Daniil Medvedev vs. Dalibor Svrcina Head-to-Head, Prediction and Betting Odds for ATP Shanghai Masters 2025 Round-2

Can Medvedev capitalize on Alcaraz’s withdrawal to make a deep run?

Former World No. 1 Daniil Medvedev returns to the 2025 Shanghai Masters, and begins his campaign with Round of 64 action against qualifier Dalibor Svrcina. The Russian superstar is a former winner of this tournament – having defeated the likes of Tsitsipas and Zverev en route to lifting the title in 2019. Meanwhile, Svrcina has already fallen prey to Medvedev at a 1000-level competition earlier this year. With the stakes getting higher in China, BetMGM will help us break down this contest on Saturday.

Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina Match Preview

After an exigent first half of the season, Daniil Medvedev seemed to find some form at the recently concluded China Open 2025. However, the 29-year-old had to retire in the semifinal stage against Tien. The World No. 18 is seeded 16th in Shanghai this week, which happens to be his lowest seeding at the event in a long time. Yet to complete a championship run so far this year, Medvedev’s best performances include a runner-up finish in Halle and semifinal outings at the Open 13, Indian Wells and Beijing. The 6’6” giant has won 75% first serve points and 50% second serve points in 2025.

Meddy moves on 💪

Daniil Medvedev starts his run in Toronto with a 7-6 6-4 victory over Dalibor Svrcina 🙌#NBO25 pic.twitter.com/5hAfKDXRtg
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) July 30, 2025

Having played just 13 tour-level main draw matches throughout his young career, Dalibor Svrcina improved his 2025 win-loss record to just over 50% in Round-1. The Czech youngster came through qualifying, before beating Wu 7-5 (RET.). Currently ranked No. 91 in the world, Svrcina made his Masters-1000 debut at the 2025 Canadian Open. He also reached his maiden ATP Tour quarterfinal in Hangzhou last month. A winner of five trophies on the ATP Challenger Tour, the 23-year-old has saved 57% break points throughout the course of his career.

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Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina Head to Head Record

1-0 is the head-to-head between Daniil Medvedev and Dalibor Svrcina, in favor of the former US Open champion. Medvedev comfortably overpowered the Czech rising star at the 2025 edition of the Toronto Masters.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2025 Toronto	Round of 64	Daniil Medvedev	7-6(3) 6-4

Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina Career Comparison

Daniil Medvedev	Category	Dalibor Svrcina
18	Current Ranking	91
409-177	Career W-L Record	6-7
30-20	YTD W-L Record	4-3
20	Career Titles	0
0	YTD Titles	0
1	Grand Slams	0

Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina ATP Shanghai Masters 2025 Prediction

Svrcina managed to conserve a considerable amount of energy due to his opening round match being cut short. The 23-year-old will come out all guns blazing on Saturday. However, the ATP Analytics showed that courts in Shanghai are playing slower than usual this year. This will play into the hands of Medvedev, who can break the rhythm of his opponent with ease. The Russian can power his way through his own service games, and will look to neutralize points and extend the rally length on return games to tire Svrcina out.

Prediction: Daniil Medvedev in straight sets.

Medvedev and Rublev sharing a laugh together in Shanghai 🥰@DaniilMedwed @AndreyRublev97 @SH_RolexMasters #RolexShanghaiMasters pic.twitter.com/4qhEDNdERL
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) October 3, 2025

Daniil Medvedev vs Dalibor Svrcina ATP Shanghai Masters 2025 Betting Odds

Medvedev (11/50) is a clear favorite in the ATP Shanghai Masters 2025 Round of 64 against Svrcina (13/4). According to the implied probability on the money line, Medvedev has an 84% chance of advancing to the Round of 32. Take a look at the odds (as per BetMGM):

Daniil Medvedev Win: 11/50
Dalibor Svrcina Win: 13/4

Total Games >/< 20.5: 22/25
Svrcina +4.5 (Game Handicap): 19/20
Medvedev -1.5 (Set Handicap): 13/20
Medvedev to Win 2-0: 16/25
Total Number of Tiebreaks <0.5: 33/100
Total Games By Svrcina <8.5: 23/25
Most Games to Medvedev (Yes): 11/50
Total Games in Set-1 <9.5: 8/11

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

(Image Credits: Dan Hamilton, Imagn Images)

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.