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Andrey Rublev vs. Hugo Gaston Preview, Prediction and Betting Odds for ATP National Bank Open 2025 Round-2

Sankalp Harikrishnan

Winner to face Sonego or Bu in Round-3.

No. 6 seed Andrey Rublev begins his 2025 Canadian Open campaign with a feisty Round of 64 match-up against Hugo Gaston of France. It will be the classic battle between power and counter-attack on Wednesday, as the two stars face off for the first time on the ATP Tour. Follow BetMGM to get all the accurate predictions and betting odds at the National Bank Open in Toronto.

Andrey Rublev vs Hugo Gaston Match Preview

World No. 11 Andrey Rublev was slayed by Round-2 giant killer Learner Tien at last week’s Citi DC Open. The 27-year-old Russian has won a solitary title in 2025 – at the Qatar Open in Doha. Rublev also reached the final in Hamburg, losing to Cobolli at the last hurdle. With a 23-17 record so far, the former Top-5 mainstay will be looking to improve his success ratio in the final stretch of the season. He is a four-time US Open quarterfinalist, and is defending runner-up points in Toronto this week.

On the other hand, Hugo Gaston entered the second round after Bellucci’s mid-match retirement on Monday. The Frenchman made his tour-level breakthrough upon reaching the Round of 16 at his home major in Roland Garros. Still young at 24-years-old, Gaston is searching for his maiden championship on the circuit. He is coming into this match with a 35% win ratio on the ATP Tour in 2025. A strong performance here in Canada will ensure a significant rise from his ranking of No. 126 in the world.

Andrey Rublev vs Hugo Gaston Career Comparison

Andrey RublevCategoryHugo Gaston
0Grand Slams0
17ATP Singles Titles0
4ATP Doubles Titles0
2Masters-1000 Titles0
R1 (Tokyo 2020)Olympics Best Performance
No. 11Current World RankingNo. 126

Andrey Rublev vs Hugo Gaston ATP National Bank Open 2025 Prediction

The Canadian Open happens to be one of the courts where Rublev thrives. The conditions mean that the Russian can swing freely through the line, and he does not have to worry too much about drop shots and slices due to the high bounce. Gaston will attempt to counter Rublev’s groundstrokes with some testing angles of his own. However, it doesn’t seem likely that the Frenchman will cause an upset on Grandstand Court.

Prediction: Andrey Rublev in straight sets.

Andrey Rublev vs Hugo Gaston ATP National Bank Open 2025 Betting Odds

According to the pre-match betting market, Rublev is a favourite against Gaston at the Canadian Open. He has a 72% chance of beating the underdog, as per the money line. Here are all the odds you need to know about before placing your bets (as per BetMGM):

  • Andrey Rublev Win: 1/10
  • Hugo Gaston Win: 13/2
  • Total Games <19.5: 22/25
  • Total Games By Gaston <7.5: 4/5
  • Gaston +5.5 (Game Handicap): 5/6
  • Total Number of Tiebreaks <0.5: 2/7
  • Rublev to Win 2-0: 33/100

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

(Image Credits: David Kirouac, Imagn Images)

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.

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