Aug 16, 2024; Cincinnati, OH, USA; Carlos Alcaraz of Spain reacts to a point during his match against Gael Monfils of France on day five of the Cincinnati Open.

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Carlos Alcaraz vs. Damir Dzumhur Head-to-Head, Prediction and Betting Odds for ATP Cincinnati Open 2025 Round-2

Winner to face Griekspoor or Medjedovic in Round-3.

Aug 16, 2024; Cincinnati, OH, USA; Carlos Alcaraz of Spain reacts to a point during his match against Gael Monfils of France on day five of the Cincinnati Open.

Returning to the battlefield for the first time since losing the Wimbledon final, World No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz faces Damir Dzumhur in the 2025 Cincinnati Open Round of 64 on Sunday. The Spaniard was knocked out in this very stage at last year’s event, meaning that he has plenty of points to gain and close the gap on Jannik Sinner. Can Dzumhur stop the 22-year-old bull in Ohio? Continue reading as we collaborate with BetMGM to give you every angle of this tussle.

Carlos Alcaraz has undoubtedly been the standout performer of 2025. With five trophies and two finals to his name, the second seed comes into this tournament with an almost unfathomable 48-6 record. Despite being a two-time defending champion at SW19, Alcaraz relinquished his crown to World No. 1 Sinner. He has one hard court title so far, and will be looking to regain the US Open crown. Additionally, ‘Carlitos’ is also a former runner-up in Cincinnati.

A potent performer on the ATP circuit for over a decade now, Damir Dzumhur is a proud representation of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Ranked No. 56 in the world, Dzumhur edged out Bellucci of Italy 7-6(7) 7-6(5) in the Round of 128. The 33-year-old will be searching for his fifth Top-10 victory on Sunday – he has notched wins against the likes of Rafael Nadal and Alexander Zverev in the past. This year, Dzumhur’s best performance includes reaching the semifinal stage in Bucharest and Umag.

A fake-out handshake 😳

No love lost between Dzumhur & Bellucci 😬#MMOpen pic.twitter.com/cInM5p8ojv
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) April 24, 2025

Carlos Alcaraz vs Damir Dzumhur Head to Head Record

Carlos Alcaraz has a 1-0 head-to-head record against Damir Dzumhur, ahead of the Cincinnati Open Round-2.

Alcaraz and Dzumhur locked horns in the Round of 32 at Roland Garros 2025, before the Spaniard went on to win the title. It wasn’t a straightforward win for the now five-time Grand Slam champion by any means. He pulled through in four tightly contested sets to advance to the pre-quarterfinals. Sunday will mark the maiden hard court meeting between the two ATP mainstays.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2025 Roland Garros	Round of 32	Carlos Alcaraz	6-1 6-3 4-6 6-4

Carlos Alcaraz vs Damir Dzumhur Career Comparison

Carlos Alcaraz	Category	Damir Dzumhur
5	Grand Slams	0
21	ATP Singles Titles	3
0	ATP Doubles Titles	0
7	Masters-1000 Titles	0
Silver (Paris 2024)	Olympics Best Performance	R1 (Rio 2016)
No. 2	Current World Ranking	No. 56

Carlos Alcaraz vs Damir Dzumhur ATP Cincinnati Open 2025 Prediction

In the earlier rounds of tournaments, Alcaraz likes to ease into the draw. He could suffer from rust and lack of match practice, leading to unforced errors. However, the Spaniard will attempt multiple drop shots to test the speed and endurance of an ageing Dzumhur. There will be mid-court forehand exchanges that will be dominated by Alcaraz. Moreover, the Bosnian’s 45% success rate on second serve from his first match will not induce a lot of confidence in him.

Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Damir Dzumhur ATP Cincinnati Open 2025 Betting Odds

Alcaraz is the strong favourite in this Round of 64 against Dzumhur, according to the betting market. The money line suggests that the Spanish sensation has an 88% chance of advancing to the next round. Here’s all you need to know about what the numbers suggest (as per BetMGM):

Carlos Alcaraz Win: 1/40
Damir Dzumhur Win: 13/1

Total Games >19.5: 3/1
Alcaraz to Win 2-0: 2/13
Dzumhur to Win At Least 1 Set (Yes): 9/2

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

(Image Credits: Susan Mullane, Imagn Images)

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Carlos Alcaraz

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Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.