$1,500
After a titanic triumph, Wawrinka takes on a Top-10 player 14 years younger than him.
The defending runner-up Alex de Minaur is the top seed this week, and will be looking to go one step further after two consecutive finals at the 2026 ATP Rotterdam Open. The Australian is up against three-time Grand Slam champion Stan Wawrinka in the Round of 16 on Thursday. Age may not be on his side, but the Swiss legend always has a shot on the indoor hard courts. The winner of this clash will take on either Botic Van de Zandschulp or Stefanos Tsitsipas/Arthur Rinderknech in the quarterfinal stage. Can the World No. 8 continue his rich vein of form at the Dutch competition?
Alex de Minaur opened up his 2026 season by going 2-1 en route to the quarterfinals at the United Cup, before reaching the last eight at the Australian Open. The 26-year-old has won 10 singles titles during the course of his career, as well as a solitary doubles crown. His opponent Stan Wawrinka is a former World No. 3 with 16 career championships and a win-loss record of 587-382. He is playing his final season on tour, which has begun with a 40% success rate so far. Despite his negative head-to-head against de Minaur, the 40-year-old has a solid shot at succeeding in Rotterdam due to the conditions.
According to the tennis betting odds, Alex de Minaur is the favorite to win this match with -770 odds on BetMGM. On the contrary, Stan Wawrinka has been tagged as the underdog with pre-match odds of +510 via BetMGM. Here’s how we are betting on this Round of 16 encounter between de Minaur and Wawrinka at the ATP Rotterdam Open 2026, including our best bets, supporting odds and a set-score prop for bigger prices.
Given below are the latest odds for Alex de Minaur vs Stan Wawrinka from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.
| Market | BetMGM | FanDuel |
| Moneyline | de Minaur (-770), Wawrinka (+510) | de Minaur (-1100), Wawrinka (+660) |
| Game Handicap | de Minaur -4.5 (-108), Wawrinka +4.5 (-121) | de Minaur -4.5 (-128), Wawrinka +4.5 (-106) |
| Total Games | >20.5 (-114), <20.5 (-114) | >20.5 (-126), <20.5 (-108) |
| Set Betting | de Minaur 2-0 (-230) | de Minaur 2-0 (-240) |
Our Pick: Total Number of Tiebreaks >0.5 at +175 Odds
While de Minaur is the outright favorite to win this match as well as the title, the betting market suggests a relatively tight encounter against Wawrinka. We believe the 40-year-old can hold his nerve to extend at least one set to a tiebreaker – which is why a bet on the total number of tiebreaks going above the 0.5 mark is a potential best bet at +175.
Alex de Minaur leads the head-to-head against Stan Wawrinka by 1-0.
At the 2024 Monte Carlo Masters, de Minaur handed the veteran a thrashing on the European clay courts. He dropped just three games en route to a Round of 64 humbling before eventually bowing out in the quarterfinal stage.
| Event | Round | Winner | Score |
| 2024 Monte Carlo | Round of 64 | Alex de Minaur | 6-3 6-0 |
The ATP Rotterdam Open 2026 can be streamed live on various platforms and channels, depending on which part of the world you are watching from. This includes Tennis TV, Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, ESPN International, Setanta Sports and TSN.
| Date | February 12, 2026 |
| Time | Not Before 14:30 Local |
| Tournament | ATP Rotterdam Open, Round of 16 |
| Surface | Indoor Hard Court |
| Court | Centre Court, Rotterdam Ahoy |
| TV/Streaming | Tennis TV, Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, ESPN International, Setanta Sports and TSN. |
(Image Credits: Mike Frey, Imagn Images)
