Daniil Medvedev celebrates a point over Holger Rune during the ATP semifinals at the BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells, Calif., Saturday, March 15, 2025.

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Daniil Medvedev vs. Alexander Bublik Head-to-Head, Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for Terra Wortmann Open 2025 Finals

Medvedev Seeks First Title of Season as Bublik Looks to Cap Off Giant-Killing Run

Daniil Medvedev celebrates a point over Holger Rune during the ATP semifinals at the BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells, Calif., Saturday, March 15, 2025.

Third seed Daniil Medvedev is set to take on Alexander Bublik in the final of the Terra Wortmann Open in Halle. The Russian advanced with straight-set wins over Daniel Altmaier, Quentin Halys, and Alex Michelsen before outlasting second seed Alexander Zverev in a tight three-set semifinal featuring back-to-back tiebreaks.

Bublik has had a dramatic run of his own, beginning with a routine win over Alexandre Muller. He then pulled off a major upset by defeating top seed Jannik Sinner in three sets, followed by wins over seventh seed Tomas Machac and eighth seed Karen Khachanov, both in hard-fought three-setters.

Bublik on facing Medvedev in Halle final

“You’re gonna play Daniil, who you haven’t beaten before…”

Bublik: “He’s basically the last Russian standing that I haven’t beaten in my life… I’ve beaten all of them… Daniil was my curse throughout my career. 💀But as a wise man once… pic.twitter.com/W6jpsCI3Ph
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) June 21, 2025

Daniil Medvedev vs. Alexander Bublik Preview

Medvedev has had a steady 2025 season, making semifinals in Marseille and Indian Wells and quarterfinals in Doha, Dubai, Madrid, and Libema, though a title still eludes him. He’s delivered solid numbers: 204 aces, 75% first-serve points won, 34% return points on first serve, and a 39% break point conversion from 265 chances.

Medvedev d. Zverev 7-6 6-7 6-4

Daniil reaches his 1st final of 2025

Zverev saved 3 match points in the 2nd, but Daniil didn’t let it rattle him in the 3rd

Never forget how good he is when it’s all clicking

✅39th final
✅48th top 10 win
✅2nd Halle final

Back on track

🐙 pic.twitter.com/ZSqIoBV96d
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) June 21, 2025

Bublik’s season has been patchy, highlighted by quarterfinals at Roland Garros and Open Occitanie. He’s found more success on the Challenger circuit, winning in Turin. Stat-wise, he’s tallied 263 aces, a 75% first-serve win rate and 39% break conversion, but his 25% return on first serves remains a weak spot.

BUBLIK CAN'T STOP 🔥

In the form of his life in Halle, Alexander Bublik defeats Karen Khachanov 4-6 7-6 6-4 to advance to the final on German grass

First final since Dubai 2024 🙌 pic.twitter.com/g5mMooI5FO
— We Are Tennis (@WeAreTennis) June 21, 2025

Daniil Medvedev vs. Alexander Bublik Head-to-Head Record

Daniil Medvedev leads Alexander Bublik 6-0 in their head-to-head, having dominated the matchup since 2016. He’s won six of those encounters in straight sets, with the only exception being a three-set comeback in Canada, 2021.

Bublik has come close to pushing Medvedev, notably forcing tiebreaks in both the 2021 Tokyo Olympics and their latest meeting in Madrid, but the result has remained unchanged, with Medvedev winning.

Year	Event	Round	Winner	Score
2024	Madrid	Round of 16	Daniil Medvedev	7–6(3), 6–4
2023	Dubai	Round of 16	Daniil Medvedev	6–4, 6–2
2021	Canada	Round of 32	Daniil Medvedev	4–6, 6–3, 6–4
2021	Tokyo Olympics	Round of 64	Daniil Medvedev	6–4, 7–6(8)
2021	Roland Garros	Round of 128	Daniil Medvedev	6–3, 6–3, 7–5
2016	St. Petersburg	Round of 32	Daniil Medvedev	6–4, 6–0

Daniil Medvedev vs. Alexander Bublik Comparison

Daniil Medvedev	Category	Alexander Bublik
11	Current Ranking	45
398-169	Career W-L	163-164
19-12	YTD W-L	11-14
20	Career Titles	4
1	Grand Slams	0
0	YTD Titles	0

Daniil Medvedev vs. Alexander Bublik Prediction

Medvedev may not have a title yet this season, but his consistency, clean stats, and 6-0 head-to-head dominance over Bublik make him the clear favorite. While Bublik has the firepower to trouble anyone, especially with his serve, he’s yet to solve the Medvedev puzzle.

Daniil Medvedev has won 4 consecutive matches against Alexander Zverev.

Daniil domination.

🐙 pic.twitter.com/DmuOoy13Um
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) June 21, 2025

Prediction: Daniil Medvedev in straight sets

Daniil Medvedev vs. Alexander Bublik Terra Wortmann Open 2025 Betting Odds

At 4/7, Medvedev is a justified favorite given his unbeaten record against Bublik and superior return numbers. Bublik at 27/20 offers decent value for a puncher’s chance, especially with 263 aces this season, but his low first-serve return rate makes it hard to back him confidently.

Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:

Daniil Medvedev: 4/7

Alexander Bublik: 27/20

Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via BetMGM):

Total Games Over 24.5: 22/25

Total Games Under 24.5: 9/10

Total Games won by Medvedev Over 13.5: 5/4

Total Games won by Bublik Over 12.5: 4/5

Total Sets Over 2.5: 6/5

Total Sets Under 2.5: 13/20

(All Odds According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Also Read: Casper Ruud Injury Update: Former World No. 2 Withdraws from Wimbledon With a Knee Injury

Alexander Bublik

Daniil Medvedev

Rudra Dubey

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I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.