West Bromwich Albion
Burnley
>Championship · 2West Bromwich Albion vs Burnley: Prediction and Odds, Championship, 23/08/2026
The Hawthorns hosts a heavyweight Championship clash on August 23 when West Bromwich Albion welcome Burnley, two recently relegated sides hungry for an immediate Premier League return. West Brom, priced at 2.84, carry early momentum after a winning start, while Burnley's stuttering form makes this a pivotal early-season encounter.
Projected final score: 1-1
The H2H record is the defining factor here: Burnley are unbeaten in their last 7 meetings with West Brom, including back-to-back 1-1 and 0-0 results. West Brom's early-season momentum and home advantage make them slight favourites at 2.84, but that draw-heavy DNA against this opponent makes a share of the spoils the most structurally sound outcome.
Both sides have been scoring and conceding freely early in the season, with Burnley averaging 2.0 goals against per game and West Brom netting 2.0 per game themselves. Attacking absences on both sides, including Johnston and Banel, cap the ceiling, making a tight two-goal affair the most likely outcome, supporting 1.73 as the sensible total market angle.
Recommended Bets for West Bromwich Albion vs Burnley
West Bromwich Albion vs Burnley, Odds Comparison
Match Analysis
West Bromwich Albion enter this Championship clash as the home favourite at 2.84, backed by a confident 2-1 opening-day win at Norwich and a clear statistical edge in possession and shots on target at The Hawthorns.
- 2-1 win at Norwich on matchday one places West Brom 5th, showing early promotion-level form.
- 52.5% average possession and 4.1 shots on target per game give West Brom a measurable home advantage.
- 12.5 shots per game versus Burnley's 10.7 underlines West Brom's greater attacking output this season.
- Harry Whitwell returns from a precautionary calf issue, boosting defensive stability for Morrison's backline.
Burnley arrive at 2.44 carrying a DDDLD run of five matches without a win and sitting 11th, yet their historical record against the Baggies offers genuine grounds for confidence heading into this fixture.
- Burnley missing three key players: Cullen (ACL), Beyer (knee) and Banel (training injury) weaken midfield and defence.
- 2.0 goals conceded per game this season exposes a defensive fragility that West Brom will look to exploit.
- A DDDLD run across five recent matches signals a lack of consistency and cutting edge in the final third.
Key point: With both sides averaging 2.0 goals scored per game and porous defences, the double chance home or draw combined with over 2.5 goals merits consideration at 2.84.
Statistics and Head-to-Head
Form & Statistics: West Bromwich Albion vs Burnley
West Bromwich Albion
Recent form
Season statistics (2)
Burnley
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
West Bromwich Albion vs Burnley: Head-to-Head
Average statistics (recent meetings)
Probabilities & Odds: West Bromwich Albion vs Burnley
Source : 1xBetMatch Information
Final thoughts on the predictions for West Bromwich Albion vs Burnley
West Brom's strong start, home advantage at The Hawthorns, and Burnley's inability to win any of their last five matches all point toward the Baggies avoiding defeat here. The double chance covering a home win or draw, anchored by the home price at 2.84, represents the soundest approach for this fixture. Our prediction: 1X.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the main prediction for West Bromwich Albion vs Burnley?
The pick is 1X (Home or Draw), backed by the draw at 3.28, with the single most decisive factor being Burnley's unbeaten seven-match H2H run against West Brom, which makes a clean Baggies win the least likely outcome despite their solid home statistical edge.
What is the highest odd for West Bromwich Albion to win?
The outright West Brom victory is available at 2.84, which reflects genuine risk given the H2H history. Bettors seeking safer coverage can consider the double chance covering both a home win and a draw, effectively combining both non-Burnley outcomes into one position.
Will there be more or less than 2.5 goals in this match?
The H2H record shows 7 draws in 12 meetings, including a 1-1 and a 0-0 in the two most recent clashes. Both sides also carry attacking absences. The lean is firmly toward 1.73, with low-scoring, tight football the most likely pattern at The Hawthorns.
When and where is West Bromwich Albion vs Burnley played?
The match kicks off on Sunday, 23 August 2026 at 12:00 BST (noon local time) at The Hawthorns in West Bromwich, the home ground of West Bromwich Albion.
Can Burnley pull off an upset against West Bromwich Albion?
Burnley sit 11th after a 2-2 draw with West Ham, and their attacking midfield is weakened by long-term absences including Cullen and Beyer. However, at 2.44, the odds reflect their genuine threat: seven consecutive unbeaten results against the Baggies is not a streak to dismiss lightly.
Which alternative market offers the best value?
The best alternative value lies with Both Teams to Score: No at 1.90. With West Brom missing Johnston and Bany in attack, and Burnley's midfield disrupted by injuries, the conditions strongly favour a match where at least one side fails to find the net.
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