Can Pegula break Sabalenka’s 20-0 streak in Wuhan?
World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka and World No. 6 Jessica Pegula will battle it out in a rematch of this year’s US Open semifinal, at the 2025 WTA Wuhan Open. Although the American won her first encounter against the current top seed, she is yet to claim victory over Sabalenka in two years. The Belarusian is unbeaten in Wuhan, and will be determined to keep her streak alive. Today, we look to break down this contest for you, and give you the best betting odds (via BetMGM).
World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka has never lost a match at the Wuhan Open. Since her debut in 2018, the 27-year-old has an unbeaten run of 20 matches so far. The 2025 season has marked some terrific highs and heartbreaking lows for the Belarusian powerhouse. After losing closely contested finals at the Australian Open and Roland Garros, she finally added to her Grand Slam tally at the 2025 US Open. Sabalenka has won four titles and reached four finals this year. She has won 62% service points across the 700+ service games played, and defeated long-time rival Elena Rybakina 6-3 6-3 to enter the semis.
2024 US Open runner-up Jessica Pegula has entered her third straight tour-level semifinal in Wuhan. The sixth seed has fought her way through the draw, winning all her matches in deciding sets thus far. Pegula has already asserted her dominance this year – winning titles in Austin, Charleston and Bad Homburg. The 31-year-old has a record of 49-18 so far, and will be searching for her 50th win of 2025 against Sabalenka. Having already qualified for the WTA Finals, a strong finish to the season will aid Pegula’s quest to return to the Top-3 in the rankings.
Sabalenka has an 8-2 record in the head-to-head against Pegula. Their most recent match-up was at the 2025 US Open, where the World No. 1 won an edge-of-the-seat thriller against the home favorite.
| Event | Round | Winner | Score |
| 2025 US Open | Semifinal | Aryna Sabalenka | 4-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025 Miami | Final | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2024 US Open | Final | Aryna Sabalenka | 7-5 7-5 |
| 2024 Cincinnati | Final | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2023 WTA Finals | Group Stage | Jessica Pegula | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2022 WTA Finals | Group Stage | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2022 Rome | Round of 16 | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2021 Madrid | Round of 16 | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2020 Roland Garros | Round of 128 | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2020 Cincinnati | Round of 16 | Jessica Pegula | 6-2 2-6 6-3 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | Category | Jessica Pegula |
| 1 | Current Ranking | 6 |
| 475-198 | Career W-L Record | 483-266 |
| 59-10 | YTD W-L Record | 49-18 |
| 21 | Career Titles | 9 |
| 4 | YTD Titles | 3 |
| 4 | Grand Slams | 0 |
There is no denying the fact that Aryna Sabalenka is the queen of Wuhan. The top seed has never lost a match at the venue, and knows how to blast her way through opposition. Against Rybakina, she opted for safer first serve returns and unleashed her array of groundstrokes once she was into the rally. Pegula will need to grab early breaks of serve to stay in the lead, as Sabalenka exerts her dominance as the set goes on. Owing to her weak second serve success rate of under 50%, the American will need to land a high percentage of first serves.
Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka in three sets.
Sabalenka (3/10) is a strong favorite against Pegula (5/2) in the pre-match betting market at the WTA Wuhan Open 2025. According to the implied probability on the money line, the Belarusian has a 76% chance of entering another final. Given below are all the important odds for the clash (as per BetMGM):
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
(Image Credits: Mike Frey, Imagn Images)
