Thun
Dinamo Zagreb
>Champions League · 2nd Qualifying RoundThun vs Dinamo Zagreb: Prediction and Odds, Champions League, 22/07/2026
The Stockhorn Arena hosts a high-stakes Champions League second qualifying round clash on 22 July 2026, as Thun welcome Dinamo Zagreb. For the Swiss side, this represents a rare shot at European glory; for the Croatian champions, progression is expected, reflected in their away win price of 1.93. Only one team advances.
Projected final score: 0-2
Dinamo Zagreb arrive as clear favourites, backed by an extraordinary last-10 domestic record of 8 wins and 2.9 goals scored per game. Thun’s defensive structure is further undermined by the confirmed absence of goalkeeper Marco Bürki and defender Genís Montolio, making 1.93 an attractive proposition for a Zagreb side that dominated their league by 18 points.
A two-goal margin feels appropriate given Thun’s limited attacking output of just 1.6 goals per game across their last ten outings. Zagreb’s own absences, including Bruno Petkovic and Luka Stojkovic, reduce their ceiling slightly, pointing toward a controlled rather than emphatic win. N/A carries some appeal, though Zagreb’s firepower should still be enough to keep the hosts scoreless.
Match Analysis
Dinamo Zagreb arrive as commanding favorites at 1.93, backed by a remarkable last-10 record of 8 wins and zero defeats. The Croatian double winners dominated their league by 18 points, signalling a squad firing on all cylinders.
- 8 wins in last 10 matches with zero defeats, elite recent form entering Europe.
- 2.9 goals scored per game in last 10 outings, showcasing relentless attacking output.
- 18-point domestic title margin plus cup victory confirms squad operating at peak level.
- 100% Over 2.5 rate in 2026 season games, favouring Zagreb’s superior firepower in this tie.
Thun face a steep challenge at 3.55, entering this tie under new coach Gian-Luca Privitelli amid a transitional phase. Only 3 wins in their last 10 matches and two confirmed defensive absences make their task considerably harder.
- Only 3 wins in last 10 games, with 6 losses exposing clear quality limitations.
- Goalkeeper Marco Bürki suspended and defender Genís Montolio out with a cruciate tear, weakening the backline.
- 1.6 goals scored per game in last 10 matches, insufficient firepower to trouble Zagreb’s defence.
Key point: With both teams showing a 100% Over 2.5 rate in 2026, backing N/A offers a compelling angle regardless of the outright winner.
Statistics and Head-to-Head
Form & Statistics: Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb
Thun
Season statistics
Dinamo Zagreb
Recent form
Season statistics (4)
Probabilities & Odds: Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb
Source : StakeMatch Information
Final thoughts on the predictions for Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb’s overwhelming domestic dominance, superior goal-scoring record, and near-miss in last season’s Champions League knockout stage make them the clear pick here. Thun, attempting to recapture glory from two decades ago, face a significant quality gap. The away win at 1.93 represents the strongest selection from this fixture. Prediction: Dinamo Zagreb to win.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the main prediction for Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The pick is an away win for Dinamo Zagreb at 1.93, driven by a commanding recent run of 8 victories in their last 10 matches, averaging 2.9 goals per game, compared to Thun’s modest 3 wins and 1.6 goals across the same period.
What is the highest odd for Thun to win?
Thun’s best home-win price is available at 3.55, though it represents a long shot given the quality gap. Bettors seeking safer coverage can explore a double chance combining Thun and the draw in words, which leans on 3.55 as its base reference for the Swiss side.
Will there be more or less than 2.5 goals in this match?
Over 2.5 goals looks the stronger lean here, priced at N/A. Dinamo Zagreb have averaged 2.9 goals per game across their last 10 outings, and with Thun missing goalkeeper Marco Bürki through suspension, the Croatian side’s attacking output should comfortably push this match past the threshold.
When and where is Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb played?
The match kicks off on 22 July 2026 at the Stockhorn Arena in Thun, Switzerland. The UTC kickoff is midnight, which translates to 02:00 IST on 23 July for viewers following from India.
Can Dinamo Zagreb pull off an upset against Thun?
Dinamo Zagreb are not the underdog here; they are the clear favourites reflected in 1.93. With an 18-point domestic title margin, a cup double, and far superior recent form, Zagreb’s victory would be no upset at all. The real question is whether Thun, in transition under new coach Privitelli, can limit the damage.
Which alternative market offers the best value?
Both Teams to Score: Yes at N/A offers solid value as an alternative market. Thun, despite their defensive absences, have shown enough attacking intent in the Swiss league, while Zagreb’s high-scoring form almost guarantees their end of the bargain, making a goal from both sides a realistic outcome.
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