Carlos Alcaraz vs. Adam Walton Prediction, Odds and Best Bets (Australian Open 2026, Round of 128, January 18)

Looking at the betting odds for the World No. 1’s opener in Melbourne.

The world’s best ATP superstar, Carlos Alcaraz will start his quest for a Career Grand Slam on the opening evening at the Australian Open 2026. The Spanish sensation is set to battle Adam Walton of Australia in the Round of 128 on Rod Laver Arena. While Carlitos was knocked out in the quarterfinal stage in Melbourne Park last year, World No. 79 will be looking to cause an early upset.

Alcaraz and Walton met at the HSBC Championships 2025 in Queen’s Club. It happened to be one of the 22-year-old’s 71 wins last year – a tally that yielded eight trophies in total. A six-time Grand Slam champion, Alcaraz is on a mission to dethrone Jannik Sinner in Australia. Meanwhile, Walton has a tour-level record of 16-32. The 26-year-old lost in straight sets at the recently concluded Brisbane International 2026.

Alcaraz on Roger Federer saying he identifies with the way Carlos plays

"It was a great feeling… I agree with him. We said before Jannik is more similar to Djokovic in terms of tennis & his game. I could see myself a bit similar to Roger”pic.twitter.com/OyVgb9A3Z7
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) January 16, 2026

According to the tennis betting odds, Carlos Alcaraz has a probability of over 90% to win this encounter in straight sets. His odds of -10000 comfortably overhaul Walton’s +1400 in the pre-match moneyline on BetMGM. Here’s how we are betting on Carlos Alcaraz vs Adam Walton at the Australian Open, including our best bets, supporting odds and a set-score prop for bigger prices.

🚨 Four Aussies will begin their 2026 Australian Open campaign on Sunday:

Rod Laver Arena (2nd in Night Session)
🇦🇺 Adam Walton vs 🇪🇸 Carlos Alcaraz [1]

John Cain Arena – 5pm
🇦🇺 Jason Kubler [Q] vs 🇺🇸 Frances Tiafoe [29]

Kia Arena
11am – 🇦🇺 Talia Gibson [WC] vs Anna Blinkova… pic.twitter.com/8fm0xerj3W
— The First Serve (@TheFirstServeAU) January 16, 2026

Tournament & Round: Australian Open 2026, Round of 128
Surface: Outdoor Hard Court
Format: Men’s Singles, Best of Five Sets
Date & Start Time: January 18, 20:30 Local (Approx., Subject to Change)
Court: Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne
Best Bet: Total Games <27.5 @ -105 as per BetMGM

Carlos Alcaraz vs Adam Walton Betting Odds

Given below are the latest odds for Carlos Alcaraz vs Adam Walton from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.

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Market	BetMGM	FanDuel
Moneyline	Alcaraz (-10000), Walton (+1400)	Alcaraz (-10000), Walton (+3000)
Game Handicap	Alcaraz -9.5 (-110), Walton +9.5 (-118)	Alcaraz -9.5 (-134), Walton +9.5 (+102)
Total Games	>27.5 (-125), <27.5 (-105)	>27.5 (-110), <27.5 (-122)
Set Betting	Alcaraz 3-0 (-375)	Alcaraz 3-0 (-450)

Carlos Alcaraz vs Adam Walton Predictions & Picks

Our Pick: Total Games <27.5 at -105

No matter which statistic you look at, Alcaraz is the clear favorite to dominate this opening round duel. The Spaniard dropped just seven games and completed the win in 26 games at the Australian Open Round-1 in 2025. Against the hometown hero, Alcaraz will want to get the job done in quick time to retain some energy and make a statement for the rest of the playing field.

While their previous encounter wasn’t as lopsided as one would assume, the grass courts in London presented much faster court conditions. With the temperature being much higher and the ball travelling much slower through the air in the night session, expect the World No. 1 to toy with his opponent. Keeping 6-3 as the average set score, a bet on the total games going under 27.5 could prove to be a wise choice.

Carlos Alcaraz Recent Form

Nitto ATP Finals 2025: Final
Paris Masters 2025: Round of 32
Japan Open 2025: Winner
Laver Cup 2025: Runner-Up
US Open 2025: Winner

Adam Walton Recent Form

Brisbane International 2026: Round of 32
Hellenic Championship 2025: Round of 32
Paris Masters 2025: Qualifying
Swiss Indoors Basel 2025: Qualifying
Almaty Open 2025: Round of 16

Carlos Alcaraz vs Adam Walton Head to Head Record

The head-to-head between Carlos Alcaraz and Adam Walton is 1-0 in favor of the top seed. They are yet to face one another on this surface.

Clutch Carlitos combo 🥊

Drawing in with the slice, finishing off with the lob 🆙@carlosalcaraz #HSBCChampionships pic.twitter.com/mkJXV4QfLg
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) June 17, 2025

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2025 Queen’s Club	Round of 32	Carlos Alcaraz	6-4 7-6(4)

How to Watch Carlos Alcaraz vs Adam Walton at the Australian Open 2026?

The Australian Open 2026 can be viewed live on a variety of streaming platforms and TV channels across the world. This includes Tennis Channel, Stan Sport, ESPN International, TSN, beIN Sports, SuperSport, Canal+, Sony Sports, Eurosport and TNT Sports – depending on where you are watching from.

Date	January 18, 2026
Time	20:30 Local (Approx.)
Tournament	Australian Open 2026, Round of 128
Surface	Outdoor Hard Court
Court	Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne
TV/Streaming	Tennis Channel, Stan Sport, ESPN International, TSN, beIN Sports, SuperSport, Canal+, Sony Sports, Eurosport, TNT Sports

(Image Credits: Mike Frey, Imagn Images)

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.