Andrey Rublev vs. Flavio Cobolli Head-to-Head, Prediction and Betting Odds for ATP China Open 2025 Round-1

Cobolli defeated Rublev earlier this year.

The Round of 32 at the 2025 China Open will feature a heavy-hitting contest, as Andrey Rublev and Flavio Cobolli will go hammer and tongs in Beijing. While Rublev is the No. 6 seed at the ATP-500 event, Cobolli is unseeded. The winner of this match will face either Francisco Cerundolo or Learner Tien in the pre-quarterfinal stage. Follow The Playoffs News and BetMGM for all the updates regarding the China Open.

Andrey Rublev vs Flavio Cobolli Match Preview

25 wins at US Open ⭐️@AndreyRublev97 takes out Prizmic in straight sets, 6-4 6-4 6-4 🙌@usopen | #USOpen pic.twitter.com/ePf2MWN2Vv
— ATP Tour (@atptour) August 26, 2025

Although Andrey Rublev has been a consistent performer on the ATP circuit over the years, he has been unable to overcome his Grand Slam quarterfinal curse. In 2025, he reached the Round of 16 at three out of the four majors. Rublev won the Qatar Open title in February, before going on a run of three tournaments without a win. He then finished as the runner-up in Hamburg, before making back-to-back quarterfinals in Toronto and Cincinnati. The 27-year-old has a success rate of 61.5% so far in the current season.

Flavio Cobolli hits a phenomenal backhand slice passing shot against João Fonseca at the Laver Cup.

Magician. 🇮🇹🪄

pic.twitter.com/qqmPL60sNr
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) September 20, 2025

One of the rising stars this year, Flavio Cobolli has left a permanent mark on the tour by capturing two trophies thus far. Currently ranked No. 25 in the world, the Italian has 27 wins and 20 losses in 2025. Cobolli completed championship runs in Bucharest and Hamburg, before achieving his career-best finishes at the last three majors of the year. A Wimbledon quarterfinalist from mid-2025, this flashy 23-year-old enters the China Open on the back of a Laver Cup defeat with Team Europe.

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Andrey Rublev vs Flavio Cobolli Head to Head Record

Flavio Cobolli leads the head-to-head against Andrey Rublev by 1-0. The Italian beat his Russian counterpart in the final of the 2025 Bitpanda Hamburg Open.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2025 Hamburg	Final	Flavio Cobolli	6-2 6-4

Andrey Rublev vs Flavio Cobolli Career Comparison

Andrey Rublev	Category	Flavio Cobolli
14	Current Ranking	25
367-204	Career W-L Record	68-58
32-20	YTD W-L Record	27-20
17	Career Titles	2
1	YTD Titles	2
0	Grand Slams	0

Andrey Rublev vs Flavio Cobolli ATP China Open 2025 Prediction

Cobolli may have gotten the better of Rublev in their previous match-up, but the China Open is a completely different proposition. The encounter will be staged on the faster hard courts, where Rublev has the best chances of succeeding. Both players are predominantly baseliners – while the Russian enjoys flat exchanges, his 23-year-old opponent has a vicious serve out wide which he uses to take charge. Unfortunately, Cobolli’s current form means that we expect Rublev to come through.

Prediction: Andrey Rublev in straight sets.

Andrey Rublev vs Flavio Cobolli ATP China Open 2025 Betting Odds

Rublev is the favorite and Cobolli is the underdog in this 2025 China Open Round of 32 in Beijing. According to the pre-match probability on the money line, the Russian has a 65% chance of advancing to the Round of 16. Given below are the match result odds, as well as set-wise betting (as per BetMGM):

Andrey Rublev Win: 1/2
Flavio Cobolli Win: 8/5

Total Games >22.5: 17/20
Total Games <22.5: 10/11
Total Sets <2.5: 11/20
Rublev -2.5 (Game Handicap): 10/13
Cobolli +1.5 (Set Handicap): 4/7
Total Number of Tiebreaks <0.5: 16/25
Cobolli to Win At Least 1 Set (Yes): 5/7
Rublev/Cobolli to Win Set-1 By 6-4: 5/1

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

(Image Credits: Robert Deutsch, Imagn Images)

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.