Elena Rybakina won 87% points behind her first serve compared to Yastremska's 66% of the points.
The 9th-seeded, Elena Rybakina will take on Dayana Yastremska of Ukraine in the round of 16 tie in the National Bank Open 2025. Rybakina dispatched Jaqueline Cristian in straight sets to reach the fourth round, while Yastremska beat 8th-seed Emma Navarro 7-5, 6-4 to claim the R16 ticket. It will be the second meeting between these two players on the WTA tour.
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Elena Rybakina looked dominating in first two matches in Montreal and in previous game, she won the first set without conceding a game and later, clinched the second set in tie-break. The Kazakh ace secured a title Strasbourg and had a semifinal run in Abu Dhabi, Dubai, and Washington. She also reached the quarterfinals in Berlin and London but she is looking for a deep run in the hard-court season. In previous game, Rybakina was great on serve to win 89% (25/28) of her 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the second serve. The 26-year-old has a composed 35-14 win-loss record in 2025, including 19-8 on hard.
Elena Rybakina’s reaction after coming back from 1-4 in the 2nd set tiebreak against Jaqueline Cristian in Montreal.
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) August 1, 2025
She’s got that business-mode look in her eyes.
Ice in her veins. ❄️
🇰🇿🩵
pic.twitter.com/PfuJp8SFDK
Dayana Yastremska showed glimpses of hard-court brilliance after knocking out Emma Navarro in the round of 32. She was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners and won 72% (34/47) of the points behind her 1st serve. She hasn’t won a title this year but had a runner-up finish in Linz and Nottingham. Following a third-round exit in Wimbledon, the Ukrainian ace reached the semifinals in Bad Hamburg. Yastremska has posted a 30-16 W/L record this year, including 10-7 on hard. She dropped her best run in Montreal since 2019.
Elena Rybakina holds the 1-0 lead over Dayana Yastremska in the WTA H2H meetings. The Kazakh ace secured the straight-set victory in the 3rd round in at the Australian Open this year.
| Year | Event | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Australian Open | Third Round | Elena Rybakina | 6-3, 6-4 |
| Elena Rybakina | Category | Dayana Yastremska |
| 12 | Current Ranking | 52 |
| 365-157 | Career W-L | 350-249 |
| 34-14 | YTD W-L | 24-16 |
| 9 | Career Titles | 0 |
| 1 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 0 |
Elena Rybakina had a mid-season downfall but she maintained her momentum in the ongoing season. The Russian-born Kazakh won 87% points behind her first serve compared to Yastremska’s 66% of the points. Rybakina showed her strength on hard-court during the Citi DC Open and she will have a slight edge. Yastremska needs to bring her out the best version on this surface. We have seen how Rybakina controlled the Ukrainian ace in Melbourne earlier this year.
Prediction: Rybakina to win in straight sets.
At 1/4 odds, Rybakina is strong favorite in the R16 tie, with Cristian’s 7/2 odds reflecting the potential of causing one more upset. Still, the odds back the Kazakh ace to reach the quarterfinals.
Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:
Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via BetMGM):
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
Mandatory Credit: Eric Bolte-Imagn Images
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