Warriors vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds & How to Watch – Monday, March 23

The Golden State Warriors and Dallas Mavericks square off Monday night at American Airlines Center in Dallas, with tipoff set for 9:30 p.m. ET. Both teams are desperate for a win, but the betting angles tell a fascinating story.

Golden State has struggled mightily on the road, losing six of its last seven away games and failing to cover in seven straight trips to Dallas. Meanwhile, the Mavericks have been equally poor straight up, dropping 12 of their last 14 overall and 11 straight at home.

The spread sits at Warriors -2, with a total of 230.5, and the predicted score leans slightly toward Dallas (116.6–115.0). Player props add intrigue, with Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, and Draymond Green all carrying lines slightly above their season averages.

With both teams trending toward high‑scoring contests, bettors face a decision between trusting Golden State’s shooting volume or Dallas’ ATS dominance at home against the Warriors.

Best Bet for Warriors vs. Mavericks

Best Bet: Dallas Mavericks +2 (+105) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Despite their ugly SU record, Dallas has been a sneaky ATS play at home against Golden State, going 7‑0 ATS in their last seven meetings in Dallas. The Warriors are 0‑7 ATS in those same contests and just 1‑6 SU in their last seven road games.

Golden State’s reliance on the three‑ball (league‑leading 45.4 attempts per game) makes them volatile, and while they’ve hit the OVER in six of their last eight, their defense has been inconsistent. Dallas, though winless at home in their last 11, has consistently covered against this opponent, making the spread the sharper angle than the moneyline.

The total trends point toward an OVER, with both teams hitting high‑scoring marks in recent matchups, but the ATS history is too strong to ignore. Taking Dallas +2 provides value in a game where Golden State’s road woes and Dallas’ ATS edge intersect.

Same‑Game Parlay Picks

3‑Leg SGP (Safer)

Mavericks +2 spread
Cooper Flagg 20+ points
Draymond Green 5+ assists

Combined Odds: +300

This safer parlay ties Dallas’ ATS strength with Flagg’s scoring consistency and Green’s playmaking. Even if Golden State shoots well, Flagg’s usage ensures production, while Green’s passing remains steady.

Longshot SGP

Mavericks win outright by 6+ points
Naji Marshall 5+ rebounds
Cooper Flagg 6+ assists

Combined Odds: +750

This longshot parlay leans into Dallas pulling away late, with Marshall contributing on the boards and Flagg expanding his playmaking role. If Golden State’s road struggles continue, this scenario has strong correlation.

Warriors vs. Mavericks Odds & Top Player Props

Main Odds Table

Team	Spread	Moneyline	Total
Golden State Warriors	-2 (-125)	-125	O 230.5
Dallas Mavericks	+2 (+105)	+105	U 230.5

Player Props

Cooper Flagg points O/U 21.5 (-121)
Naji Marshall points O/U 16.5 (-106)
Draymond Green assists O/U 5.5 (-134)

Odds updated: March 23, 2026 – 12:00 p.m. ET. Lines may move throughout the day.

FanDuel

High total bonus ceiling

Daily second-chance bet protection

No promo code required

$150

Welcome offer

Bet $5 & Get $150 in Bonus Bets

Click to reveal code

COPIED

F A N D U V I P

Claim now

New customers only. Must be 21+ in most jurisdictions, but 18+ in DC, KY, and WY. Offer is valid only in eligible regulated states/jurisdictions and not available in AR; void where prohibited. First online real-money wager only; cashed-out or bonus-funded bets are excluded.

Trends to Know for Warriors vs. Mavericks

Golden State is 2‑6 ATS in its last 8 games.
Golden State is 0‑7 ATS in its last 7 road games vs. Dallas.
Dallas is 7‑0 ATS in its last 7 home games vs. Golden State.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State’s last 8 games.
Dallas is 0‑11 SU in its last 11 home games.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of the last 15 meetings between these teams.

Latest Injuries & NBA Injury Report

Team	Player	Injury	Status
GSW	Al Horford	Right calf strain	Day-to-Day
GSW	Stephen Curry	Right knee soreness	Day-to-Day
GSW	Jimmy Butler	Torn right ACL	Day-to-Day
GSW	Seth Curry	Left adductor strain	Day-to-Day
GSW	Kristaps Porzingis	Lower back soreness	Day-to-Day
GSW	Gary Payton II	Right hip contusion	Day-to-Day
GSW	Moses Moody	Right wrist sprain	Day-to-Day
GSW	Quinten Post	Right foot injury management	Day-to-Day
DAL	Caleb Martin	Right heel contusion	Day-to-Day
DAL	Brandon Williams	Concussion protocol	Day-to-Day
DAL	Dereck Lively II	Right knee injury management	Day-to-Day

FAQs

What time is Warriors vs. Mavericks?

The game tips off at 9:30 p.m. ET on Monday, March 23, 2026.

Where is Warriors vs. Mavericks being played?

The matchup takes place at American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas.

How can I watch Warriors vs. Mavericks on TV and live stream?

Fans can watch the game on Peacock and NBCS‑BA.

Game Info Table

Detail	Info
Date	Monday, March 23, 2026
Time	9:30 p.m. ET
Arena	American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas
TV/Streaming	Peacock, NBCS‑BA

BetMGM

All in one gambling website

Reputable gambling name

Multiple betting features including live streaming

$1,500

Welcome offer

Get up to $1,500 Back in Bonus Bets

Click to copy code

COPIED

TPOVIP

Claim now

21+. AZ/CO/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA/MD/MA/MI/NJ/OH/PA/TN/ VA/WV/WY only. Offer not available in DC/MS/NV/NY/PR. New customers only. Qualifying deposit (min $10) and first real money wager required. If qualifying bet settles as a loss, user is refunded 100% in non-withdrawable bonus bets up to $1,500. Full T&Cs can be found on betmgm.com.