Looking at the betting odds for the World No. 1’s opener in Melbourne.
The world’s best ATP superstar, Carlos Alcaraz will start his quest for a Career Grand Slam on the opening evening at the Australian Open 2026. The Spanish sensation is set to battle Adam Walton of Australia in the Round of 128 on Rod Laver Arena. While Carlitos was knocked out in the quarterfinal stage in Melbourne Park last year, World No. 79 will be looking to cause an early upset.
Alcaraz and Walton met at the HSBC Championships 2025 in Queen’s Club. It happened to be one of the 22-year-old’s 71 wins last year – a tally that yielded eight trophies in total. A six-time Grand Slam champion, Alcaraz is on a mission to dethrone Jannik Sinner in Australia. Meanwhile, Walton has a tour-level record of 16-32. The 26-year-old lost in straight sets at the recently concluded Brisbane International 2026.
According to the tennis betting odds, Carlos Alcaraz has a probability of over 90% to win this encounter in straight sets. His odds of -10000 comfortably overhaul Walton’s +1400 in the pre-match moneyline on BetMGM. Here’s how we are betting on Carlos Alcaraz vs Adam Walton at the Australian Open, including our best bets, supporting odds and a set-score prop for bigger prices.
Given below are the latest odds for Carlos Alcaraz vs Adam Walton from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.
| Market | BetMGM | FanDuel |
| Moneyline | Alcaraz (-10000), Walton (+1400) | Alcaraz (-10000), Walton (+3000) |
| Game Handicap | Alcaraz -9.5 (-110), Walton +9.5 (-118) | Alcaraz -9.5 (-134), Walton +9.5 (+102) |
| Total Games | >27.5 (-125), <27.5 (-105) | >27.5 (-110), <27.5 (-122) |
| Set Betting | Alcaraz 3-0 (-375) | Alcaraz 3-0 (-450) |
Our Pick: Total Games <27.5 at -105
No matter which statistic you look at, Alcaraz is the clear favorite to dominate this opening round duel. The Spaniard dropped just seven games and completed the win in 26 games at the Australian Open Round-1 in 2025. Against the hometown hero, Alcaraz will want to get the job done in quick time to retain some energy and make a statement for the rest of the playing field.
While their previous encounter wasn’t as lopsided as one would assume, the grass courts in London presented much faster court conditions. With the temperature being much higher and the ball travelling much slower through the air in the night session, expect the World No. 1 to toy with his opponent. Keeping 6-3 as the average set score, a bet on the total games going under 27.5 could prove to be a wise choice.
The head-to-head between Carlos Alcaraz and Adam Walton is 1-0 in favor of the top seed. They are yet to face one another on this surface.
| Event | Round | Winner | Score |
| 2025 Queen’s Club | Round of 32 | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-4 7-6(4) |
The Australian Open 2026 can be viewed live on a variety of streaming platforms and TV channels across the world. This includes Tennis Channel, Stan Sport, ESPN International, TSN, beIN Sports, SuperSport, Canal+, Sony Sports, Eurosport and TNT Sports – depending on where you are watching from.
| Date | January 18, 2026 |
| Time | 20:30 Local (Approx.) |
| Tournament | Australian Open 2026, Round of 128 |
| Surface | Outdoor Hard Court |
| Court | Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne |
| TV/Streaming | Tennis Channel, Stan Sport, ESPN International, TSN, beIN Sports, SuperSport, Canal+, Sony Sports, Eurosport, TNT Sports |
(Image Credits: Mike Frey, Imagn Images)