Fighting with all their might for an European spot, Claudio Ranieri’s AS Roma will face one of the most important fixtures for the remainder of their season as they host Fiorentina at home on Sunday 4th of May.
The Serie A table still has a lot to decide in the neck to neck fight for European qualification spots, having the 4th and 8th spot separated by mere 3 points. Fiorentina despite a long list of injury concerns, are just a point behind Roma with a better goal difference, and are undefeated in the last 4.
Roma has had a significant share of good form while playing at home against the side from Florence, but there is all to play for in what might be the fortune deciding moment of the two club’s seasons.
Learn more about the odds, team news , picks and predictions for the thrilling Serie A clash between AS Roma and Fiorentina.
Where to watch Roma vs Fiorentina
Here is when and where to watch the clash between Roma and Fiorentina:
Date: 05/04/2025
Time: 12:00 pm ET
Location: Stadio Olimpico, Roma, Italy.
Where to watch: The match can be watched on Paramount+ and CBS Sports in the USA.
Roma vs Fiorentina Preview
In the reverse fixture on October at Florence, Fiorentina smashed the visitors 5-1 in an incredible all round performance led by their striker Moise Kean. Kean scored twice in that game along with Beltran, Bove and an own goal by Hummels in the 71st minute. Kouadio Kone’s lone goal could not make much difference as Palladino’s men could have easily made it much worse for Roma, if not for the 6 saves by Serbian goalie Mile Svilar.
AS Roma
A lot has changed since the Fiorentina away visit, specially with the management moving towards a new man to lead the squad in Claudio Ranieri after Ivan Juric. Roma are currently undefeated in last 6 matches but has only scored 5 in their last 5.
Coming on the back of two straight wins and very crucial 3 points against Inter Milan away at the San Siro, Roma could have possible decided the fate of the Scudetto last week. With every game from now on feeling like a final, Roma does not have any scope to slip, and this week they could again shape how the table will look at the end of the season.
Paolo Dybala out for the rest of season was a big blow to the squad, with Dybala still being the most creative player for the team statistically- most big chances created (8). But tallied with recent form and grit to finish as high as possible, Roma will go into this fixture as the slight favourites at home.
Predicted Starting XI: Svilar, Celik, Mancini, N’dicka, Soule, Cristante, Kone, Pellegrini, Angelino, Dovbyk, Shomurodov.
Fiorentina
Fiorentina just lost their first leg in the Conference league semi finals 2-1 away against Spanish side Real Betis, and will take them on in the return leg at home on Thursday May 8th. Hence Palladino’s side will have one eye on the European prize and other on the qualification through Serie A table, making things tougher aligned with their widespread injury concerns.
Their away form too isn’t exactly how the purple side would have wanted, managing just 22 points of 16 games on the road, winning just 6 and drawing in 4.
Florentina have scored 7 goals in their last 5 and just like Dybala for Roma, Florentina too misses out on their most creative player Dodo, who created the most big chances in the season for the side.
Predicted Starting XI: De Gea, Pongracic, Comuzzo, Ranieri, Parisi, Mandragora, Adili, Fagioli, Gosens, Gudmundsson, Beltran
Roma vs Fiorentina Under/ Over Predictions:
The Playoffs aim to facilitate the safest bets for the game. Have a look at the predictions for the game below.
Total goals over 2.5 @ -105 (MGM Bet): With both teams fighting at a peculiar part of the table where almost anything can happen in a matter of seconds, Roma and Fiorentina might just go into this fixture with an eye on the goal difference section of the table. The high scoring recent history of the game in the first leg earlier this season is another proof that both this clubs are quite capable of entertaining the audience if things start falling in place. Beltran and Gudmundsson in the attacking department of Fiorentina up against Shomurodov and Dovbyk in the attacking front of Roma will make things interesting for both the team’s backlines.
Roma vs Fiorentina Player picks
Artem Dovbyk (To score a goal anytime @+130 as per Fan Duel):
Artem Dovbyk, the Ukrainian centre forward has scored 11 goals and 2 assists in the competition so far. His prolific off the ball movements and hard-hitting left foot might see him get past the guards of David De Gea and seek revenge for the humiliation at Florence earlier this season. The 27 year old partner of Shomurodov form a spear headed front 2, backed by the packed midfield setup by Ranieri, which saw them get past the then league leaders Inter Milan on away turf.
Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction
While Fiorentina has had their say in the earlier meeting, their focus will still be on clinching a trophy by the end of the season and the second leg of semi finals in the Conference league is far from over. To upturn their 1 goal deficit they will have to save some gas for midfield, and paired with Roma’s incredible results in recent form, the home side have a good chance to capitalise at this crunch hour.
Our Final Prediction: A 2-1 win for the home side will see them knock on the doors of top 4 or even get them sit on the fourth spot, while Fiorentina coupled with their injury concerns and European quest, will not have enough on the Roman side.
