$1,500
Can the defending champ break his jinx against the former US Open winner?
In a repeat of the final from five years ago, age-old rivals Alexander Zverev and Daniil Medvedev will clash in the 2025 ATP Rolex Paris Masters quarterfinals. While the German is the defending champion at this event, he will find it difficult to overcome an opponent who has gotten the better of him more often than not. The winner of this match will face either Jannik Sinner or Ben Shelton in the semifinal stage. Our very own BetMGM is going to take you through all the betting odds for this contest today.
World No. 3 Alexander Zverev is the reigning trophy holder at Paris Bercy. The 28-year-old has a record of 53-22 this year, including a title in Munich. Sascha was also the runner-up at the Australian Open, and reached two consecutive semifinals in the lead up to the US Open. He entered this tournament on the back of another finalist trophy in Vienna. This week, Zverev has earned victories over Camilo Ugo and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. The German superstar is pounding 72% first serves in this year, winning 68% of these points.
After a worrisome first half of the season, Daniil Medvedev silenced his critics with a heroic effort at the Almaty Open. The Russian will be playing his fifth quarterfinal since Flushing Meadows on Friday, and 25th Masters-1000 quarterfinal overall. Currently ranked No. 13 in the world, he is fighting for the last spot in the Nitto ATP Finals. Apart from his solitary championship run, Medvedev also finished as the runner-up in Halle and semifinalist in four other events. The 29-year-old has a success rate of 65% on tour in 2025.
Daniil Medvedev has a convincing 14-7 record in the head-to-head against Alexander Zverev. The Russian has also won the last five encounters between the two players.
| Event | Round | Winner | Score |
| 2025 Beijing | Quarterfinal | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2025 Halle | Semifinal | Daniil Medvedev | 7-6(3) 6-7(1) 6-4 |
| 2024 Australian Open | Semifinal | Daniil Medvedev | 5-7 3-6 7-6(4) 7-6(5) 6-3 |
| 2023 ATP Finals | Round Robin | Daniil Medvedev | 7-6(7) 6-4 |
| 2023 Beijing | Semifinal | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023 Cincinnati | Round of 16 | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 5-7 6-4 |
| 2023 Rome | Round of 16 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-2 7-6(3) |
| 2023 Monte Carlo | Round of 16 | Daniil Medvedev | 3-6 7-5 7-6(7) |
| 2023 Indian Wells | Round of 16 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-7(5) 7-6(5) 7-5 |
| 2021 ATP Finals | Final | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2021 ATP Finals | Round Robin | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 6-7(3) 7-6(6) |
| 2021 Paris Masters | Semifinal | Daniil Medvedev | 6-2 6-2 |
| 2021 ATP Cup | Semifinal | Daniil Medvedev | 3-6 6-3 7-5 |
| 2020 ATP Finals | Round Robin | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2020 Paris Masters | Final | Daniil Medvedev | 5-7 6-4 6-1 |
| 2019 ATP Finals | Round Robin | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2019 Shanghai | Final | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-1 |
| 2018 Toronto | Round of 16 | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2018 Miami | Round of 64 | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 1-6 7-6(5) |
| 2017 Washington | Quarterfinal | Alexander Zverev | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2016 St. Petersburg | Round of 16 | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 7-5 |
| Alexander Zverev | Category | Daniil Medvedev |
| 3 | Current Ranking | 13 |
| 516-220 | Career W-L Record | 420-179 |
| 53-22 | YTD W-L Record | 41-22 |
| 24 | Career Titles | 21 |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 1 |
| 0 | Grand Slams | 1 |
Whenever these two players come face to face, there is always a carnival of groundstrokes. Over the years, Zverev has struggled to land a knockout blow against his Russian counterpart. While the German has arguably been the better of the two at constructing points, Medvedev’s relentless counterpunch prowess and fighting mentality has given him the edge. One can expect plenty of tense baseline exchanges, and a three set battle where patience will prevail.
Prediction: Alexander Zverev in three sets.
The odds for the match-up between Alexander Zverev and Daniil Medvedev are extremely tight ahead of the ATP Paris Masters 2025 quarterfinals. Here are all the best bets (as per BetMGM):
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
(Image Credits: Mike Frey, Imagn Images)
