Defending champion Coco Gauff is set to face 25th seed Leylah Fernandez in the third round of the China Open 2025. Both players received first-round byes. In their openers, Fernandez battled past Maria Sakkari, while Gauff powered through Kamilla Rakhimova in straight sets.
For Gauff, the season has been a mix of highs and inconsistencies. The American added a second Grand Slam to her resume at Roland Garros, rallying past Aryna Sabalenka in a dramatic final. She also reached consecutive finals in Madrid and Rome, with quarterfinal runs in both the Australian Open and Cincinnati. However, her campaign has been punctuated by early exits, including a disappointing fourth-round finish at the US Open. In 51 matches this season, Gauff has struck 148 aces, winning 69.1% of her first-serve points and 48.8% on return, while converting a strong 55% of her break points.
A warm welcome in Beijing 🤗 @CocoGauff #2025ChinaOpen pic.twitter.com/DibXCFG8hQ
— Tennis Channel (@TennisChannel) September 26, 2025
Fernandez, meanwhile, has had a more modest season. The Canadian managed quarterfinal appearances in Nottingham and Abu Dhabi but struggled to string together deep runs until Washington, where she rediscovered her form by defeating Anna Kalinskaya to capture her fourth career title and first since Hong Kong in 2023. At the US Open, she fell in the third round to Sabalenka in straight sets. Overall, Fernandez has played 42 matches this year, delivering 105 aces with a 66.2% first-serve win rate, 41.5% return points won, and a 41.3% break-point conversion rate.
STRAIGHT SETS 👊@leylahfernandez gets her first win in four attempts over Sakkari, 6-2, 6-0.#2025ChinaOpen pic.twitter.com/r9Bhd7gKUf
— wta (@WTA) September 26, 2025
Coco Gauff holds a 2-0 edge over Leylah Fernandez in their head-to-head. Both meetings came earlier this season, first at the Australian Open in Melbourne and then at the United Cup, where the American dismissed Fernandez in straight sets.
| Year | Event | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Australian Open | Round of 32 | Coco Gauff | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 2025 | United Cup | Round Robin | Coco Gauff | 6-3, 6-2 |
| Coco Gauff | Category | Leylah Fernandez |
| 3 | Current Ranking | 25 |
| 267-112 | Career W-L | 221-149 |
| 38-13 | YTD W-L | 24-21 |
| 10 | Career Titles | 4 |
| 2 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 1 |
Gauff’s mix of brilliance and inconsistency meets Fernandez’s fight to regain top-tier form. If Gauff brings her best, she should pull through, but Fernandez’s recent title run and shot-making flair give her a chance to push the American deeper than expected. Regardless, the egde stays with the American to win.
SEALED WITH AN ACE 🔥@CocoGauff begins her Beijing defense with a convincing 6-4, 6-0 win over Rakhimova 💪#2025ChinaOpen pic.twitter.com/BS8zqQdsd9
— wta (@WTA) September 26, 2025
Prediction: Coco Gauff in straight sets
With Coco Gauff at 2/7 and Leylah Fernandez at 13/5, the numbers point toward the defending champion. Gauff’s stronger head-to-head and recent clay and hard-court results give her the clear edge.
Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:
Coco Gauff: 2/7
Leylah Fernandez: 13/5
Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via BetMGM):
Total Sets Under 2.5: 21/50
Total Sets Over 2.5: 7/4
Total Games Under 17.5: 9/4
Total Games Over 17.5: 8/25
Set 1 Winner Gauff: 4/11
Set 1 Winner Fernandez: 41/20
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
Mandatory Image Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images
nfl
mma I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.
Read moreWe use cookies for ads and to improve your experience. By continuing on the site, you agree to our Privacy Policy. Read more about it