On Tuesday, 05/13, the Cleveland Cavaliers (1-3) will host the Indiana Pacers (3-1) in Game 5 of the NBA Eastern Conference Semi-Finals. The Pacers punctured the Cavaliers’ series chances in Game 4 through a 20-point win(129-120). Will the Pacers close out the series in Game 5? Get total, spread, and player props predictions here.
The Cavaliers’ promising campaign may end here
Whatever could have gone wrong for the Cavs went wrong in Game 4. The Pacers jumped to a 38-23 lead in the first quarter to deflate the #1 seed in the East. They took it up a notch in the second quarter and were sitting at a mind-boggling 42-point lead a the end of the first half.
The game was already done there. But the basketball gods punished Cleveland for their poor performance further. Donovan Mitchell left the game at the end of the first half and didn’t return. Now the seriousness of his left ankle injury will be decided based on an MRI. It wouldn’t be surprising if he misses the next game.
Meanwhile, the Pacers proved that they aren’t dependent upon a single superstar like the Cavs. Myles Turner and Pascal Siakam combined for 41 points while Obi Toppin had 20 off the bench. Complete frontline demolition achieved. In contrast, the PF-C duo of Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley achieved just 12 points. The only good news(barely) was Darius Garland’s 21-point production after he had shot 3/11 in Game 3.
The Cavs committed 22 turnovers compared to just 10 by the Pacers. Indiana attempted 23 more shots, which offset the free throws disparity as the Cavs made 38 compared to 12 by Indiana. At any rate, the Pacers have all but sealed the series as Cleveland may see a premature end to their season.
Pacers Expected Starting Lineup
PG: Tyrese Haliburton | SG: Andrew Nembhard | SF: Aaron Nesmith | PF: Pascal Siakam | C: Myles Turner
Key bench players: SG: Benedict Mathurin, PG: TJ McConnell, SF: Jarace Walker, PF: Obi Toppin
Injuries/Updates: Isaiah Jackson is OUT for the game.
Cavaliers Expected Starting Lineup
PG: Darius Garland | SG: Sam Merrill | SF: Max Strus | PF: Evan Mobley | C: Jarrett Allen
Key bench players: SG: Ty Jerome, SF: DeAndre Hunter, SF: Sam Merrill.
Injuries/Updates: Donovan Mitchell MAY be OUT for the game.
This has expectedly been the highest-scoring series in the postseason. All the games have hit the 230s range. The total has gone “over” in all the cases as the Pacers have put in 120 or more in three of the four games.
The trend will probably hold in Game 4 even with Mitchell out. The bookmakers have stuck to their projections of the over/under being around 230.5. It is safer to go for “over”.
Myles Turner to score over 15.5 points: Turner is averaging 17.8 PPG for the series, going “over” the projected mark in three of the four games. He went “over” the mark in three of the five games during the last series, too. Thus, I expect him to continue the same.
Pascal Siakam to score over 17.5 points: Siakam had 21 points in Game 4, going for the “Over” in the second straight game. He had started slow with two “under” scores. He is usually a touch-and-go pick, still I see him scoring over 18 again.
Evan Mobley Over 30.5 Points+Assists+Rebounds: Mobley generated just a total of 15 in the three major categories during the last game. However, he has crossed the total of 30 in three of the last four games. I see him doing it again.
Main pick: Myles Turner O 15.5 points for -110 at BetMGM
The Pacers have crushed the Cavaliers’ spirit again. The Game 4 1st half must have created unprecedented pressure on the Cavs. But worse than that, they are not sure if their ace, Mitchell, will be ready for the game.
Clearly, Indiana is emerging as the favorite here. They are performing at an even higher level than they did during the ECF run during the last playoffs. Thus, I expect them to not only cover the +6.5 spread but go way over the “-” mark in their favor.
Betting Lines(BetMGM):
Safe Spread Pick: Money Line: Pacers for +220 at BetMGM
Photo Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-Imagn Images
nba Hi, I am Shubham. I am currently an NBA Predictions Writer on The Playoffs. I enjoy this job because it helps keep me in the loop about the game I love while fulfilling the pleasure I derive from stats. I got into NBA writing through social media interactions in the mid-2010s as I shared my takes on young talents such as D’Angelo Russell. I hope you enjoy reading my pieces as much as Dennis Rodman loved rebounding the basketball!
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