Cristian’s breakout run faces its toughest test yet as Rybakina aims to stay sharp in Montreal.
Ninth seed Elena Rybakina is set to face unseeded Jaqueline Cristian in the third round of the National Bank Open in Montreal. Rybakina, who received a first-round bye, opened her campaign with a straight-sets win over Hailey Baptiste. Cristian, meanwhile, came through a gritty three-setter against wildcard Marina Stakusic before stunning 20th seed Linda Noskova in straight sets.
The Kazakh is rounding back into top form after a mid-season drop, having already picked up a title in Strasbourg over Liudmila Samsonova and made semifinal runs in Abu Dhabi, Dubai, and Washington. She also reached the quarterfinals in Berlin and London, proving her consistency on faster surfaces. Across 46 matches this year, Rybakina has struck 276 aces, won 73.4% of first-serve points, 43% on return, and converted 41.7% of break points.
8 pictures of Elena Rybakina yesterday night at Montreal, during her match against Baptiste, won in 2 sets.#NBO25
— Sebastien G. (@sebsharfam2) July 30, 2025
📸: Jimmie48 pic.twitter.com/zylPRXTr6S
Cristian, on the other hand, has had a rough year but shown signs of promise. The Romanian claimed the WTA 125 title in Puerto Vallarta, beating Linda Fruhvirtova in the final, and was runner-up in Rabat (upset by Maya Joint). She also reached the semifinals at the Iasi Open, though most other appearances ended in early exits. From 31 matches, she has tallied 65 aces, won 62.7% of first-serve points, 43.6% of return points, and converted 42.9% of break opportunities.
Elena Rybakina and Jaqueline Cristian are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Their first meeting came in 2019 at Bucharest, where Rybakina cruised through in straight sets. Next, Cristian hit back in 2022, leveling the rivalry with a straight-sets win of her own in Doha.
| Year | Event | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Doha | Round of 64 | Jaqueline Cristian | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 2019 | Bucharest | Round of 16 | Elena Rybakina | 6-1, 6-0 |
Powering onto the next 🔋
— wta (@WTA) July 29, 2025
Elena Rybakina defeats Baptiste in straight sets, 6-4, 6-3.#OBN25 pic.twitter.com/qprlRwMkTI
| Elena Rybakina | Category | Jaqueline Cristian |
| 12 | Current Ranking | 52 |
| 364-157 | Career W-L | 350-249 |
| 33-14 | YTD W-L | 24-16 |
| 9 | Career Titles | 0 |
| 1 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 0 |
Rybakina’s recent form and experience at the top level make her the clear front-runner, though Cristian’s gritty path to Round 3 shows she’s not here to fold. But still, the Russian-born Kazath has the edge.
Elena Rybakina after beating Baptiste in Montreal
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) July 29, 2025
“I’m really happy with the serve today. Hailey is a tough opponent. She has great hands. She always does some trick shots, which not many women on tour can do.. Really happy with how I played today” ❤️
pic.twitter.com/Z9V3d0bWKc
Prediction: Elena Rybakina in straight sets
At 1/8 odds, Rybakina is heavily favored, with Cristian’s 11/2 odds reflecting the uphill task against a top-10 player who is fully ready.
Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:
Elena Rybakina: 1/8
Jaqueline Cristian: 11/2
Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via BetMGM):
Total Games Over 19.5: 19/20
Total Games Under 19.5: 4/5
Total Sets Over 2.5: 47/20
Total Sets Under 2.5: 8/25
Rybakina to win: Set 1 – 1/5
Cristian to win: Set 1 – 7/2
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
Mandatory Image Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images
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mma I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.
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