Arsenal will host Chelsea in the Premier League on Sunday, March 1, 2026, at the Emirates Stadium. The London derby will have title and top-four implications. Arsenal are returning home after a commanding 4-1 win against Tottenham Hotspur that restored a five-point cushion at the summit.
Meanwhile Chelsea are arriving unbeaten in the league under Liam Rosenior but stung by consecutive draws against promoted opposition. The Gunners have rebuilt their home fortress with four straight wins and three clean sheets. Yet Chelsea’s attacking form suggests that they are capable of breaching even elite defensive structures.
You can find more of our soccer predictions on our main picks hub. Here’s how we’re betting Arsenal vs Chelsea tonight, including our Best Bet, a Same-Game Parlay, and key trends to know.
Arsenal vs Chelsea Match Details
Competition: Premier League
Date & kickoff: Sunday, March 1, 2026 – 11:30 AM ET / 4:30 PM GT
Venue: Emirates Stadium, London, England
Expected XIs: Arsenal 4-2-3-1 vs Chelsea 4-2-3-1
Best Bet for Arsenal vs Chelsea
Our best bet for Arsenal vs Chelsea is Both Teams to Score: Yes at -130 (BetMGM) / -136 (FanDuel).
Arsenal are boasting a recent defensive resilience at home. They’ve registered three consecutive clean sheets and only 0.78 xGA per game across their last four at the Emirates. Even so, Chelsea’s attacking profile under Rosenior warrants backing both sides to score. The Blues have generated 1.72 xG per 90 across their last six league fixtures.
They’ve also scored in each of those matches, even in tightly contested draws with Leeds and Burnley. Arsenal’s attacking output remains elite. Over their last 10 Premier League games, they have averaged 2.1 goals and 2.05 xG per match. Viktor Gyokeres and Eberechi Eze have combined for 10 goal contributions in that span.
Notably, each of Eze’s last 11 league goals has come in London fixtures. Chelsea’s defensive absences including a suspended Wesley Fofana along with both Levi Colwill and Marc Cucurella sidelined, reduces structural stability at the back against Arsenal’s wide overloads. However, Arsenal have conceded in five of their last seven matches against top-six opponents. So, the pick makes sense.
Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction
Our pick: Arsenal to Win at -175 (BetMGM) / -185 (FanDuel)
Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 10 meetings with Chelsea across all competitions. They’ve won seven of those contests. At the Emirates, they have won four consecutive league matches, scoring eight goals and conceding none. Arsenal also rank among the league leaders in shot differential (+6.4 per match over the last 10 fixtures).
They’re also ranking high in progressive carries into the penalty area. Declan Rice’s ball recovery rate is averaging 7.3 recoveries per 90 minutes. He has reinforced midfield control, allowing Arteta’s side to sustain territorial pressure. Chelsea’s unbeaten run under Rosenior is notable.
They’ve collected 14 points from their last six league games. However, they have conceded late equalisers in back-to-back home matches. They will now travel to face the league’s most consistent pressing structure. Arsenal’s rest advantage and superior defensive organization tilt the balance toward the hosts.
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Same-Game Parlay (Bet Builder) for Arsenal vs Chelsea
Bet $100 to Win $186.96 (FanDuel) Total Goals Over 2.5 (-148) + BTTS: Yes (-136) + Arsenal to Win (-185)
Over 2.5 goals have been scored in six of Arsenal’s last eight matches and in five of Chelsea’s previous seven away games. BTTS accounts for Chelsea’s consistent scoring output and Arsenal’s occasional vulnerability in transition.
Adding Arsenal to win correlates with their home form and Chelsea’s defensive injuries. Arsenal average 16.2 shots per game at home and convert chances at a rate above league average. Chelsea, meanwhile, allow 1.45 xGA per away match against top-half sides.
Five of the last seven meetings between these two produced three or more goals. Arsenal’s front three, supported by advanced fullbacks, generate high-volume chance creation, while Chelsea’s counter-heavy style ensures opportunities against high defensive lines.
Arsenal’s structured pressing and positional rotations typically overwhelm mid-block setups, especially at the Emirates. However, Chelsea’s vertical outlets, particularly through wide attackers exploiting half-spaces, make a clean sheet unlikely.
Title Context: Arsenal lead the table by five points, though Manchester City hold a game in hand.
Latest Injuries & Lineup News for Arsenal vs Chelsea
In soccer, injuries and rotations can drastically alter how a match plays out, especially when it comes to BTTS, totals, and goalscorer markets. Navigating through a few key injuries in this clash, both coaches will look to lineup their strongest XI. Here are the players who are either doubtful or are set to miss out:
Team
Player
Status
Notes
Arsenal
Ben White
Doubtful
Knock
Chelsea
Wesley Fofana
Out
Suspension
Chelsea
Marc Cucurella.
Out
Hamstring
Chelsea
Estevao Willian
Out
Thigh
Chelsea
Dario Essugo.
Out
Thigh
Chelsea
Filip Jorgensen.
Doubtful
Hamstring
Reminder: Always check confirmed lineups 60–75 minutes before kickoff, especially for goalscorer and BTTS markets.
How to watch – quick Q&A
What time is Arsenal vs Chelsea?
Arsenal vs Chelsea kicks off at 11:30 AM ET on Sunday, March 1, 2026 (4:30 PM local UK time).
Where is the match being played?
The match will be played at the Emirates Stadium in London, England.
How can I watch on TV / stream?
Broadcast rights vary by territory. In the US, the Premier League can be telecast on Peacock and Telemundo. The match will be telecast on Sky Sports in the UK. The match will also be available to stream on these broadcasters’ official websites.
Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.
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