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Aryna Sabalenka vs Marie Bouzkova Head-to-Head, Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for Wimbledon 2025 Round 2

Devavrat Kulkarni

Sabalenka continues her quest for a first final at Wimbledon

After shocking first-round exits of Coco Gauff and Jessica Pegula, day 3 brings action from the second round at the 2025 Wimbledon Championships. 

World number 1, Aryna Sabalenka, gets things started on Centre Court today with her second-round match against Marie Bouzkova, as she aims to reach her first-ever final at the year’s third Grand Slam.  

Aryna Sabalenka vs Marie Bouzkova Preview

The number one seed, Sabalenka, has been in tremendous form this year. Despite just the three titles to show for, she has made deep runs in many tournaments, including a recent loss in the final of Roland Garros. 

Having said that, grass courts have proven to be the toughest surface for her, where she currently holds a 30-18 win-loss record. Wimbledon is also the only major where she is yet to make the final, with her best finish being the semis in 2021 and 2023. 

The Belarusian looked quite comfortable in her first-round win over Carson Branstine, especially at the net, winning 11 of 13 points. She also broke her opponent thrice in just 5 attempts while allowing only one break point opportunity to Branstine.

At the other end of the net, Bouzkova has fared worse on grass, where she currently holds a 12-13 record. Her best result at Wimbledon came in 2022 when she reached the quarters. Overall, she hasn’t had the best of seasons this year with a win-loss record of just 15-13. 

The Czech player overcame Lulu Sun in the first round with a convincing straight-sets win. Her game was based more on maintaining consistency rather than an aggressive approach, as she hit just 16 winners but had only 11 unforced errors. 

Aryna Sabalenka vs Marie Bouzkova Head-to-Head Record

Sabalenka and Bouzkova will be playing for the fourth time today. Presently, the world number 1 holds a slight 2-1 lead in their head-to-head. The pair have never met on grass before, as all three matches have been contested on hard courts. 

YearEventRoundWinnerScore
2025Brisbane InternationalQuarterfinalsAryna Sabalenka6-3, 6-4
2024Washington OpenSemifinalsMarie Bouzkova6-4, 3-6, 6-3
2023Miami OpenRound of 32Aryna Sabalenka6-1, 6-2

Aryna Sabalenka vs Marie Bouzkova Comparison

Aryna SabalenkaCategoryMarie Bouzkova
1Ranking48
458-196Career W-L371-224
42-8YTD W-L15-13
20Career Titles1
3Grand Slams0
3YTD Titles 0

Aryna Sabalenka vs Marie Bouzkova Wimbledon Prediction

Bouzkova’s game is based more on consistency, strong court coverage, and a good baseline game. She is pretty good at returning the ball even against the best servers; however, Sabalenka’s power game could be too much to handle. 

With 171 aces this year and 76% service games won, along with break point conversion and return games won, both above 40%, Sabalenka will prove a tough opponent to overcome today.

Match Prediction: Sabalenka wins in straight sets

Aryna Sabalenka vs. Marie Bouzkova Wimbledon 2025 Betting Odds

As per BetMGM, Sabalenka is an overwhelming favorite with an 87% chance of winning this match. The money line for this match is also heavily in favor of the Belarusian. (Sourced from BetMGM). 

As for the number of games and sets, the betting odds by BetMGM reflect that Sabalenka is easily favored to win the match in straight sets. 

BetAryna SabalenkaMarie Bouzkova
Match Odds1/147/1

The over-under for the number of sets and games in this match is as follows: 

  • Total Sets – Over 2.5: 14/5
  • Total Sets – Under 2.5: 1/4
  • Total Games won by Sabalenka – Over 12.5: 11/8
  • Total Games won by Sabalenka – Under 12.5: 11/20
  • Marie Bouzkova to win at least one set: 11/5

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals, and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

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I am a content writer for the NFL team, and joined The Playoffs after working with Sportskeeda and NFL Analysis as an NFL writer. After starting my professional career as a French-to-English translator, working as a content writer is a new adventure for me. I started out in the sports media field for two main reasons: my love for sports in general, especially the NFL, NBA, and Tennis, as well as my passion for writing. The best part of this job is that I get to write a variety of pieces with the freedom to explore content from various angles. It also enables me to stay up to date with the sporting world, which otherwise can be difficult to do in the day-to-day grind. In a world full of chaos, sports unite and entertain like nothing else!

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