AC Milan will return to Serie A action on Sunday, February 22, 2026. They will host Parma at San Siro in a fixture where Milan are actively trying to hold onto their Scudetto ambition. The Rossoneri are chasing their longest unbeaten league sequence in over three decades. They’re currently 24 matches without defeat.
Yet they’re seven points adrift of leaders Inter after a midweek draw. Meanwhile, Parma are sitting in 12th place and firmly on course for survival. They’re boasting a surprisingly resilient away record. Milan are dominant at home and Parma are competitive on the road. So, this clash could be an interesting one.
You can find more of our soccer predictions on our main picks hub. Here’s how we’re betting AC Milan vs Parma tonight, including our Best Bet, a Same-Game Parlay, and key trends to know.
AC Milan vs Parma Match Details
Competition: Serie A
Date & kickoff: Sunday, February 22, 2026 – 12:00 PM ET / 5:00 PM GT
Venue: San Siro Stadium, Milan, Italy
Expected XIs: AC Milan 3-5-2 vs Parma 3-5-1-1
Best Bet for AC Milan vs Parma
Our best bet for AC Milan vs Parma is Both Teams to Score: Yes at -122 (BetMGM) / -122 (FanDuel).
Milan are unbeaten in 23 league matches since their opening-day defeat. They’re averaging approximately 1.92 goals per game across that span. Over their last 10 Serie A fixtures, they have generated a cumulative xG figure just above 17.5. In the meantime, they’ve conceded roughly 10.2 xGA.
At San Siro, Milan have scored in 10 of their last 11 league outings. Yet, they’ve kept only four clean sheets in that period. Their high defensive line under Max Allegri has produced territorial control. But they’ve also allowed space in transition, particularly when full-backs advance simultaneously. Parma, managed by Cesc Fabregas, have proven resilient on the road.
They have lost just three of 11 Serie A road matches. They’ve conceded nine goals while scoring 14. Across their last 10 league games, Parma’s xG output stands near 14.0, with 12 actual goals scored. Tasos Douvikas and Nico Paz, both on eight league goals, have combined for over 5.5 shots per 90 minutes, providing sustained threat. So, it’s logical to assume that both teams will find the back of the net.
AC Milan vs Parma Prediction
Our pick: Parma to Win at +130 (BetMGM) / +135 (FanDuel)
Milan’s prolonged unbeaten run and superior record at San Siro is the reason for their favourite status in the market. They’ve won eight of their last 10 home meetings against Parma. The Rossoneri have not lost a Serie A match since the opening weekend.
And they’re seeking a 25th straight unbeaten league outing. The last time they achieved this feat was during the legendary 1991-92 campaign. Parma’s away resilience with just four defeats in 12 road fixtures adds nuance. But Milan’s squad depth and attacking prowess suggest control.
Rafael Leao and Christian Pulisic are joint-top scorers for Milan. Christopher Nkunku and Niclas Fullkrug offer additional finishing efficiency inside the area. Defensively, Parma are without Alessandro Circati due to suspension, disrupting continuity at the back. Milan’s possession dominance and superior chance volume justify their heavy favoritism.
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Same-Game Parlay (Bet Builder) for AC Milan vs Parma
Bet $100 to Win $242.32 (FanDuel) Total Goals Under 3.5 (-265) + BTTS: No (-152) + Rafael Leao to Score or Assist (-200)
Under 3.5 goals aligns with their structured buildup under Max Allegri. They emphasize on measured tempo rather than chaotic transitions. Leao’s inclusion is statistically grounded. He has been directly involved in three goals across his last four league matches against Parma. And he remains Milan’s most dynamic ball-progressor.
His ability to isolate defenders on the left flank and generate high xG from cut-inside patterns makes him a central attacking outlet. Whether converting chances himself or supplying a final pass, Leao’s involvement probability remains high in home fixtures.
Milan’s matches at San Siro have typically featured territorial dominance and defensive discipline. Parma’s primary aerial threat, Mateo Pellegrino, whose 60% headed-goal ratio since last season leads Serie A, relies heavily on service volume.
Milan are well equipped to suppress it through controlled possession. If Milan dictate tempo and limit crosses into the area, the contest likely resolves within a moderate scoreline. Leao’s transitional speed against Parma’s rotated defense further strengthens his involvement probability.
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Latest Injuries & Lineup News for AC Milan vs Parma
In soccer, injuries and rotations can drastically alter how a match plays out, especially when it comes to BTTS, totals, and goalscorer markets. Navigating through a few key injuries in this clash, both coaches will look to lineup their strongest XI. Here are the players who are either doubtful or are set to miss out:
Team
Player
Status
Notes
AC Milan
Santiago Gimenez
Out
Ankle
AC Milan
Strahinja Pavlovic
Out
Leg
Parma
Alessandro Circati
Out
Suspension
Parma
Zion Suzuki
Out
Finger
Parma
Abdoulaye N’Diaye
Out
Muscle
Parma
Pontus Almqvist
Out
Hamstring
Parma
Matija Frigan
Out
ACL
Reminder: Always check confirmed lineups 60–75 minutes before kickoff, especially for goalscorer and BTTS markets.
How to watch – quick Q&A
What time is AC Milan vs Parma?
AC Milan vs Parma kicks off at 12:00 PM ET on Sunday, February 22, 2026 (5:00 PM local UK time).
Where is the match being played?
The match will be played at the San Siro Stadium in Milan, Italy.
How can I watch on TV / stream?
Broadcast rights vary by territory. In the US, the Serie A can be telecast on Paramount+. The match will be telecast on DAZN UK in the UK. The match will also be available to stream on these broadcasters’ official websites.
Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.
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