Alexander Zverev vs. Daniil Medvedev Head-to-Head, Prediction and Betting Odds for ATP Paris Masters 2025 Quarterfinal

Can the defending champ break his jinx against the former US Open winner?

In a repeat of the final from five years ago, age-old rivals Alexander Zverev and Daniil Medvedev will clash in the 2025 ATP Rolex Paris Masters quarterfinals. While the German is the defending champion at this event, he will find it difficult to overcome an opponent who has gotten the better of him more often than not. The winner of this match will face either Jannik Sinner or Ben Shelton in the semifinal stage. Our very own BetMGM is going to take you through all the betting odds for this contest today.

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Alexander Zverev vs Daniil Medvedev Match Preview

World No. 3 Alexander Zverev is the reigning trophy holder at Paris Bercy. The 28-year-old has a record of 53-22 this year, including a title in Munich. Sascha was also the runner-up at the Australian Open, and reached two consecutive semifinals in the lead up to the US Open. He entered this tournament on the back of another finalist trophy in Vienna. This week, Zverev has earned victories over Camilo Ugo and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. The German superstar is pounding 72% first serves in this year, winning 68% of these points.

Alexander Zverev was playing some amazing tennis on his way to the final eight in Paris 🔥🎾 pic.twitter.com/nGIHjwlg6S
— TNT Sports (@tntsports) October 31, 2025

After a worrisome first half of the season, Daniil Medvedev silenced his critics with a heroic effort at the Almaty Open. The Russian will be playing his fifth quarterfinal since Flushing Meadows on Friday, and 25th Masters-1000 quarterfinal overall. Currently ranked No. 13 in the world, he is fighting for the last spot in the Nitto ATP Finals. Apart from his solitary championship run, Medvedev also finished as the runner-up in Halle and semifinalist in four other events. The 29-year-old has a success rate of 65% on tour in 2025.

Medvedev d. Sonego 3-6 7-6 6-4

Daniil reaches Paris Masters QF for the 1st time since 2021

After an up and down season, it’s been great to see him steadying the ship these last few weeks

✅4th Masters QF of 2025
✅3rd Paris QF
✅25th Masters QF

2020 champ going strong

🐙 pic.twitter.com/LxFsQQsnap
— The Tennis Letter (@TheTennisLetter) October 30, 2025

Alexander Zverev vs Daniil Medvedev Head to Head Record

Daniil Medvedev has a convincing 14-7 record in the head-to-head against Alexander Zverev. The Russian has also won the last five encounters between the two players.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2025 Beijing	Quarterfinal	Daniil Medvedev	6-3 6-3
2025 Halle	Semifinal	Daniil Medvedev	7-6(3) 6-7(1) 6-4
2024 Australian Open	Semifinal	Daniil Medvedev	5-7 3-6 7-6(4) 7-6(5) 6-3
2023 ATP Finals	Round Robin	Daniil Medvedev	7-6(7) 6-4
2023 Beijing	Semifinal	Daniil Medvedev	6-4 6-3
2023 Cincinnati	Round of 16	Alexander Zverev	6-4 5-7 6-4
2023 Rome	Round of 16	Daniil Medvedev	6-2 7-6(3)
2023 Monte Carlo	Round of 16	Daniil Medvedev	3-6 7-5 7-6(7)
2023 Indian Wells	Round of 16	Daniil Medvedev	6-7(5) 7-6(5) 7-5
2021 ATP Finals	Final	Alexander Zverev	6-4 6-4
2021 ATP Finals	Round Robin	Daniil Medvedev	6-3 6-7(3) 7-6(6)
2021 Paris Masters	Semifinal	Daniil Medvedev	6-2 6-2
2021 ATP Cup	Semifinal	Daniil Medvedev	3-6 6-3 7-5
2020 ATP Finals	Round Robin	Daniil Medvedev	6-3 6-4
2020 Paris Masters	Final	Daniil Medvedev	5-7 6-4 6-1
2019 ATP Finals	Round Robin	Alexander Zverev	6-4 7-6(4)
2019 Shanghai	Final	Daniil Medvedev	6-4 6-1
2018 Toronto	Round of 16	Alexander Zverev	6-3 6-2
2018 Miami	Round of 64	Alexander Zverev	6-4 1-6 7-6(5)
2017 Washington	Quarterfinal	Alexander Zverev	6-2 6-4
2016 St. Petersburg	Round of 16	Alexander Zverev	6-3 7-5

Alexander Zverev vs Daniil Medvedev Career Comparison

Alexander Zverev	Category	Daniil Medvedev
3	Current Ranking	13
516-220	Career W-L Record	420-179
53-22	YTD W-L Record	41-22
24	Career Titles	21
1	YTD Titles	1
0	Grand Slams	1

Alexander Zverev vs Daniil Medvedev ATP Paris Masters 2025 Prediction

Whenever these two players come face to face, there is always a carnival of groundstrokes. Over the years, Zverev has struggled to land a knockout blow against his Russian counterpart. While the German has arguably been the better of the two at constructing points, Medvedev’s relentless counterpunch prowess and fighting mentality has given him the edge. One can expect plenty of tense baseline exchanges, and a three set battle where patience will prevail.

Prediction: Alexander Zverev in three sets.

Alexander Zverev vs Daniil Medvedev ATP Paris Masters 2025 Betting Odds

It's heating up in Paris 🔥#RolexParisMasters pic.twitter.com/2t2YsGAKQS
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) October 30, 2025

The odds for the match-up between Alexander Zverev and Daniil Medvedev are extremely tight ahead of the ATP Paris Masters 2025 quarterfinals. Here are all the best bets (as per BetMGM):

Alexander Zverev Win: Evens
Daniil Medvedev Win: 4/5

Total Games <23.5: 17/20
Medvedev -0.5 (Game Handicap): 17/20
Zverev +0.5 (Game Handicap): 10/11
Total Sets >2.5: 6/5
Total Number of Tiebreaks >0.5: 17/20
Both Players to Win At Least 1 Set (Yes): 3/10
Total Games in Set-1 >9.5: 8/15
Total Games in Set-2 <9.5: 11/8
Zverev or Medvedev to Win Set-1 By 6-4: 21/4

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

(Image Credits: Mike Frey, Imagn Images)

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.