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Alex de Minaur vs. Arthur Fils Prediction, Odds and Best Bets (ABN Amro Rotterdam Open 2026, Round of 32, February 10)

Sankalp Harikrishnan

The Aussie won their last duel at Wimbledon in 2024.

Top seed Alex de Minaur will face Frenchman Arthur Fils in the Round of 32 of the 2026 ABN Amro Open in Rotterdam on Tuesday. The Australian had an impressive outing at the Australian Open, where he was defeated in the quarterfinals by eventual champion Carlos Alcaraz. Meanwhile, Fils is making a comeback to tour-level action after a long injury layoff. When two high quality players with pace and efficiency lock horns, there are bound to be fireworks.

Currently ranked No. 8 in the world, Alex de Minaur has 10 singles titles to his name. At 26-years-old, he has been the top ranked player from his country for an extended period of time. In the 2025 campaign, de Minaur won one trophy at the Citi DC Open in Washington. He has a record of 6-2 so far this year, including a quarterfinal finish with Team Australia at the United Cup. For Arthur Fils, Rotterdam is just the second tournament after his last eight qualification at the Open Occitanie. The former Top-20 sensation already has 85 wins and three championships at the age of 21. He was also the runner-up at the Next Gen ATP Finals in 2023.

According to the tennis betting odds, Alex de Minaur is the favorite to win this match with -335 odds on BetMGM. On the contrary, Arthur Fils has been tagged as the minnow with pre-match odds of +250 via BetMGM. Here’s how we are betting on this Round of 32 encounter between de Minaur and Fils at the ATP Rotterdam Open 2026, including our best bets, supporting odds and a set-score prop for bigger prices.

  • Tournament & Round: ATP Rotterdam Open 2026, Round of 32
  • Surface: Indoor Hard Court
  • Format: Men’s Singles, Best of Three Sets
  • Date & Start Time: February 10, Not Before 19:30 Local
  • Court: Centre Court, Rotterdam Ahoy
  • Best Bet: Arthur Fils +3.5 Games @ +110 as per BetMGM
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Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Fils Betting Odds

Given below are the latest odds for Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Fils from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.

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MarketBetMGMFanDuel
Moneylinede Minaur (-335), Fils (+250)de Minaur (-340), Fils (+260)
Game Handicapde Minaur -3.5 (-143), Fils +3.5 (+110)de Minaur -3.5 (-142), Fils +3.5 (+108)
Total Games>21.5 (-125), <21.5 (-104)>21.5 (-122), <21.5 (-110)
Set Bettingde Minaur 2-0 (-120)de Minaur 2-0 (-125)

Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Fils Predictions & Picks

Our Pick: Arthur Fils +3.5 Games at +110 Odds

If both players were in full form, this match would have been an absolute nightmare to predict. However with Fils still regaining match fitness, de Minaur will be a clear favorite on Tuesday. The only thing keeping the Frenchman in the mix is his serve + forehand weapon. At 76% first serve points won and 84% service games won on hard courts throughout his career, you can never count him out. One break of serve is likely to set the Australian on the front foot and get him the victory.

Alex de Minaur Recent Form

  • Australian Open 2026: Quarterfinal
  • United Cup 2026: Quarterfinal
  • Nitto ATP Finals 2025: Semifinal
  • Paris Masters 2025: Quarterfinal
  • Erste Bank Open Vienna 2025: Semifinal

Arthur Fils Recent Form

  • Open Occitanie 2026: Quarterfinal
  • National Bank Open 2025: Round of 32
  • Roland Garros 2025: Round of 32

Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Fils Head to Head Record

The head-to-head between Alex de Minaur and Arthur Fils is currently 1-1. The two competitors played out two entertaining clashes in 2024 – on clay and grass courts respectively. This is set to be their maiden hard court meeting.

EventRoundWinnerScore
2024 WimbledonRound of 16Alex de Minaur6-2 6-4 4-6 6-3
2024 BarcelonaRound of 16Arthur Fils7-5 6-2

How to Watch Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Fils at the ABN Amro Rotterdam Open 2026?

The ATP Rotterdam Open 2026 can be streamed live on various platforms and channels, depending on which part of the world you are watching from. This includes Tennis TV, Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, ESPN International, Setanta Sports and TSN.

DateFebruary 10, 2026
TimeNot Before 19:30 Local
TournamentATP Rotterdam Open, Round of 32
SurfaceIndoor Hard Court
CourtCentre Court, Rotterdam Ahoy
TV/StreamingTennis TV, Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, ESPN International, Setanta Sports and TSN.

(Image Credits: Mike Frey, Imagn Images)

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.

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