$150
10th career meeting between the former No. 1 and current No. 8 in Dubai.
No. 1 seed Felix Auger-Aliassime will battle No. 3 seed Daniil Medvedev in the 2026 Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships semifinal on Friday. The 25-year-old from Canada is defending runner-up points in the Middle Eastern event this week. On the other hand, Medvedev was the champion here in 2023, and knows these conditions better than most players. With both players leading the tournament outright winner odds, there is a solid chance of this being a potential final. Continue reading as we break down the stats and odds ahead of this thrilling encounter in Dubai.
Felix Auger-Aliassime is arguably one of the most in-form players right now, winning a title and finishing as the runner-up in his last two events. The World No. 8 has a win-loss record of 12-3 in 2026 and 277-174 overall. His scalps include Zhang, Mpetshi Perricard and Lehecka. Daniil Medvedev is a former World No. 1 who won the US Open in 2021. The 30-year-old Russian started his season with a championship run in Brisbane, but fell short at the Australian Open. With 22 career titles, the World No. 11 has bucketloads of experience to beat the young gun.
According to the tennis betting odds on BetMGM, Felix Auger-Aliassime (-) is the favorite in this match-up and Daniil Medvedev (+) is the underdog for this semifinal contest. Here’s how we are betting on this highly anticipated battle between Auger-Aliassime and Medvedev at the ATP Dubai Tennis Championships 2026, including our best bets, supporting odds and a set-score prop for bigger prices.
Given below are the latest odds for Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedev from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.
| Market | FanDuel | BetMGM |
| Moneyline | Medvedev -138 / Auger-Aliassime +114 | Medvedev -138 / Auger-Aliassime +114 |
| Game Handicap | Medvedev -1.5 (-118) / Auger-Aliassime +1.5 (-112) | Medvedev -1.5 (-118) / Auger-Aliassime +1.5 (-112) |
| Total Games (23.5) | Over (-104) / Under (-130) | Over (-104) / Under (-130) |
| Set Betting | Medvedev 2-0 (+165) / Auger-Aliassime 2-0 (+250) | Medvedev 2-0 (+165) / Auger-Aliassime 2-0 (+250) |
| Total Sets (2.5) | Over (+124) / Under (-168) | Over (+124) / Under (-168) |
Our Pick: Daniil Medvedev -1.5 Games (-118, FanDuel)
The market is pricing this as near coin-flip territory with a slight lean toward Medvedev, and that reflects matchup history more than recent form. Auger-Aliassime has been sharper week-to-week in 2026, but Medvedev’s ability to absorb pace remains a structural problem for FAA’s serve-first patterns.
Medvedev’s edge lies in rally tolerance and return depth. If he consistently neutralizes the first strike, he typically forces lower-percentage aggression from Auger-Aliassime. On Dubai hard court, that dynamic favors Medvedev over two tight sets or a controlled three-set win.
Daniil Medvedev leads the head-to-head against Felix Auger-Aliassime by 7-2. While the Russian won the opening seven matches of this rivalry, FAA made a mini comeback since late 2024 by beating Medvedev twice.
| Event | Round | Winner | Score |
| 2025 Doha | Quarterfinal | Felix Auger-Aliassime | 6-3 RET. |
| 2024 Paris Olympics | Round of 16 | Felix Auger-Aliassime | 6-3 7-6(5) |
| 2024 Australian Open | Round of 32 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023 Doha | Semifinal | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 7-6(7) |
| 2023 Rotterdam | Quarterfinal | Daniil Medvedev | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2022 Australian Open | Quarterfinal | Daniil Medvedev | 6-7(4) 3-6 7-6(2) 7-5 6-4 |
| 2022 ATP Cup | Semifinal | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-0 |
| 2021 US Open | Semifinal | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 7-5 6-2 |
| 2018 Toronto | Round of 32 | Daniil Medvedev | 3-6 6-4 7-6(7) |
The ATP Dubai Tennis Championships 2026 can be streamed live on various platforms and channels, depending on which part of the world you are watching from. This includes Tennis TV, Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, ESPN International, Setanta Sports and TSN.
| Date | February 27, 2026 |
| Time | |
| Tournament | ATP Dubai Tennis Championships, SF |
| Surface | Outdoor Hard Court |
| Court | Centre Court, Aviation Club Tennis Centre |
| TV/Streaming | Tennis TV, Tennis Channel, Sky Sports, beIN Sports, ESPN International, Setanta Sports and TSN. |
(Image Credits: Robert Deutsch, Imagn Images)
