Andreescu and Zheng battle for a quarterfinal spot in Rome.
The Italian Open has now reached the fourth round, where eighth-seeded Qinwen Zheng will face Bianca Andreescu, who entered the draw using a protected ranking. Zheng received a first-round bye and advanced comfortably, defeating Olga Danilovic and Magdalena Frech in straight sets.
Andreescu, on the other hand, began her campaign with a straight-sets win over wildcard Federica Urgesi. She then outlasted 20th seed Donna Vekic in a gritty three-set battle, followed by a commanding straight-sets victory over 11th seed Elena Rybakina in the third round.
Canadian Bianca Andreescu, back on the comeback trail, with a significant win in Rome, beating Elena Rybakina 6-2 6-4 to reach the R16 after Rybakina overpowered her on clay in Madrid
— Christopher Clarey 🇺🇸 🇫🇷 🇪🇸 (@christophclarey) May 11, 2025
Always thought Andreescu had great potential on clay#getty #tennis 🇨🇦 pic.twitter.com/NJ0WlAtiMU
Andreescu’s 2025 season got off to a rough start after emergency appendix surgery sidelined her for three months. She returned at the Rouen Open but was upset by Suzan Lamens in three sets. In Madrid, she earned one win before falling to Elena Rybakina, followed by another early loss to Kimberly Birrell at the Catalonia Open. Still, she found success in doubles there, winning the title with Aldila Sutjiadi against Leylah Fernandez and Lulu Sun.
Coming into the Italian Open, the Canadian had a 1-3 singles record for the year. Statistically, she held a 59.9% first-serve win rate and saved 71.4% of break points, though her first return points won (26.7%) suggest room for improvement. It’s important to note that Rome marks only her fourth event of the season, and the 2019 US Open champion is still working her way back.
Zheng d. Frech 6-3 6-2 in Rome
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) May 11, 2025
Good win for Qinwen.
We haven’t seen anywhere near her best tennis yet this year.
But if she finds it this week, we all know what she’s capable of.
She did win an Olympic Gold Medal on this surface after all. 👑
✅3rd consecutive Rome R16
🇨🇳♥️ pic.twitter.com/UICELR1W0t
Zheng, meanwhile, started slowly with early exits in Melbourne, Qatar, and Dubai but hit her stride at Indian Wells, reaching the quarterfinals before falling to world No. 2 Iga Swiatek. She followed it up with quarterfinal runs in Miami and Charleston, defeating quality opponents like Elise Mertens and Marta Kostyuk.
Most recently, she had an unexpected straight-sets loss to Anastasia Potapova in Madrid, but Zheng’s overall numbers remain strong: 71% of service games won, 33.1% return games won, and a 47.7% breakpoint conversion rate. Her form heading into Rome is statistically solid and mentally sharper.
Qinwen Zheng leads the head-to-head against Bianca Andreescu 1-0. Their only previous meeting came at the 2022 Toronto Open, where Zheng edged out the Canadian in three tightly contested sets. Now, at the Italian Open, the stage is set for a potential shift. Will Andreescu even the score, or will Zheng extend her lead?
| Year | Event | Round | Winner | Score |
| 2022 | Toronto Open | Round of 32 | Qinwen Zheng | 7–5, 5–7, 6–2 |
| Bianca Andreescu | Category | Qinwen Zheng |
| 121 | Ranking | 8 |
| 201-104 | Career W-L | 234-101 |
| 1-3 | YTD W-L | 9-7 |
| 3 | Career Titles | 5 |
| 1 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 0 | YTD Titles | 0 |
If Andreescu maintains her current form and confidence from recent wins, she could push Zheng to three sets, but Zheng’s consistency this season gives her the edge to advance.
Prediction: Qinwen Zheng in straight sets
Here are the betting odds according to BetMGM:
Bianca Andreescu: 14/5
Qinwen Zheng: 27/100
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