Daniil Medvedev vs. Nuno Borges Head-to-Head, Prediction and Betting Odds for ATP Vienna Open 2025 Round-1

Medvedev won the title in Almaty before this event.

No. 6 seed Daniil Medvedev is set to face Nuno Borges in the 2025 ATP Erste Bank Open in Vienna. This Round of 32 clash will determine who advances to face either Corentin Moutet or Damir Dzumhur in the pre-quarterfinal stage. Can the Russian former World No. 1 back up his title in Almaty with another success? Today, we will break down the stats and odds for this contest – via BetMGM.

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Daniil Medvedev vs Nuno Borges Match Preview

Daniil Medvedev ended his run of two years without a title by capturing the trophy in Almaty last week. The 29-year-old has now won 21 trophies in 21 different cities, and improved his 2025 record to 38-21 in the process. Medvedev also reached the final in Halle, and semifinals in Marseille, Indian Wells, Beijing and Shanghai. Provided the Russian can attain the crown in Austria this week, he will significantly improve his chances of qualifying for the ATP Finals. Medvedev’s hard court record in 2025 includes 359 aces and 83% service games won.

🏆21 pic.twitter.com/SuPTiUNAzX
— Daniil Medvedev (@DaniilMedwed) October 19, 2025

Portugal’s Nuno Borges is currently ranked No. 47 in the world. The 28-year-old has a success rate of precisely 50% so far, which includes a semifinal in Auckland and quarterfinals in Marrakech and ‘s-Hertogenbosch. Since losing a gut-wrenching Round of 64 battle at the US Open, Borges has made two Round of 16 runs in Tokyo and Shanghai. He is going for his second career title at Vienna – after winning the Bastad title in 2024. The Portuguese No. 1 has won 71% points on first serve and 50% points on second serve throughout the year.

CAN YOU BELIEVE IT 🤯

Nuno Borges take a bow #RolexShanghaiMasters pic.twitter.com/ipj2heobPV
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) October 6, 2025

Daniil Medvedev vs Nuno Borges Head to Head Record

Medvedev leads the head-to-head against Borges by 3-0. All three previous meetings took place in 2024. While two of these encounters came at the Grand Slam level, Borges has won just one set across three matches.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2024 US Open	Round of 16	Daniil Medvedev	6-0 6-1 6-3
2024 Halle	Round of 32	Daniil Medvedev	7-6(4) 6-4
2024 Australian Open	Round of 16	Daniil Medvedev	6-3 7-6(4) 5-7 6-1

Daniil Medvedev vs Nuno Borges Career Comparison

Daniil Medvedev	Category	Nuno Borges
14	Current Ranking	47
417-178	Career W-L Record	68-78
38-21	YTD W-L Record	28-28
21	Career Titles	1
1	YTD Titles	0
1	Grand Slams	0

Daniil Medvedev vs Nuno Borges ATP Vienna Open 2025 Prediction

Generally on the indoor hard courts, Medvedev likes to use the pace generated by the groundstrokes of his opponents. He is a past winner of this tournament (2022) and also finished as the runner-up a year later (2023). Borges will need to take charge of his service games, and dominate the forehand to forehand exchanges. However, a lot will depend on whether he can deal with the depth and flatness of Medvedev’s shots.

Prediction: Daniil Medvedev in straight sets.

Daniil Medvedev vs Nuno Borges ATP Vienna Open 2025 Betting Odds

Medvedev (1/4) has a firm edge over Borges (29/10) in the ATP Erste Bank Open Vienna 2025 Round of 32 match-up. He is likely to win in straight sets, as per the pre-match market. According to the implied probability on the money line, the Russian has an 81% chance of advancing to the next round. Given below are the favorable odds (as per BetMGM):

Daniil Medvedev Win: 1/4
Nuno Borges Win: 29/10

Total Games >21.5: 41/50
Total Games <21.5: 10/11
Medvedev -4.5 (Game Handicap): 11/10
Borges +4.5 (Game Handicap): 7/10
Total Sets <2.5: 21/50
Medvedev to Win 2-0: 7/10
Medvedev -1.5 (Set Handicap): 8/11
Borges +1.5 (Set Handicap): 11/10
Total Number of Tiebreaks >0.5: 7/5

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

(Image Credits: Mike Frey, Imagn Images)

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.