Aug 27, 2025; Flushing, NY, USA; Carlos Alcaraz of Spain celebrates after his victory over Mattia Bellucci of Italy in the second round of the men’s singles at the US Open at Arthur Ashe Stadium in Billie Jean King National Tennis Center.

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Carlos Alcaraz vs. Luciano Darderi Preview, Prediction and Betting Odds for US Open 2025 Round-3

Winner to face Bonzi or Rinderknech in Round-4.

Looking in scintillating touch so far, World No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz is set to hunt down a spot in the US Open 2025 Round of 16 on Friday. He will be challenged by 32nd seed Luciano Darderi of Italy in what will be their first career meeting. Both players have had contrasting encounters to reach this stage of the tournament. Today, we will preview this clash and look at the favourable odds to place your bets via BetMGM.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Luciano Darderi Match Preview

Apart from a shock loss in the opening round of the Miami Open, Carlos Alcaraz has reached the QFs or better at every single event he has competed in 2025. He leads the tour with six trophies across the season, and is currently on a streak of entering seven consecutive finals. The five-time Grand Slam champion won Roland Garros in June, before relinquishing his Wimbledon crown the following month. His mind-boggling 56-6 record this year gets compounded by an immaculate 55% points won on hard court return points.

Alcaraz kicks it into another gear 💥#USOpen pic.twitter.com/MHiMz6lxRt
— Roland-Garros (@rolandgarros) August 28, 2025

Luciano Darderi has shown a consistent level on tour this year, resulting in him achieving his career-best outing in three out of the four majors. Currently ranked No. 34 in the world, the 23-year-old Italian has won three titles in 2025. After losing in Round-1 at five out of seven events, Darderi announced himself with a championship run at the Grand Prix Hassan II. After reaching multiple QFs on clay, he followed it up with consecutive titles in Bastad and Umag. Wins over Hijikata and Spizzirri have improved Darderi’s record to 27-19 this year.

The head-to-head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Luciano Darderi is 0-0. They will face each other for the first time in Friday’s US Open 2025 contest.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Luciano Darderi Career Comparison

Carlos Alcaraz	Category	Luciano Darderi
2	Current Ranking	34
265-62	Career W-L Record	52-47
56-6	YTD W-L Record	27-19
22	Career Titles	4
6	YTD Titles	3
5	Grand Slams	0

Carlos Alcaraz vs Luciano Darderi US Open 2025 Prediction

Alcaraz seems to be adopting a more attacking approach even on first serve return games, and will look to continue that against Darderi. Erasing memories of last year’s Round-2 defeat, the Spaniard won 58% first serve return points on Wednesday. With a potential semifinal against Djokovic and a blockbuster summit clash vs Sinner on the cards, it seems like nothing can stop the man of the hour. Darderi may be able to complicate matters with the depth that his groundstrokes bring, but it will seemingly delay the inevitable.

Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz in four sets.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Luciano Darderi US Open 2025 Betting Odds

Alcaraz is the favourite to win this fixture by a massive margin. While the money line gives him a 90% chance of romping home to victory, Darderi is currently slumping with 12/1 odds for Friday’s match-up. Take a look at the match result odds (as per BetMGM):

Carlos Alcaraz Win: 1/50
Luciano Darderi Win: 12/1

Total Games >29.5: 10/11
Total Games By Darderi >10.5: 9/10
Total Games By Alcaraz >18.5: 7/10
Total Sets <3.5: 1/3
Darderi +8.5 (Game Handicap): 19/20
Darderi to Win At Least 1 Set (Yes): 9/5
Total Number of Tiebreaks <0.5: 4/9

(According to BetMGM: BetMGM offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use BetMGM to ace your betting game in all sports!)

(Image Credits: Mike Frey, Imagn Images)

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Carlos Alcaraz

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US Open 2025

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.