Brazil are set to host Chile at the Maracana in their final home fixture of the 2026 World Cup qualifiers. The Selecao have already secured their spot in the finals. Even so, this clash serves as a chance to end an inconsistent campaign on a positive note.
For Chile, this game marks the end of a nightmare qualifying journey that has seen them rooted to the bottom. With nothing but pride to play for, they aim to avoid finishing last. However, their recent form offers little encouragement.
Hoy juega #LaRoja 🇨🇱🙌
— Selección Chilena (@LaRoja) September 4, 2025
🆚🇧🇷
🏟️ Maracaná, Río de Janeiro.
🕣 20:30hrs. #SiempreConLaRoja pic.twitter.com/x4zIMxfRpY
| Bets | Status | Moneyline |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -130 |
| Total Shots | Over 25.5 | Evens |
| Total Shots on Target | Over 10.5 | +115 |
| Total Corners | Under 7.5 | +115 |
| Total Cards | Under 4.5 | +104 |
| Penalties in the Game | Yes | +184 |
Carlo Ancelotti is expected to rotate heavily, leaving stars like Vinicius Junior, Rodrygo, Endrick, and Eder Militao out of the squad. Barcelona’s Raphinha is the only La Liga player who was called up. Marquinhos is set to earn his 100th cap
Meanwhile Brazil’s defensive line includes seven players with just 29 combined appearances. Matheus Cunha is missing out due to injury. This has opened a starting opportunity for Richarlison or Joao Pedro in attack. Despite changes, Brazil remain strong favorites at home.
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Interim coach Nicolas Cordova has made sweeping changes after Chile’s disastrous campaign. He has excluded thirteen players from the previous squad. This includes Francisco Sierralta (suspended). Veterans Alexis Sanchez, Arturo Vidal, and Charles Aranguiz are among the omitted few, hinting at the end of an era.
All three goalkeepers selected are uncapped. Nine players are awaiting their international debut, with 20 having fewer than 10 caps. With such inexperience and poor form on the road – just one point and one goal in eight away qualifiers – Chile face a daunting task in Rio.
Despite Brazil’s obvious superiority, bookmakers suggest a cautious encounter, with odds favoring under 2.5 goals at -110. Analysts note both sides tend to keep matches tightly contested. Brazil’s qualifiers have often featured fewer goals, and Chile exhibited struggles in away goal-scoring. Statistical trend data shows under 2.5 goals has appeared in three of Brazil’s last five games and in four of Chile’s last five outings. This defensive dynamic supports backing a low-scoring fixture.
Barcelona winger Raphinha is the standout La Liga presence in Brazil’s squad. He is boasting key contributions at international level, including goals and assists in recent qualifiers. Given his role and opportunity to shine amid a rotated squad, betting on Raphinha to score at anytime at +125 aligns well with both form and value in this fixture.
With Matheus Cunha sidelined, the in-form Joao Pedro appears poised to lead Brazil’s attack alongside Richarlison. This will afford him significant offensive responsibility. His upward momentum at club level, coupled with increased pitch time, makes a goal or assist at -165 a coherent wager.
| Picks | Moneyline |
| Joao Pedro to score first | +370 |
| Richarlison to score anytime | -120 |
| Luiz Henrique to assist anytime | +150 |
| Raphinha to either score or assist | -160 |
| Felipe Loyola to see a card | +110 |
| Gabriel Magalhaes to commit one foul or more | -180 |
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Brazil’s qualification is settled. However, their home form demands respect. Especially following a vital 2-1 win in Santiago that proved critical in the campaign. Meanwhile, Chile arrive winless on the road, having managed just one point and one goal across all away qualifiers games.
With Brazil’s defense remaining solid and Chile’s struggles persisting, a 2-0 home win seems the most realistic outcome. It could become a controlled win to close Brazil’s Maracana chapter.
soccer Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.
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