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Carlos Alcaraz vs. Taylor Fritz Head-to-Head, Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for Six Kings Slam 2025 Semifinals

Rudra Dubey

Alcaraz and Fritz Set for High-Stakes Semifinal Clash at Six Kings Slams 2025

Carlos Alcaraz is set to clash with Taylor Fritz in the semifinals of the Six Kings Slams 2025. The Spaniard received a bye, while Fritz advanced by defeating Alexander Zverev in straight sets. Alcaraz comes in riding three consecutive titles in Cincinnati, the US Open, and Beijing, where he also upset Fritz in straight sets. His season has been dominant, with eight titles, including Roland Garros and the US Open, plus wins in Rotterdam, Monte Carlo, Rome and London, among others. 

He made final runs in Barcelona and Wimbledon too. Record-breaking performances across surfaces and his fierce rivalry with Jannik Sinner have defined his year. Statistically, he has fired 429 aces, won 74% of first-serve points, captured 35% on returns, and converted 45% of 688 break points.

Fritz has enjoyed the strongest season of his career, winning titles in Stuttgart over Alexander Zverev and Eastbourne against Jenson Brooksby, while reaching his first Grand Slam semifinal at Wimbledon, falling to Carlos Alcaraz. He also made semifinals in Miami and Toronto, with quarterfinal runs from Delray Beach to the US Open. Fritz played a key role in Team World’s Laver Cup win with surprise victories over Alcaraz and Zverev, reached the Beijing final before losing again to Alcaraz, and most recently exited in the second round in Shanghai. He has fired 778 aces, won 80% of first-serve points, and converted 42% of 409 break points.

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Taylor Fritz Head-to-Head Record

Carlos Alcaraz has largely dominated his clashes with Taylor Fritz, holding a 4-1 edge. Their first meeting came in Miami in 2023, with Alcaraz winning in straight sets, and he repeated the result at next year’s Laver Cup. This season, Fritz pushed back, claiming his first straight-sets win over Alcaraz at the Laver Cup after falling in four sets at Wimbledon. Their latest encounter in Beijing saw Alcaraz reassert control with another straight-sets victory.

YearEventRoundWinnerScore
2025TokyoFinalCarlos Alcaraz6-4, 6-4
2025Laver CupRound RobinTaylor Fritz6-3, 6-2
2025WimbledonSemifinalCarlos Alcaraz6-4, 5-7, 6-3, 7-6(6)
2024Laver CupRound RobinCarlos Alcaraz6-2, 7-5
2023MiamiQuarterfinalCarlos Alcaraz6-4, 6-2

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Taylor Fritz Comparison 

Carlos AlcarazCategoryTaylor Fritz
1Current Ranking4
276-63Career W-L334-209
67-7YTD W-L50-19
24Career Titles10
6Grand Slams0
8YTD Titles2

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Taylor Fritz Prediction

We predict Carlos Alcaraz to edge out Taylor Fritz in this Six Kings Slam semifinal. The Spaniard has been playing great tennis, and knows how to counter the American’s power game on hard courts. Their recent match-up in Tokyo will give the World No. 1 plenty of clarity and confidence.

Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets

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Carlos Alcaraz vs. Taylor Fritz Six Kings Slam 2025 Betting Odds

Alcaraz (1/5) is the favorite and Fritz (7/2) is the underdog for the 2025 Six Kings Slam semifinal. According to the implied probability on the money line, last year’s runner-up has a 73% chance of making it to the final again.

Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:

Carlos Alcaraz: 1/5

Taylor Fritz: 7/2

Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via BetMGM): 

Total Sets Under 2.5: 4/9

Total Sets Over 2.5: 17/10

Total Games Under 22.5: 4/5

Total Games Over 22.5: 49/50

Set 1 Winner Alcaraz: 8/25

Set 1 Winner Fritz: 49/20

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Mandatory Image Credit: David Gonzales-Imagn Images

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I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.

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