World No. 8 faces the French southpaw for a spot in the final.
It may be Valentine’s Day all around the world, but the focus will be on semifinals action at the 2026 ATP Rotterdam Open on Saturday. Top seed Alex de Minaur will have his work cut out against the indoor savant Ugo Humbert in a feisty clash to open proceedings on Centre Court. Both players have endured a solitary thriller each en route to the final four of this competition. With the winner scheduled to meet either Felix Auger-Aliassime or Alexander Bublik in the grand final, who will come out on top?
de Minaur d. Van de Zandschulp 3-6 7-6 7-5
Alex is into the Rotterdam semifinals for the 3rd consecutive year
Coming up against a determined Van de Zandschulp in the quarterfinals, Alex de Minaur had to dig deep for a narrow 3-6 7-6(4) 7-5 win. The 26-year-old Australian impressed at the United Cup before reaching the last eight at Melbourne Park. He has a career record of 314-181 as well as a top ranking of No. 6 in the world. Unlike the current World No. 8, Ugo Humbert is yet to break into the Top-10. The French southpaw defeated Daniil Medvedev in Round-1, before earning two more wins to improve to 8-4 in 2026. Despite his impressive record on the surface, the Word No. 36 is the underdog in this match-up.
According to the tennis betting odds, Alex de Minaur is the favorite to win this match with -240 odds on BetMGM. On the other hand, Ugo Humbert is the underdog with pre-match odds of +190 via BetMGM. Here’s how we are betting on this semifinal encounter at the ATP Rotterdam Open 2026, including our best bets, supporting odds and a set-score prop for bigger prices.
Tournament & Round: ATP Rotterdam Open 2026, Semifinal
Surface: Indoor Hard Court
Format: Men’s Singles, Best of Three Sets
Date & Start Time: February 14, Not Before 15:00 Local
Court: Centre Court, Rotterdam Ahoy
Best Bet: Alex de Minaur -3.5 Games @ +105 as per BetMGM
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Alex de Minaur vs Ugo Humbert Betting Odds
Given below are the latest odds for Alex de Minaur vs Ugo Humbert from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.
Market
BetMGM
FanDuel
Moneyline
de Minaur (-240), Humbert (+190)
de Minaur (-220), Humbert (+176)
Game Handicap
de Minaur -2.5 (-134), Humbert +2.5 (+105)
de Minaur -2.5 (-134), Humbert +2.5 (+100)
Total Games
>22.5 (-115), <22.5 (-110)
>22.5 (-118), <22.5 (-112)
Set Betting
de Minaur 2-0 (+108)
de Minaur 2-0 (+115)
Alex de Minaur vs Ugo Humbert Predictions & Picks
Our Pick: Alex de Minaur -3.5 Games at +105 Odds
Among the parlays available on multiple markets, the most chaos is being created on the set betting. While Alex de Minaur is predicted to win the encounter in two or three sets, the scoreline remains to be seen. He has been serving at a success rate of over 75% on first serves, and converting 42% break points at the same time. However, his main weapon is the speed and accuracy he can generate on the run. The demon is one of the fastest players on tour, and his flat groundstrokes are nightmarish for any player to handle.
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Humbert has a simple formula on indoor hard courts – dictate play by using his leftie kick serve to push his opponents out wide and bring his forehand into play. One of the tricky elements for Humbert is to control his low percentage down the line groundstrokes against de Minaur’s speed. The Aussie is likely to outlast his French counterpart across three sets, which is why a game handicap of -3.5 in favor of de Minaur is today’s best bet.
Alex de Minaur Recent Form
Australian Open 2026: Quarterfinal
United Cup 2026: Quarterfinal
Nitto ATP Finals 2025: Semifinal
Paris Masters 2025: Quarterfinal
Erste Bank Open Vienna 2025: Semifinal
Ugo Humbert Recent Form
Open Occitanie 2026: Round of 16
Australian Open 2026: Round of 128
Adelaide International 2026: Final
Brisbane International 2026: Round of 32
Swiss Indoors Basel 2025: Semifinal
Alex de Minaur vs Ugo Humbert Head to Head Record
Alex de Minaur has a 5-2 record in the head-to-head against Ugo Humbert. They will face each other for the first time since 2024 at the 2026 Rotterdam Open.
Event
Round
Winner
Score
2024 ‘s-Hertogenbosch
Semifinal
Alex de Minaur
7-6(4) 6-3
2023 Davis Cup
Round Robin
Alex de Minaur
7-6(2) 6-3
2023 Atlanta
Quarterfinal
Ugo Humbert
7-6(4) 6-3
2022 Lyon
Round of 16
Alex de Minaur
1-6 6-3 6-2
2022 Barcelona
Round of 32
Alex de Minaur
6-3 4-6 6-3
2022 ATP Cup
Round Robin
Alex de Minaur
3-6 7-6(2) 6-1
2020 Antwerp
Final
Ugo Humbert
6-1 7-6(4)
How to Watch Alex de Minaur vs Ugo Humbert at the ATP Rotterdam Open 2026?
The ATP Rotterdam Open 2026 can be streamed live on various platforms and channels, depending on which part of the world you are watching from. This includes Tennis TV, Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, ESPN International, Setanta Sports and TSN.
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