Chelsea will host Burnley in the Premier League on Saturday, February 21, 2026, at Stamford Bridge. The Blues are chasing a top-five finish, while the Clarets are battling relegation in gameweek 27. The contrast is clear with Liam Rosenior’s side sitting in 14 places above Scott Parker’s men.
They are looking to capitalise on Manchester United’s later kickoff. Whereas, Burnley are buoyed by a dramatic 3-2 comeback win over Crystal Palace. But, they’re still nine points adrift of safety. Chelsea are entering this fixture after a rare full week of preparation. It was their first extended break since Rosenior replaced Enzo Maresca.
Despite a frustrating 2-2 home draw with Leeds where they surrendered a two-goal lead, the Blues had previously secured four straight league wins. Meanwhile, Burnley had drawn three and lost two of their last five before beating Palace. Hence, both teams have shown inconsistency in their recent games.
You can find more of our soccer predictions on our main picks hub. Here’s how we’re betting Chelsea vs Burnley tonight, including our Best Bet, a Same-Game Parlay, and key trends to know.
Chelsea vs Burnley Match Details
Competition: Premier League
Date & kickoff: Saturday, February 21, 2026 – 10:00 AM ET / 3:00 PM GT
Venue: Stamford Bridge Stadium, London, England
Expected XIs: Chelsea 4-2-3-1 vs Burnley 3-4-2-1
Best Bet for Chelsea vs Burnley
Our best bet for Chelsea vs Burnley is Both Teams to Score: No at -145 (BetMGM) / -134 (FanDuel).
Chelsea have conceded more than once in just two of their last seven league fixtures. Their xGA over that stretch also sits below 1.2 per match. It shows an improved midfield balance for the Blues despite Romeo Lavia’s absence. At Stamford Bridge, they have kept clean sheets in three of their last five league outings. Burnley’s away profile reinforces the selection.
Although Zian Flemming has scored all five of his league goals on the road, the Clarets are averaging under 1.0 xG per match across their last eight league trips on the road. Injuries to Zeki Amdouni and Josh Cullen will reduce vertical threat and midfield progression. Against a Chelsea side conceding limited high-value shots, a Burnley blank is statistically plausible.
Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction
Our pick: Chelsea to Win at -450 (BetMGM) / -550 (FanDuel)
Chelsea have won four of their last six league matches. They’ve also generated over 1.8 xG in five of those contests. Cole Palmer is expected to return after a precautionary rest in their FA Cup clash. He has scored four goals in his last two Premier League appearances. Three of them were from the penalty spot.
He is also boasting eight goals and six assists against promoted sides since last season. His ability to draw fouls and convert from the spot raises Chelsea’s scoring probability significantly. Burnley’s 17 defeats this campaign proves their defensive fragility. They have conceded 1.9 goals per game across their last 10 league fixtures.
They are also vulnerable in transition, especially when full-backs advance. Although the Clarets are unbeaten in their last two visits to Stamford Bridge (1-1 in 2021 and 2-2 in 2024), the current Chelsea side possess greater attacking efficiency under Rosenior. With Manchester United not playing until Monday, the Blues have immediate incentive to secure three points.
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Same-Game Parlay (Bet Builder) for Chelsea vs Burnley
Bet $100 to Win $445.94 (FanDuel) Total Goals Under 3.5 (-148) + BTTS: No (-134) + Joao Pedro to Score Anytime (-115)
Chelsea matches at home have stayed under 3.5 goals in four of their last six league games. That’s largely due to their structured buildup and measured tempo once leading. Pairing Under 3.5 with BTTS: No predicts that they might manage a 2-0 or 3-0 win. Including Joao Pedro captures his recent surge in output. The Brazilian has four goals and one assist in his last five league appearances.
That is, compared to five combined goal contributions in his prior 19. His shot volume has increased to over three attempts per 90 minutes in that span. He also benefits from Palmer’s creative service between the lines. Against a Burnley defence missing Jordan Beyer and Connor Roberts, Pedro’s movement in central channels offers strong value.
Chelsea are expected to control possession, limiting Burnley’s chance creation, and relying on Pedro as the primary finisher. Burnley’s average of fewer than 10 shots per away game across their last eight trips indicates limited attacking volume. Meanwhile, Chelsea’s defensive structure has reduced opponents’ big chances, even in matches where they conceded from isolated errors. A disciplined home display with Pedro capitalising on high-percentage opportunities seems plausible.
Over 2.5: -225 / Under 2.5: +160 Over 3.5: +110 / Under 3.5: -155
Over 2.5: -215 / Under 2.5: +172 Over 3.5: +120 / Under 3.5: -148
BTTS
Yes: +105 / No: -145
Yes: +104 / No: -134
Asian Handicap
Chelsea -1.25: -208 / -1.50: -154 Burnley +1.25: +165
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Draw No Bet
Chelsea: -1600 Burnley: +750
Chelsea: -2000 Burnley: +1260
Double Chance
Chelsea or Draw: -2000 Burnley or Draw: +310
Chelsea or Draw: -3000 Burnley or Draw: +380
Trends to Know for Chelsea vs Burnley
League Gap: Chelsea sit 14 places above Burnley entering gameweek 27.
Home Record: The Blues have six wins, four draws, and three losses at Stamford Bridge this season.
Recent Form: Chelsea had won four straight league matches before drawing with Leeds.
Burnley Resilience: The Clarets have drawn three of their last six league games and recently overturned a 2-0 deficit to beat Crystal Palace.
Capital Results: Seven of Burnley’s eight Premier League points against Chelsea have come in London.
Pedro’s Form: Joao Pedro has contributed five goal involvements in his last five league appearances.
Latest Injuries & Lineup News for Chelsea vs Burnley
In soccer, injuries and rotations can drastically alter how a match plays out, especially when it comes to BTTS, totals, and goalscorer markets. Navigating through a few key injuries in this clash, both coaches will look to lineup their strongest XI. Here are the players who are either doubtful or are set to miss out:
Team
Player
Status
Notes
Burnley
Connor Roberts
Out
Achilles
Burnley
Mike Tresor
Out
Ankle
Burnley
Jordan Beyer
Out
Thigh
Burnley
Zeki Amdouni
Out
Knee
Burnley
Axel Tuanzebe
Out
Heel
Burnley
Josh Cullen
Out
Knee
Chelsea
Marc Cucurella.
Out
Hamstring
Chelsea
Levi Colwill.
Out
Knee
Chelsea
Dario Essugo.
Out
Thigh
Chelsea
Jamie Gittens.
Out
Thigh
Chelsea
Filip Jorgensen.
Doubtful
Hamstring
Reminder: Always check confirmed lineups 60–75 minutes before kickoff, especially for goalscorer and BTTS markets.
How to watch – quick Q&A
What time is Chelsea vs Burnley?
Chelsea vs Burnley kicks off at 10:00 AM ET on Saturday, February 21, 2026 (3:00 PM local UK time).
Where is the match being played?
The match will be played at the Stamford Bridge Stadium in London, England.
How can I watch on TV / stream?
Broadcast rights vary by territory. In the US, the Premier League can be telecast on Peacock. Unfortunately, the match will not be telecast in the UK. The match will also be available to stream on these broadcasters’ official websites.
Football writer at The Playoffs. I’ve been obsessed with the beautiful game since I was a kid.. Eventually, I realized I could combine my passion for writing with my love for football, and I’ve never looked back. My favorite part of the job is everything—when you’re doing what you love, even a late-night deadline feels like extra time in a thrilling cup final. Lastly, Lionel Messi is the GOAT.
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