Paolini has beaten Gauff twice in 2025.
After coming through straight sets victories in their previous encounter, Coco Gauff and Jasmine Paolini are set to lock horns in the 2025 Cincinnati Open Quarterfinals on Friday. There is very little to separate these two players in terms of consistency on tour, as well as past rivalry. Can the home favourite and World No. 2 advance to the Cincinnati final four? Follow BetMGM to be updated with everything you need to know about the betting tips for tennis matches.
Despite her recent struggles on serve, Coco Gauff has looked like an immovable force in Cincinnati. Having received a walkover in Round-3, she has played just two matches thus far. Gauff’s season took off only in May, when she finished as the runner-up in Madrid. The following month, the 21-year-old captured her second major at Roland Garros. Since then, Gauff has struggled to string together a solid run of performances. She currently holds a 35-11 record so far this year.
19 – Since the Tier I/WTA-1000 format was introduced in 1990, Coco Gauff (19) is now the outright player with the third most quarterfinals in such events before turning 22. Solid. #CincyTennis | @CincyTennis @WTA @WTA_insider pic.twitter.com/9jn5JVgekC
— OptaAce (@OptaAce) August 14, 2025
One of the best players on the doubles circuit, Jasmine Paolini’s singles campaign has been bittersweet in 2025. Having reached the final in two Grand Slams last year, the World No. 9 has failed to notch another mind-boggling run this year. After reaching consecutive semis in Miami and Stuttgart, Paolini secured her one and only trophy at the Italian Open on home soil. The 29-year-old has beaten Sakkari, Krueger and Krejcikova without dropping a set en route to the last eight stage.
The head-to-head record between Coco Gauff and Jasmine Paolini is currently 2-2. While the American took an early lead in the duel, 2025 has belonged to Paolini.
| Event | Round | Winner | Score |
| 2025 Rome | Final | Jasmine Paolini | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2025 Stuttgart | Quarterfinal | Jasmine Paolini | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023 Cincinnati | Quarterfinal | Coco Gauff | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2021 Adelaide | Round of 32 | Coco Gauff | 6-4 6-7(4) 6-2 |
| Coco Gauff | Category | Jasmine Paolini |
| 2 | Current Ranking | 9 |
| 264-110 | Career W-L Record | 417-283 |
| 35-11 | YTD W-L Record | 31-13 |
| 10 | Career Titles | 3 |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 1 |
| 2 | Grand Slams | 0 |
Coco Gauff has managed to work on her serve – she hit just 3 doubles faults vs. Bronzetti – her lowest tally since the Roland Garros semifinal. While her counter-attacking game is second to none, her serve remains the variable that could alter the nature of this contest. Meanwhile, Paolini will look to keep the rallies short and intense. There is a high chance that she will adopt an attacking position on the American’s serve, and target the inconsistent forehand of the 21-year-old.
Prediction: Jasmine Paolini in three sets.
Coco and Jasmine are split in their head-to-head at 2-2. ⚔️
— Tennis Channel (@TennisChannel) August 14, 2025
Paolini won their last meeting in the Rome final, but Gauff was victorious when they last met in Cincinnati. 👀
Who wins this time around? 👇#CincyTennis pic.twitter.com/GPmyxx66mI
Gauff is a strong betting favourite ahead of her quarterfinal clash against Paolini. According to the implied probability on the money line, Gauff has a 62% chance of beating her opponent. Nonetheless, Paolini has been dealt with mixed cards when it comes to potentially grabbing a set. Here are the odds (as per BetMGM):
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
(Image Credits: Aaron Doster, Imagn Images)
A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.
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