Víkingur Reykjavík
Thun
>Europa League · 3rd Qualifying RoundVíkingur Reykjavík vs Thun: Prediction and Odds, Europa League, 13/08/2026
Víkingur Reykjavík welcome Thun to Víkingsvöllur on 13 August for the Europa League third qualifying round second leg, trailing 3-0 on aggregate. The Icelandic side need a historic comeback to stay alive, while Thun, priced at 2.50, can afford composure. The losers drop into the Conference League group stage.
Projected final score: 1-2
Thun's 3-0 first-leg cushion makes aggregate progression a formality, and even with poor recent form including a 4-2 loss to Basel, they retain enough quality to secure the tie. Víkingur are missing Jonsson and face further doubts over Ibrahimagic and Omarsson, limiting their attacking threat. 2.50 reflects Thun's overall superiority across the two legs.
A low-to-moderate scoring affair is expected. Víkingur's home record gives them a platform to find the net, but Thun have little incentive to chase goals and may sit conservatively. With 2.50 looking attractive given Thun's likely defensive posture and Víkingur's depleted attack, three goals total feels like a ceiling rather than a floor.
Match Analysis
Thun arrive at Víkingsvöllur with an insurmountable 3-0 aggregate lead, making their progression to the Europa League play-offs a near-certainty. At 2.50, the Swiss Super League champions represent clear value given the tie is effectively settled before kick-off.
- 3-0 first-leg lead means Víkingur must score four unanswered goals, a feat never achieved in their European history.
- Reigning Swiss Super League champions, Thun possess superior squad depth despite recent rotation of six starters in leg one.
- Víkingur's European conceding rate of 2.0 goals per match suggests Thun can find the net even in a conservative approach.
- Víkingur missing confirmed absentee Jonsson plus three doubtful attackers, severely limiting their comeback firepower.
Víkingur Reykjavík face a mountain no Icelandic side has ever climbed in Europe. Despite their remarkable 26-match home unbeaten run, the aggregate deficit makes their task near-impossible. At 2.25, backing a home win on the night carries significant risk given squad absences.
- Víkingur are winless in four consecutive matches across all competitions, including a weekend draw against ÍBV.
- European scoring average of 1.8 goals per game makes a four-goal comeback without reply statistically implausible.
- Up to four key players absent or doubtful, including Jonsson, Ibrahimagic, Omarsson, and Borgthorsson, gutting attacking depth.
Key point: Thun's recent form of conceding 3.0 goals per game in their last four suggests backing both teams to score offers an intriguing alternative angle at 1.41.
Statistics and Head-to-Head
Form & Statistics: Víkingur Reykjavík vs Thun
Víkingur Reykjavík
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Thun
Recent form
Season statistics (3)
Víkingur Reykjavík vs Thun: Head-to-Head
Average statistics (recent meetings)
Probabilities & Odds: Víkingur Reykjavík vs Thun
Source : StakeMatch Information
Lineups: Víkingur Reykjavík vs Thun
Víkingur Reykjavík
Starters
- 1 Aron Fridriksson
- 2 Sveinn Gisli Thorkelsson
- 3 Gunnar Vatnhamar
- 4 Oliver Ekroth
- 5 Robert Thorkelsson
- 6 Daniel Hafsteinsson
- 7 Gylfi Sigurdsson
- 8 Valdimar Ingimundarson
- 9 Ármann Finnbogason
- 10 Helgi Gudjonsson
- 11 Viktor Andrason
Bench
- Uggi Audunsson
- Davíð Atlason
- E. Agnarsson
- Dadi Jónsson
- N. Hansen
- S. Thórdarson
- A. Thrándarson
- S. Hauksson
Absent
- Ingvar Jónsson (injury)
Thun
Starters
- 1 Niklas Steffen
- 2 Fabio Fehr
- 3 Nicolas Bürgy
- 4 Jan Bamert
- 5 M. Heule
- 6 Nils Reichmuth
- 7 Nassim Zoukit
- 8 Fabio Saiz
- 9 Valmir Matoshi
- 10 Brighton Labeau
- 11 Marc Gutbub
Bench
- Leo Stucki
- T. Spycher
- A. Balaruban
- L. Dähler
- L. Passavant
- Dorian Derbaci
- L. Stewart
- Simon Lengen
- J. Roth
Absent
- Marco Bürki (suspended)
- Genís Montolio (injury)
- Mattias Käit (injury)
- Michael Heule (injury)
- Furkan Dursun (injury)
Low confidence
Both lineups carry a speculated tag here, so treat the tactical picture as a strong probability rather than a certainty. A 4-3-3 versus 4-4-2 contest is the expected shape, with Gylfi Sigurdsson providing the creative engine in Víkingur's midfield three against a compact Swiss double-pivot from Thun.
Thun's flat 4-4-2 is built to absorb pressure and hit on the counter, and Valmir Matoshi alongside Marc Gutbub gives them a physical presence up front. Víkingur will look to use their wider forwards to stretch that defensive block and exploit any gaps behind Thun's full-backs in the Reykjavík conditions.
Final thoughts on the predictions for Víkingur Reykjavík vs Thun
The 3-0 first-leg deficit leaves Víkingur needing a historic comeback they have never managed in European competition. Thun's defensive vulnerabilities on the road are real, but the aggregate cushion renders them largely irrelevant. Backing Draw or Away (X2) at 2.50 represents the smartest play here, as Thun need only avoid a four-goal collapse to progress. Odds correct at time of publication.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the main prediction for Víkingur Reykjavík vs Thun?
The pick is Draw or Away (X2), best reflected through the away side at 2.50, with Thun's commanding 3-0 first-leg aggregate cushion serving as the single most decisive factor: Víkingur would need four unanswered goals, a comeback they have never managed in European competition.
What is the highest odd for Víkingur Reykjavík to win?
The home win is available at 2.25, making it the most rewarding option for Víkingur backers. For those seeking safer coverage, a double chance combining the draw and Thun, framed around 2.50, reduces exposure considerably while still offering a reasonable return.
Will there be more or less than 2.5 goals in this match?
Víkingur average 1.8 goals per European match while conceding 2.0, and Thun's recent run has seen them ship three goals per game on average. Goals look likely on both sides, so Over 2.5 at 1.48 is the sensible lean for this second leg.
When and where is Víkingur Reykjavík vs Thun played?
The match kicks off at 17:30 UTC (5:30 PM local Reykjavík time) on 13 August 2026, hosted at Víkingsvöllur in Reykjavík, Iceland.
Can Thun pull off an upset against Víkingur Reykjavík?
Thun are the realistic favourites to progress, backed at 2.50 on the night, but their recent form is a concern: three defeats in four matches, including a 4-2 loss to Basel. Víkingur's home fortress and Thun's rotation-heavy squad mean a home win on the night is plausible, even if an overall Víkingur comeback is not.
Which alternative market offers the best value?
Both Teams to Score at 1.41 stands out as the best alternative. Víkingur will push forward chasing an impossible aggregate deficit, opening space for Thun on the counter, while Thun's own defensive frailty in recent outings makes a clean sheet unlikely from either side.
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