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Amanda Anisimova vs. Peyton Stearns Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & How to Watch
Fourth seed Amanda Anisimova is set to clash with Peyton Stearns in the third round of the 2026 Australian Open in Melbourne, and both players have come through the opening rounds with minimal stress. Anisimova has handled Simona Wallert and Katerina Siniakova in straight sets, while Stearns has also delivered two clean wins, knocking out 27th seed Sofia Kenin and Petra Marcinko without dropping a set.
The market is still treating this as a clear Anisimova spot, and the stats back it. Anisimova enters as world No. 4 and even with a recent Brisbane Round of 16 loss to Marta Kostyuk, her 2025 stats were top tier. This includes titles in Doha and Beijing, plus final runs in London, Wimbledon, and the US Open. Over 73 matches, her stats were 43.9% return points won and a 47.3% breakpoint conversion rate, giving her a reliable pressure base.
Stearns is ranked No. 68 and her game is real, but her consistency remains the main issue. She peaked at world No. 28 last May and had a major spike with a semifinal run in Rome, but outside of Dubai and Madrid, she rarely pushed beyond the second round. Statistically, she’s closer to Anisimova in ‘numbers,’ with 43% return points won and 44.7% breakpoint conversion. But she played in 40 matches (making the % seem higher than reality). Plus, her recent results heading into Melbourne were volatile.
For today’s tennis picks, here’s how we’re betting on Amanda Anisimova vs. Peyton Stearns today, including our Best Bet, supporting angles, and a set-score prop for bigger prices.
Best Bet: Amanda Anisimova -5.5 Games (-124, FanDuel)
Book: Best price at FanDuel
Our best bet for Amanda Anisimova vs. Peyton Stearns is Amanda Anisimova -5.5 Games (-124, FanDuel).
Given below are the latest odds for Amanda Anisimova vs. Peyton Stearns from the top sportsbooks. We are looking at the match money line, game handicap and total games, plus some set betting markets where available.
| Market | FanDuel | BetMGM |
| Moneyline | Anisimova -720 / Stearns +500 | Anisimova -650 / Stearns +460 |
| Game Handicap | Anisimova -5.5 (-124) / Stearns +5.5 (-108) | Anisimova -5.5 (-118) / Stearns +5.5 (-110) |
| Total Games | Over 19.5 (-108) / Under 19.5 (-126) | Over 19.5 (-104) / Under 19.5 (-118) |
| Set Betting | Anisimova 2-0 (-210) / Stearns 2-0 (+900) | Anisimova 2-0 (-208) / Stearns 2-0 (+950) |
| Total Sets | Over 2.5 (+220) / Under 2.5 (-320) | Over 2.5 (+225) / Under 2.5 (-300) |
Our Pick: Amanda Anisimova -5.5 Games (-124, FanDuel).
The books are pricing Anisimova as the correct favorite (-720). Stearns isn’t coming in cold, as she’s seen the ball well through two rounds, and her return numbers in 2025 (43% return points won) suggest she can create pressure too.
Still, the matchup edge sits with Anisimova. Even with a modest 63.9% first-serve points won, she compensates with high-end returning (43.9% return points won) and strong break conversion (47.3%). Stearns’ break conversion (44.7%) is solid, but her season-to-season consistency and ranking slide indicate that holding her level for an entire match has been the issue.
That’s why Anisimova -5.5 games (-124 at FanDuel) is the best price-efficient angle compared to Anisimova 2-0 (-210). Rest seems to be clear on its own, especially in this matchup.
Peyton Stearns has the lead 1-0 in her head-to-head against Amanda Anisimova.
| Year | Winner | Event | Round | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Peyton Stearns | Madrid | Round of 64 | 6-2, 2-6, 7-5 |
Projection: Amanda Anisimova wins in straight sets.
Higher Variance Set Bet: Amanda Anisimova 2-0 (-210, FanDuel). Given that this is a higher variance bet, it is recommended to use this as a secondary option rather than a primary one.
TV broadcasters for the 2026 Australian Open include ESPN and ESPN2 in the United States, TNT Sports in the United Kingdom, Channel 9 Network in Australia, Eurosport across Europe, beIN Sports in the Middle East and North Africa, and TSN/RDS in Canada, with streaming on 9NOW for Australian viewers.
Streaming options vary by region and often require subscriptions. Viewers can access full coverage via ESPN+ (USA, all courts/multiview), Discovery+ (UK/Europe), Stan Sport (Australia), and global platforms like Tennis TV for select ATP matches on devices worldwide.
| Match | Amanda Anisimova vs. Peyton Stearns |
| Date | January 24, 2026 |
| Start Time | Not before 12:00 PM AEDT |
| Tournament | Australian Open 2026 |
| Event Type | Women’s Singles (Grand Slam) |
| Surface | Outdoor Hard Court |
| Court | Margaret Court Arena, Melbourne Park, Melbourne, Australia |
| TV Coverage | ESPN, ESPN2, Tennis Channel (US), TNT Sports (UK), Channel 9 Network (Australia), Eurosport (Europe), beIN Sports (MENA), TSN/RDS (Canada), 9NOW |
| Live Streaming | ESPN+ (US, all courts), Discovery+ (UK/Europe), Stan Sport (Australia), Tennis TV (global ATP select) |
Mandatory Image Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images
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