Jun 9 2023; Paris,France; Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) reacts to a point during his semifinal match against Novak Djokovic (SRB) on day 13 at Stade Roland-Garros.

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Carlos Alcaraz vs. Lorenzo Musetti Head to Head Record, Preview and Prediction for ATP Monte Carlo Masters 2025 Final

Who will win the first clay court Masters-1000 trophy of the year?

Jun 9 2023; Paris,France; Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) reacts to a point during his semifinal match against Novak Djokovic (SRB) on day 13 at Stade Roland-Garros.

We started with a field of 64, and it is finally down to two men. Both players are clay court maestros, and both of them are medalists from the 2024 Paris Olympics which was contested on the red dirt. Carlos Alcaraz is contesting his first Masters-1000 final in over a year. On the other side of the net is Lorenzo Musetti, who is looking to enter the ATP Top-10 for the first time in his career.

The moment Carlos Alcaraz pulled out his dreaded smile while starting a terrific comeback against Arthur Fils, there was a sense that he was here for the fight. The 21-year-old will contest his third consecutive clay court final – having won Roland Garros and a silver medal at the Olympics last year. He also beat Francisco Cerundolo in Round-1 and overcame Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the semifinal en route to the summit clash.

Lorenzo Musetti has won the first set in just 1/5 matches at the Principality this year. Yet, his ability to paint the lines in the tense moments has set him apart from the competition. By defeating Alex de Minaur in a thrilling semifinal, he entered the first Masters-1000 final of his career. At 23, the Italian has already earned ten Top-10 victories. His other noteworthy victories were against defending champion Stefanos Tsitsipas and compatriot Matteo Berrettini.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti Head to Head Record

The head to head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti stands at 3-1 in favour of the Spanish former World No. 1.

Musetti’s only victory in this duel came in the first encounter between the two young guns – at the 2022 Hamburg Open final. Post this, the 23-year-old has failed to take a single set off Alcaraz’s racquet. This will be the third time these two players face off on the hallowed red dirt – the most recent of them coming at Roland Garros in 2023.

Event	Round	Winner	Score
2024 Miami Masters	Round of 16	Carlos Alcaraz	6-3 6-3
2023 Beijing	Round of 16	Carlos Alcaraz	6-2 6-2
2023 Roland Garros	Round of 16	Carlos Alcaraz	6-3 6-2 6-2
2022 Hamburg	Final	Lorenzo Musetti	6-4 6-7(6) 6-4

Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti Titles Comparison

Carlos Alcaraz	Category	Lorenzo Musetti
4	Grand Slams	0
17	ATP Singles Titles	2
0	ATP Doubles Titles	0
5	Masters-1000 Titles	0
6	ATP-500 Titles	1
Silver (Paris 2024)	Olympics Best Performance	Bronze (Paris 2024)
No. 3	Current World Ranking	No. 16

Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti Monte Carlo Masters 2025 Final Prediction

🇮🇹 23-year-old Musetti vs 21-year-old Alcaraz 🇪🇸

Who wins the Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters title?! pic.twitter.com/yaOFa43kNX
— Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters (@ROLEXMCMASTERS) April 12, 2025

Although Carlos Alcaraz is the ATP’s oracle when it comes to adapting tactics to his opponent like a chameleon, the onus will be on Musetti to do so on Sunday. The Italian will aim to catch the Spaniard off guard by taking pace off the ball, whilst also injecting power towards Alcaraz’s backhand. Expect a match that could go deep into the afternoon, as both men thrive on gritting it out, and enjoy taking the scenic route towards success.

Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz in three sets.

Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti Monte Carlo Masters 2025 Final Betting Odds

Carlos Alcaraz Win: -400

Lorenzo Musetti Win: +325

ATP

ATP Masters 1000

Betting

Carlos Alcaraz

Lorenzo Musetti

Monte Carlo Masters

Tennis

Sankalp Harikrishnan

A passionate sports fan through and through, I am currently pursuing my MA in Global Sports Journalism. I specialise in tennis and football writing at The Playoffs News, and I have prior experience working at EssentiallySports and Sportskeeda. Born and raised in Bengaluru, India, sport was my safe space right from my childhood. After trying my hand at multiple sports and representing my educational institutions in cricket, badminton and table tennis, I found sports media to be my calling.