A first Wimbledon final in sight for Swiatek and Bencic, who will go through?
As we reach the business end of Wimbledon 2025, the semifinal lineup is all set. The second match on Centre Court today will showcase a classic showdown between the number 8 seed, Iga Swiatek, against Belinda Bencic for a place in the final.
Both players have battled their way through to the semis, playing elegant tennis along the way, and both have reached this stage of the tournament for the first time in their careers. A win here will bring them one step closer to lifting the prestigious Wimbledon crown.
Swiatek’s journey at SW19 this year has been dominated by straight-set wins in all but the second round. She has been dominant with her groundstrokes, hitting a good winners-to-unforced errors ratio. Her return game has also been quite effective, but her net play will need to improve slightly.
Iga Swiatek’s ‘worst season of the decade’ features three semifinals at the first three Slams of the year.
— Bastien Fachan (@BastienFachan) July 9, 2025
Standards. pic.twitter.com/tOnDsqQsJV
Bencic started off the tournament by dropping just 3 games in her opening round against Alycia Parks, but since then, she has been tested with a couple of three-set battles and a very tough quarterfinal against Mirra Andreeva, which she pulled off 7-6, 7-6.
For the most part, Bencic’s first serve and net play have been her strengths, along with her ability to return well. But, on the other side of the net is Swiatek, who has been playing the best grass-court tennis of her career.
Brilliant Bencic does it again 🤩
— Wimbledon (@Wimbledon) July 9, 2025
Belinda Bencic defeats Mirra Andreeva 7-6(3), 7-6(2) to reach her first ever #Wimbledon semi-final – and she does it in some style! 💥 pic.twitter.com/KfjjZv0RrU
Swiatek and Bencic have played each other four times in the past. The Polish player holds a dominant 3-1 record against Bencic. The pair’s rivalry started in 2021 at Adelaide, where Swiatek won comfortably in straight sets. The Pole has also won the pair’s last two matches, including the 2023 round of 16 clash at Wimbledon.
| Year | Event | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Wimbledon | Round of 16 | Iga Swiatek | 6-7, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 2023 | Doha | Quarterfinals | Iga Swiatek | Walkover |
| 2023 | United Cup | Group Stage | Iga Swiatek | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 2021 | US Open | Round of 16 | Belinda Bencic | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 2021 | Adelaide | Final | Iga Swiatek | 6-2, 6-2 |
That smile says it all! 🥹@iga_swiatek has now reached the semifinals at all four Grand Slams.#DreamOn pic.twitter.com/2Qz6OPJoKt
— On (@on_running) July 9, 2025
| Iga Swiatek | Category | Belinda Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ranking | 35 |
| 377-86 | Career W-L | 412-215 |
| 35-11 | YTD W-L | 21-10 |
| 22 | Career Titles | 9 |
| 5 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 0 | YTD Titles | 1 |
Bencic heads into this match with a lot of confidence following her straight-sets win over Andreeva in the previous round. That was a crucial test for her to see whether she could challenge the top players.
However, she now faces Swiatek, who holds a 3-1 lead in their head-to-head and has also defeated her at Wimbledon in 2023. Swiatek is playing even better grass-court tennis this year, and if she can continue to maintain her consistent level, she should make her first Wimbledon final.
Match Prediction: Swiatek in three sets
As per BetMGM, Swiatek is the heavy favorite with a 73% chance of winning this match. The money line for this match also shows the Pole as the favorite to win by a big margin. (Sourced from BetMGM).
As for the number of games and sets, the betting odds by BetMGM reflect that Swiatek is favored to win the match in straight sets.
| Bet | Iga Swiatek | Belinda Bencic |
|---|---|---|
| Match Odds | 3/10 | 5/2 |
The over-under for the number of sets and games in this match is as follows:
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals, and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images
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