Winner to face Sabalenka or Pegula in the final.
No. 3 seed Coco Gauff will face No. 7 seed Jasmine Paolini in the 2025 Wuhan Open semifinal on Saturday. While Gauff is yet to drop a set throughout the tournament, Paolini’s ginormous victory over Iga Swiatek puts her in a strong position as well. The winner of this encounter will take on either Aryna Sabalenka or Jessica Pegula in the final. With the help of BetMGM, we look to provide you with the best preview and betting odds for this clash.
The Wuhan Open 2025 semifinal is set to be the fourth meeting between these two players in 2025. While it can be argued that the 21-year-old American has enjoyed a better season, Paolini is having a career-best campaign in terms of matches won. Despite Gauff’s success at Roland Garros, the 29-year-old Italian has earned two massive clay court wins over her counterpart this year. In terms of overall win-loss record, Gauff’s 45-14 record edges out the 41 wins and 16 losses of Paolini.
Coco Gauff started her season by reaching the Australian Open quarterfinals, after which she returned to form in the clay court swing. The World No. 3 reached two consecutive finals, before taking the extra leap of faith and winning the French Open. After going winless on grass, Gauff’s next solid outing was in Beijing – where she reached the semis. Meanwhile, Paolini’s solitary title came at Rome. The two-time Grand Slam finalist also reached the Cincinnati Open final, and three other tour-level semifinals.
Jasmine Paolini has a 3-2 head-to-head record against Coco Gauff. Although the American took an early lead in the rivalry by winning the first two matches, Paolini bounced back in 2025.
| Event | Round | Winner | Score |
| 2025 Cincinnati | Quarterfinal | Jasmine Paolini | 2-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2025 Rome | Final | Jasmine Paolini | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2025 Stuttgart | Quarterfinal | Jasmine Paolini | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023 Cincinnati | Quarterfinal | Coco Gauff | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2021 Adelaide | Round of 32 | Coco Gauff | 6-4 6-7(4) 6-2 |
| Coco Gauff | Category | Jasmine Paolini |
| 3 | Current Ranking | 7 |
| 274-113 | Career W-L Record | 427-286 |
| 45-14 | YTD W-L Record | 41-16 |
| 10 | Career Titles | 3 |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 1 |
| 2 | Grand Slams | 0 |
Both players are looking in fine form this week. Paolini minimized her unforced errors against Swiatek, and used the Pole’s pace against her. Meanwhile, Gauff has made vast improvements on her serve and forehand. This is going to be a battle of the counter-punch specialists – both players will adopt a deeper position on court and advance at the right opportunity. We are anticipating another three set thriller in this cherished rivalry.
Prediction: Coco Gauff in three sets.
Gauff (3/5) has a slight edge over Paolini (27/20) when it comes to the pre-match odds at the Wuhan Open 2025. According to the implied probability on the money line, the American has a 68% chance of advancing to Sunday’s final. Take a look at the odds (as per BetMGM):
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
(Image Credits: Sam Greene, Imagn Images)
