Brandon Nakashima vs. Juncheng Shang Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for ATP Chengdu Open 2025 Round of 16

Defending champ Shang faces steady Nakashima in high-stakes Chengdu clash.

Fourth seed Brandon Nakashima will face wild card Juncheng Shang in the second round of the Chengdu Open 2025. Nakashima received a first-round bye, while Shang battled past Zizou Bergs in three sets.

Nakashima’s season has been a mix of promise and frustration. The American, who claimed his lone singles title in San Diego back in 2022, has yet to add another. He did capture a doubles crown in Delray Beach with Miomir Kecmanovic, but his singles results have been steady rather than spectacular. Semifinal runs in Mexico and Houston highlighted his season, while quarterfinal runs in Delray, Bordeaux, Stuttgart, London, and Washington helped him climb to a career-high No. 29 in June. Still, early exits have been all too common, with no progress beyond the round of 16 elsewhere. Statistically, he’s produced 418 aces this year, winning 74% of first-serve points, 28% on first-serve returns, and converting 36% of his 310 break points.

Grand drama at Grandstand!

Brandon Nakashima survives a wild five-setter against the qualifier Jesper de Jong. pic.twitter.com/d5jsqBxgSq
— US Open Tennis (@usopen) August 25, 2025

Shang, meanwhile, returns to Chengdu as the defending champion and Chinese No. 2. His breakthrough win here in 2024 made him just the second Chinese man to lift an ATP trophy in the Open Era. That triumph propelled him to No. 49, the first player born in 2005 or later to crack the Top 50. But injuries have slowed his rise. After a semifinal in Hong Kong to open 2025, he underwent right foot surgery in March and only returned in Toronto. Since then, he has yet to go past the first round of any event. His season stats are 38 aces, 73% first-serve points won, 26% return success, and a 34% break point conversion rate.

China’s Juncheng Shang 🇨🇳 advance to the Round of 16 at the ATP 250 Chengdu Open, edging past Belgium’s Zizou Bergs 🇧🇪6-1, 5-7, 6-4 in the opening round. pic.twitter.com/48RV4j6sZd
— Asian Tennis Federation (@asian_tennis) September 17, 2025

Brandon Nakashima vs. Juncheng Shang Head-to-Head Record

Brandon Nakashima and Juncheng Shang do not have a head-to-head yet.

Brandon Nakashima vs. Juncheng Shang Comparison

Brandon Nakashima	Category	Juncheng Shang
33	Current Ranking	138
121-102	Career W-L	32-37
26-22	YTD W-L	3-5
1	Career Titles	1
0	Grand Slams	0
0	YTD Titles	0

Brandon Nakashima vs. Juncheng Shang Prediction

Nakashima’s steady serve and quarterfinal consistency give him the edge, yet Shang’s return to the site of his career-defining triumph makes this clash intriguing. Expect Nakashima’s form to prevail, though.

Brandon Nakashima takes the first set in a tiebreak over Ben Shelton pic.twitter.com/7i6iGKIJZA
— Sportsnet (@Sportsnet) August 2, 2025

Prediction: Brandon Nakashima in straight sets

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Brandon Nakashima vs. Juncheng Shang ATP Chengdu Open 2025 Betting Odds

At -158, Nakashima enters as the favorite thanks to his stronger 2025 results, while Shang at +130 represents a value underdog. If Shang taps into the form that won him Chengdu last year, he could upset, but the safer play remains Nakashima.

Here are the betting odds according to FanDuel:

Brandon Nakashima: -158

Juncheng Shang: +130

Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via FanDuel):

Total Sets Under 2.5: -168

Total Sets Over 2.5: +128

Total Game Over 22.5: -120

Total Games Under 22.5: -110

Nakashima Set 1 Winner: -136

Shang Set 1 Winner: +112

(According to FanDuel: FanDuel offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use FanDuel to ace your betting game in all sports!)

Mandatory Image Credit: John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images

Rudra Dubey

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I’m an academic turned sports writer from Raipur, India, specializing in the NFL, MMA, and tennis at The Playoffs. I previously wrote for Sportskeeda and hold a B.A. and M.A. in History. My journey into sports media began far from the field, rooted in the arts and sciences. Funny enough, I didn’t grow up a sports fan; I used to see it all as just noise. But a fateful writing job introduced me to the world of sports, and what began as a gig quickly became a passion. I understood those voices aren’t noise; they’re emotions of true sports fans, and now I am one of them, writing with the same energy I once questioned.