Given the trend in last five Champions League finals, let's take a look at the most likely exact results here.
As Paris Saint-Germain prepare to battle Inter Milan in the 2024–25 UEFA Champions League final, all eyes are on what the scoreline might be at full-time. From statistical trends in recent finals to each team’s road to Munich, this clash promises to be a tactical and psychological test—where a single moment could make the difference.
Unlike the two-legged knockout rounds, the Champions League final is a one-off encounter. It adds pressure on both the teams while significantly changing how teams approach the game. There’s no second chance and often, a conservative strategy that prioritizes control over chaos. History supports this: only one of the last five Champions League finals has produced more than a single goal.
| Year | Final Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Real Madrid 2-0 Borussia Dortmund | Real Madrid |
| 2023 | Manchester City 1-0 Inter | Manchester City |
| 2022 | Real Madrid 1-0 Liverpool | Real Madrid |
| 2021 | Chelsea 1-0 Manchester City | Chelsea |
| 2020 | Bayern Munich 1-0 PSG | Bayern Munich |
Four out of the last five finals have ended with a 1-0 scoreline. None of the last six finals in the Champions League has seen both teams scoring, a far cry from the 2011–2018 streak where BTTS (both teams to score) was a reliable prediction in each of thr final.
Inter Milan’s games have featured high-scoring thrillers, while PSG have leaned more towards tactical control.
A closely fought contest is expected here with goals at a premium. As a result, the likelihood of either extra time and penalties remains high. Given the trend in last five Champions League finals and the nature of one-off finals, the most likely exact results according to BetMGM are:
| Scoreline | Odds |
|---|---|
| PSG 1-0 | +675 |
| Inter 1-0 | +900 |
| 0-0 (FT) | +825 |
| 1-1 | +550 |
| Scoreline | Odds | Scoreline | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG 1–0 | +675 | Inter 1–0 | +900 |
| PSG 2–0 | +950 | Inter 2–0 | +1550 |
| PSG 2–1 | +800 | Inter 2–1 | +1050 |
| PSG 3–1 | +1500 | Inter 3–1 | +2200 |
| PSG 3–2 | +2200 | Inter 3–2 | +2800 |
| PSG 0–0 | +825 | 1–1 | +550 |
| 2–2 | +1250 | 3–3 | +4000 |
| PSG 4–2 | +4500 | Inter 4–2 | +6000 |
The odds for scorelines beyond 4 goals rises significantly. This is because of the rarity of such results in Champions League finals. While the scoring firepower of both teams might suggest fireworks, the weight of the occasion combined with good territorial defence of both the teams could make the game a low-scoring one. As a result, the prediction towards a 1–0 or 2–1 finish. The most probable result based on current odds and recent trends? A narrow 1–0 win—most likely in regular time, but extra time or penalties remain very possible.
Whether PSG finally lifts their first-ever Champions League trophy or Inter secures continental glory once more, history suggests this final will be a low-scoring chess match rather than a goal-fest.
Odds via BetMGM
| Teams | Moneyline | Total Goals |
| PSG | Win: +115 Draw: +240 | Over 2.5: -120 Under 2.5: -115 |
| Inter Milan | Win: +240 Draw: +240 | Over 3.5: +195 Under 3.5: -285 |
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