After a titanic triumph, Wawrinka takes on a Top-10 player 14 years younger than him.
The defending runner-up Alex de Minaur is the top seed this week, and will be looking to go one step further after two consecutive finals at the 2026 ATP Rotterdam Open. The Australian is up against three-time Grand Slam champion Stan Wawrinka in the Round of 16 on Thursday. Age may not be on his side, but the Swiss legend always has a shot on the indoor hard courts. The winner of this clash will take on either Botic Van de Zandschulp or Stefanos Tsitsipas/Arthur Rinderknech in the quarterfinal stage. Can the World No. 8 continue his rich vein of form at the Dutch competition?
Alex De Minaur takes care of a tough opening round against Arthur Fils in @abnamroopen
Def Fils 7-6(3) 6-2
The 2x finalist remains the favorite here on the slow courts aiding his speed, defense, and excellent returning.
Alex de Minaur opened up his 2026 season by going 2-1 en route to the quarterfinals at the United Cup, before reaching the last eight at the Australian Open. The 26-year-old has won 10 singles titles during the course of his career, as well as a solitary doubles crown. His opponent Stan Wawrinka is a former World No. 3 with 16 career championships and a win-loss record of 587-382. He is playing his final season on tour, which has begun with a 40% success rate so far. Despite his negative head-to-head against de Minaur, the 40-year-old has a solid shot at succeeding in Rotterdam due to the conditions.
💥👏 Stan Wawrinka wins 6-3 6-4 over Thijs Boogaard – an age gap of *23 years*
Stan the Man will re-enter ATP’s top 100 for the first time in more than 18 months 🔥
According to the tennis betting odds, Alex de Minaur is the favorite to win this match with -770 odds on BetMGM. On the contrary, Stan Wawrinka has been tagged as the underdog with pre-match odds of +510 via BetMGM. Here’s how we are betting on this Round of 16 encounter between de Minaur and Wawrinka at the ATP Rotterdam Open 2026, including our best bets, supporting odds and a set-score prop for bigger prices.
Tournament & Round: ATP Rotterdam Open 2026, Round of 16
Surface: Indoor Hard Court
Format: Men’s Singles, Best of Three Sets
Date & Start Time: February 12, Not Before 14:30 Local
Court: Centre Court, Rotterdam Ahoy
Best Bet: Total Number of Tiebreaks >0.5 @ +175 as per BetMGM
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Given below are the latest odds for Alex de Minaur vs Stan Wawrinka from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.
Market
BetMGM
FanDuel
Moneyline
de Minaur (-770), Wawrinka (+510)
de Minaur (-1100), Wawrinka (+660)
Game Handicap
de Minaur -4.5 (-108), Wawrinka +4.5 (-121)
de Minaur -4.5 (-128), Wawrinka +4.5 (-106)
Total Games
>20.5 (-114), <20.5 (-114)
>20.5 (-126), <20.5 (-108)
Set Betting
de Minaur 2-0 (-230)
de Minaur 2-0 (-240)
Alex de Minaur vs Stan Wawrinka Predictions & Picks
Our Pick: Total Number of Tiebreaks >0.5 at +175 Odds
While de Minaur is the outright favorite to win this match as well as the title, the betting market suggests a relatively tight encounter against Wawrinka. We believe the 40-year-old can hold his nerve to extend at least one set to a tiebreaker – which is why a bet on the total number of tiebreaks going above the 0.5 mark is a potential best bet at +175.
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Alex de Minaur Recent Form
Australian Open 2026: Quarterfinal
United Cup 2026: Quarterfinal
Nitto ATP Finals 2025: Semifinal
Paris Masters 2025: Quarterfinal
Erste Bank Open Vienna 2025: Semifinal
Stan Wawrinka Recent Form
Open Occitanie 2026: Round of 16
Australian Open 2026: Round of 32
United Cup 2026: 1-4 (Finalist)
Hellenic Championship 2025: Round of 16
Swiss Indoors Basel 2025: Round of 16
Alex de Minaur vs Stan Wawrinka Head to Head Record
Alex de Minaur leads the head-to-head against Stan Wawrinka by 1-0.
At the 2024 Monte Carlo Masters, de Minaur handed the veteran a thrashing on the European clay courts. He dropped just three games en route to a Round of 64 humbling before eventually bowing out in the quarterfinal stage.
Event
Round
Winner
Score
2024 Monte Carlo
Round of 64
Alex de Minaur
6-3 6-0
How to Watch Alex de Minaur vs Stan Wawrinka at the ATP Rotterdam Open 2026?
The ATP Rotterdam Open 2026 can be streamed live on various platforms and channels, depending on which part of the world you are watching from. This includes Tennis TV, Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, ESPN International, Setanta Sports and TSN.
Stan Wawrinka, almost 41yo, defeats 17yo Thijs Boogard 6-3, 6-4 to reach the second round in Rotterdam.
He will comeback to the top 100 for the first time in 18 months (!) on Monday.
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