeats before dropping back‑to‑back double‑digit games in Brooklyn and Philadelphia.

The Grizzlies have dominated the season series, winning all three meetings by comfortable margins, including a 124‑105 rout late last month. Injuries loom large for both sides: Dallas is without Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively II, while Memphis is missing Ja Morant, Santi Aldama, and Brandon Clarke.

Oddsmakers have Dallas favored by five points despite their skid, with the total set at 239.5. This matchup is less about playoff positioning and more about pride, as both teams look to halt their slides and regain momentum.

Best Bet for Mavericks vs. Grizzlies

Best Bet: Grizzlies +5 (-110) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Memphis has owned this matchup, winning all three meetings this season by margins of 14, 6, and 19 points. Dallas has not only lost eight straight but also failed to cover in seven consecutive games against Memphis.

The Mavericks’ offense has sputtered, averaging just 110 points per game during their skid, while their defense has been porous, allowing 117.7 points per game. Memphis, despite their own struggles, has shown resilience at home, covering in four of their last five against Dallas at FedExForum.

The Grizzlies’ ability to generate balanced scoring, even without Morant, has kept them competitive, while Dallas’ reliance on Luka Doncic has become predictable. The Mavericks’ poor three‑point shooting (34.2%, 27th in the league) and free‑throw woes (74.4%, 29th) further limit their upside.

With both teams trending under in recent games, the spread offers more value than the total. Memphis catching five points at home, given the head‑to‑head dominance, is the sharper play.

Same‑Game Parlay Picks

3‑Leg SGP (Safer)

Luka Doncic 30+ points
Desmond Bane 20+ points
Game total under 239.5
Combined odds: +425

This safer parlay leans on the stars to hit their averages while banking on the under, which ties in with Dallas’ recent scoring struggles and Memphis’ ability to slow pace.

Longshot SGP

Jaren Jackson Jr. 3+ blocks
Luka Doncic triple‑double
Grizzlies win outright
Combined odds: +1200

The longshot parlay hinges on Jackson’s defensive impact, Doncic filling the stat sheet, and Memphis pulling off the upset. Given the Grizzlies’ season series dominance, this scenario is plausible.

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Odds & Top Player Props

Main Odds Table

Team	Spread	Moneyline	Total
Mavericks	-5 (-110)	-200	O 239.5 (-110)
Grizzlies	+5 (-110)	+165	U 239.5 (-110)

Player Props

Luka Doncic points O/U 31.5 (-115)
Desmond Bane points O/U 22.5 (+100)
Jaren Jackson Jr. blocks O/U 2.5 (-120)

Odds updated: March 12, 2026 – 12:00 p.m. ET. Lines may move throughout the day.

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Trends to Know for Mavericks vs. Grizzlies

Dallas is 0‑8 SU in its last 8 games.
Dallas is 0‑7 ATS in its last 7 games against Memphis.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas’ last 7 games.
Memphis is 5‑2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis’ last 7 home games.
Memphis is 4‑1 ATS in its last 5 home games vs. Dallas.

Latest Injuries & NBA Injury Report

Team	Player	Injury	Status
Mavericks	Moussa Cisse	Injury	Doubtful
Mavericks	Kyrie Irving	Injury	Out
Mavericks	Dereck Lively II	Injury	Out
Mavericks	John Poulakidas	Injury	Doubtful
Mavericks	Tyler Smith	Injury	Doubtful
Mavericks	Klay Thompson	Injury	Doubtful
Grizzlies	Santi Aldama	Injury	Out
Grizzlies	Kentavious Caldwell‑Pope	Injury	Out
Grizzlies	Brandon Clarke	Injury	Out
Grizzlies	Walter Clayton Jr.	Injury	Doubtful
Grizzlies	Cedric Coward	Injury	Doubtful
Grizzlies	Zach Edey	Injury	Out
Grizzlies	Taj Gibson	Injury	Doubtful
Grizzlies	Ty Jerome	Injury	Doubtful
Grizzlies	Ja Morant	Injury	Out
Grizzlies	Scotty Pippen Jr.	Injury	Out
Grizzlies	Cam Spencer	Injury	Questionable

FAQs

What time is Mavericks vs. Grizzlies?

The game tips off at 8:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 12.

Where is Mavericks vs. Grizzlies being played?

The matchup will be held at FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee.

How can I watch Mavericks vs. Grizzlies on TV and live stream?

The game will be broadcast regionally on FDSN OH, RESN, and WUAB, with streaming available via NBA League Pass.

Game Info Table

Detail	Info
Date	Thursday, March 12, 2026
Time	8:00 p.m. ET
Arena	FedExForum, Memphis, TN
TV/Streaming	FDSN OH / RESN / WUAB / NBA League Pass

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