Atalanta BC will host Borussia Dortmund on Tuesday, February 24, 2026, at Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo for the second leg of their Champions League playoff tie. Trailing 2-0 from last week’s first leg in Germany, the Serie A side are facing a daunting assignment against the German giants, Borussia Dortmund.
Dortmund have a strong record when protecting aggregate leads. The winner will advance to the Round of 16 to face either Arsenal or Bayern Munich. Atalanta’s league form has been excellent in 2026. But inconsistencies in Europe and a blunt attacking display in the first leg now define this must-win scenario against an experienced European opponent.
You can find more of our soccer predictions on our main picks hub. Here’s how we’re betting Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund tonight, including our Best Bet, a Same-Game Parlay, and key trends to know.
Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund Match Details
Competition: Champions League
Date & kickoff: Wednesday, February 25, 2026 – 12:45 PM ET / 5:45 PM GT
Venue: Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo, Italy
Expected XIs: Atalanta 3-4-2-1 vs Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1
Best Bet for Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund
Our best bet for Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund is Serhou Guirassy to Score or Anytime at +110 (BetMGM) / +115 (FanDuel).
Serhou Guirassy opened the scoring in the first leg and bagged an assist as well on the same day. Now, he has four goals in this season’s competition. Across his last 23 Champions League appearances, Guirassy has contributed to 24 direct goal involvements.
That is the second-highest tally in Borussia Dortmund history behind Marco Reus. Atalanta conceded twice in Germany and have allowed multiple goals in three of their last five European matches. Their aggressive wing-back structure under Raffaele Palladino commits numbers forward.
Especially when they are chasing deficits. Dortmund have recorded ten different scorers this campaign. It’s evident that their distribution of attacking responsibility is wide. But Guirassy remains their primary focal point in high-leverage matches. So, relyig on him to either score or assist seems valuable.
Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Our pick: Borussia Dortmund to Win at +230 (BetMGM) / +230 (FanDuel)
The market has Atalanta as marginal home favourites, but based on situational and past records context, Borussia Dortmund could still get away with a win. Dortmund have won all of their last 10 UEFA knockout ties when leading by two goals after the first leg.
Their composure in managing aggregate advantages has consistently translated into disciplined second-leg performances. Atalanta’s domestic record in 2026 has also been impressive. They’ve registered eight wins and two draws across all competitions. This includes a comeback win against another Serie A giant Napoli on Sunday.
However, their Champions League numbers tell a different story. They have lost three straight European matches and generated just seven shots in the first leg. This is their lowest output in a knockout match in over four seasons. Meanwhile, Dortmhnd have been beaten only once in their last 30 Bundesliga fixtures.
They’ve also recently fought back for a 2-2 draw at RB Leipzig. However, Dortmund have lost five of their last eight games in Italy. Even so, while Dortmund have struggled defensively on certain Italian trips their aggregate cushion and superior knockout pedigree says they could manage to get the win.
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Same-Game Parlay (Bet Builder) for Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund
Bet $100 to Win $514.52 (FanDuel) Total Goals Under 3.5 (-205) + BTTS: Yes (-174) + Serhou Guirassy to Score or Assist (+115)
Considering they’ll be playing at home, even though they couldn’t find the back of the net in the first leg, Atalanta should score today. Dortmund have also conceded four goals in two separate Champions League away fixtures this season. So, their vulnerability on the road is evident. However, this clash could still see a controlled scoreline rather than a high-scoring one.
Under 3.5 goals accounts for that scenario. Atalanta will push and should even get goals but they may not be able to fully overturn the deficit. A 2-1 win for Dortmund seems absolutely plausible. Guirassy’s inclusion leverages his consistent European productivity and central role in Dortmund’s attacks.
Atalanta’s home matches in European tournaments this season have averaged under four total goals. Whereas, Dortmund’s aggregate advantage reduces the likelihood of a shootout. Both teams have scored in four of Atalanta’s last six Champions League fixtures, reinforcing BTTS viability. Guirassy’s consistency anchors the player-based leg. He has registered four Champions League goals this campaign. He has also been involved in nearly one goal per European appearance in recent past.
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Atalanta or Draw: -285 Borussia Dortmund or Draw: -145
Atalanta or Draw: -270 Borussia Dortmund or Draw: -155
Trends to Know for Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund
Head-to-head: Dortmund eliminated Atalanta 4-3 on aggregate in their previous European meeting during the 2017-18 Europa League.
Aggregate Control: Dortmund have progressed in 10 of 10 UEFA ties when leading by two goals after the first leg.
Italian Form: Borussia Dortmund have lost five of their last eight visits to Italy.
Domestic Momentum: Atalanta are unbeaten in domestic competition in 2026, recording eight wins and two draws.
European Concern: Atalanta have lost three consecutive Champions League matches and managed just seven shots in the first leg.
Latest Injuries & Lineup News for Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund
In soccer, injuries and rotations can drastically alter how a match plays out, especially when it comes to BTTS, totals, and goalscorer markets. Navigating through a few key injuries in this clash, both coaches will look to lineup their strongest XI. Here are the players who are either doubtful or are set to miss out:
Team
Player
Status
Notes
Atalanta
Giacomo Raspadori
Out
Hamstring
Atalanta
Charles De Ketelaere
Out
Knee
Borussia Dortmund
Niklas Sule
Out
Thigh
Borussia Dortmund
Emre Can
Out
Adductor
Borussia Dortmund
Filippo Mane
Out
Thigh
Reminder: Always check confirmed lineups 60–75 minutes before kickoff, especially for goalscorer and BTTS markets.
How to watch – quick Q&A
What time is Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund?
Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund kicks off at 12:45 PM ET on Wednesday, February 25, 2026 (5:45 PM local UK time).
Where is the match being played?
The match will be played at the Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, Italy.
How can I watch on TV / stream?
Broadcast rights vary by territory. In the US, the Champions League can be telecast on Paramount+. The match will be telecast on TNT Sports 3 in the UK. The match will also be available to stream on these broadcasters’ official websites.
Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.
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