$1,500
Highly anticipated opening round action awaits in Beijing.
No. 2 seed Alexander Zverev has a nightmarish draw at the 2025 China Open in Beijing, starting with a complicated Round of 32 battle against Lorenzo Sonego. Although the German powerhouse has a convincing record against the 30-year-old, he is currently on a low in terms of form and confidence. The winner of this match will advance to the pre-quarterfinals, where they will face either Tallon Griekspoor or Corentin Moutet. Let’s break down this contest, followed by the BetMGM betting odds.
At the 2025 Laver Cup, Alexander Zverev confirmed that he has been dealing with some back issues since the US Open. The German World No. 3 has arguably encountered a below par season, when contextualized with his high standards. After reaching another Grand Slam final at Melbourne Park, Sascha failed to enter another summit clash until he won the BMW Open in April. Another dry patch was followed by a runner-up finish in Stuttgart and semifinals at Halle, Toronto and Cincinnati. The 28-year-old went winless at the Laver Cup, and has a 45-17 record in 2025.
While he is one among ATP stars with an extremely high ceiling, Lorenzo Sonego has struggled to find consistency on tour. At the age of 30, he has won four singles titles during the course of his career. Yet, Sonego’s 2025 record of 17-22 does not do justice to his immense potential. The Italian World No. 44 began the year by reaching his maiden Grand Slam quarterfinal at the Australian Open. Since then, another last eight finish at the Open 13 happens to be his best performance.
The head-to-head between Alexander Zverev and Lorenzo Sonego is currently 5-0 in favor of the German. Zverev has dropped just two sets across five encounters vs the Italian, and also beat him once this year.
| Event | Round | Winner | Score |
| 2025 Halle | Round of 16 | Alexander Zverev | 3-6 6-4 7-6(2) |
| 2024 Halle | Round of 16 | Alexander Zverev | 6-4 7-6(5) |
| 2024 United Cup | Round Robin | Alexander Zverev | 6-7(5) 6-3 6-4 |
| 2023 Dubai | Quarterfinal | Alexander Zverev | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2021 Monte Carlo | Round of 32 | Alexander Zverev | 6-3 6-3 |
| Alexander Zverev | Category | Lorenzo Sonego |
| 3 | Current Ranking | 44 |
| 508-215 | Career W-L Record | 159-177 |
| 45-17 | YTD W-L Record | 17-22 |
| 24 | Career Titles | 4 |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 0 |
| 0 | Grand Slams | 0 |
Zverev’s quality and talent has never been in question. While the German has victories over the best players in the world over the years, he currently lacks the conviction required to win big titles. He has a knack of choosing the safer option, rather than trusting his ability and going for the kill. On the other hand, Sonego tends to up his level against the top ranked players, and plays an attacking brand of tennis. We sense that he could pounce on Zverev’s second serves and potentially cause an upset in Beijing.
Prediction: Lorenzo Sonego in three sets.
Zverev starts as the favorite against underdog Sonego in the ATP-500 at Beijing. According to the implied probability on the money line, he has a 78% chance of advancing to the pre-quarterfinal stage. Here are the odds (as per BetMGM):
(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)
(Image Credits: Geoff Burke, Imagn Images)
