Jakub Mensik vs. Hamad Medjedovic Prediction, Odds & Best Bets (ATP ASB Classic 2026, Round of 16, January 14)

Jakub Mensik vs. Hamad Medjedovic Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & How to Watch

Third seed Jakub Mensik opens his 2026 ASB Classic (Auckland) campaign in the second round against qualifier Hamad Medjedovic, with Mensik coming off a first-round bye and Medjedovic already tested after a three-set win over Aleksander Kovacevic.

Mensik is the higher-ranked and higher-ceiling player at world No. 18, and his serve profile is a major reason why he’s favored. Last season he produced 679 aces with 78% first-serve points won, plus 29% first-serve return points won and a 39% break-point conversion rate (329 chances). Those are strong “win through serve and enough return pressure” stats, especially in Auckland where short points and clean holds often decide outcomes.

Jakub Mensik in Auckland 🎾 pic.twitter.com/VqtasmKAxa
— Mario Boccardi (@boccardi_marioo) January 10, 2026

Medjedovic (world No. 96, career-high No. 57) can also put points on the board quickly. He hit 256 aces last season, won 73% of first-serve points, and posted 28% first-serve return points won with a 36% break-point conversion rate. The statistical gap isn’t massive, which is why the market isn’t pricing Mensik as a runaway favorite. The key betting question is whether Mensik’s top-end serving and overall quality justify laying juice or not.

For today’s tennis picks, here’s how we’re betting on Jakub Mensik vs. Hamad Medjedovic today, including our Best Bet, supporting angles, and a set-score prop for bigger prices.

Tournament & Round: ASB Classic, Round of 16
Surface: Outdoor Hard Court
Format: Best of Three Sets
Date & Start Time: January 14, Not before 7:10 PM NZDT Local Time
Court: Centre Court, ASB Tennis Centre, Auckland, New Zealand

Best Bet: Over 2.5 Sets (+122, FanDuel)

Book: Best price at FanDuel

Our best bet for Jakub Mensik vs. Hamad Medjedovic is Over 2.5 Sets (+122, FanDuel).

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Jakub Mensik vs. Hamad Medjedovic Odds

Market	FanDuel	BetMGM
Moneyline	Mensik -148 / Medjedovic +122	Mensik -150 / Medjedovic +135
Game Handicap	Mensik -1.5 (-120) / Medjedovic +1.5 (-110)	Mensik -2.5 (-105) / Medjedovic +2.5 (-125)
Total Games	22.5 Over -128 / Under -104	23.5 Over +100 / Under -133
Set Betting	Mensik 2-0 (+160) / Medjedovic 2-0 (+270)	Mensik 2-0 (+145) / Medjedovic 2-0 (+300)
Total Sets	Over +122 / Under -166	Over +130 / Under -175

Odds Updated: January 13, 2026 – 2:00 PM EST

Jakub Mensik vs. Hamad Medjedovic Prediction & Picks

Our Pick: Over 2.5 Sets (+122, FanDuel)

Mensik deserves to be favored, and the baseline stats support the market position. 679 aces with 78% first-serve points and his 29% first-serve return points won give him enough traction to create break chances. If he’s physically sound, he’s the cleaner player across most rally scripts.

But the betting value isn’t necessarily in paying the moneyline. This matchup has the exact ingredients that often lead to extended matches, as both players hold frequently, and neither is an elite returner (stat-wise). The difference between winning and losing can easily come down to one tiebreak or one rough service game.

That’s why Over 2.5 sets (+122) is the best risk/reward angle. You’re not required to pick the winner; rather, you’re betting that the serve-centric matchup and fairly close underlying serve/return rates translate into at least one set swing. It’s still a volatile market (a single break-heavy set ruins it), but it prices better than laying juice on Mensik and hoping the favorite avoids a tiebreak loss.

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Jakub Mensik Recent Form

US Open – Second Round
Beijing – Quarterfinal (Retired)
Shanghai – R64
Basel – R16 (Retired)
Paris Masters – R64 (Withdrawn)

Forehand FILTH 😱@mensik_jakub_ dials it in from way downtown! #UnitedCup pic.twitter.com/Bvu9PQWCqc
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) January 5, 2026

Hamad Medjedovic Recent Form

Tokyo – R32
Shanghai – R128 (Retired)
Almaty – R32
Vienna – R32
Paris Masters – Qualifiers

Hamad Holds On

Injuries have stymied his progress, but I'm still a big believer in the potential of Hamad Medjedovic.

The 22yo Serbian (and 2023 NextGen Finals champion) goes the distance to get the win over last week's Brisbane semifinalist, Aleks Kovacevic, 6-4, 3-6, 7-6². pic.twitter.com/8jhIIYKUk3
— Tick Tock Tennis (@TickTockTennis) January 13, 2026

Head-to-Head History

Jakub Mensik and Hamad Medjedovic do not have a head-to-head record yet.

Final Score Prediction & Set-Betting Prop

Projection: Mensik wins in three sets.

Supplementary Set Bet (Higher Variance): Jakub Mensik 2-0 Sets (+160, FanDuel). If Mensik’s serve lands early and he wins the first-set tiebreak-type moments, he can absolutely close in straights. But it’s a higher risk than total position and due to the variance, it is recommended to keep this as a secondary option.

How can I watch Jakub Mensik vs. Hamad Medjedovic on TV and live stream?

TV broadcasters for the ATP ASB Classic 2026 include Tennis Channel (US), beIN Sports (Australia), Sky Sports (UK), and Eurosport (Europe).

Streaming options depend on region and typically require a subscription. Viewers can watch via Tennis TV, the ATP Tour app, Stan Sport (Australia), Sky Sports Now, and Discovery+.

Match	Jakub Mensik vs. Hamad Medjedovic
Date	January 14, 2026
Start Time	Not before 7:10 PM NZDT
Tournament	ASB Classic 2026
Event Type	Men’s Singles (ATP 250)
Surface	Outdoor Hard Court
Court	Centre Court, ASB Tennis Centre, Auckland, New Zealand
TV Coverage	Tennis Channel (US), beIN Sports (Australia), Sky Sports (UK), Eurosport (Europe)
Live Streaming	Tennis TV, ATP Tour App, Stan Sport (Australia), Sky Sports Now, Discovery+

Mandatory Image Credit: David Gonzales-Imagn Images

Rudra Dubey

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I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.