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World Cup
Norway
11 Jul 2026 21:00
England
Prediction:
England to win 2.00
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World Cup · Quarter-finals

Norway vs England: Prediction and Odds, World Cup, 11/07/2026

11 Jul 2026 Miami Stadium Emmanuel Taiwo

Miami Stadium hosts a blockbuster World Cup quarter-final on 11 July 2026 as Norway face England for a place in the last four. The Three Lions arrive as favourites at 2.00, and their recent form suggests that price is well justified. For Norway, this represents the biggest fixture in a generation.

Our prediction
2: England to win
2.00 on Dafabet · Confidence Medium
England's superior form and squad depth make them the right pick to advance from this World Cup quarter-final.
Odds recorded on 31 Aug 2026 at 01:42 · Odds are subject to change

Projected final score: 1-2

England arrive in this World Cup quarter-final as the market’s clear favourite, with 2.00 reflecting an implied 50% win probability across 84 bookmakers. Their form record of WWWDW, finishing top of their group, edges Norway’s WWLWW, and the consistent odds consensus makes an England victory the most defensible call available.

A three-goal total feels right for a knockout tie where both sides have been scoring freely in the tournament. Norway’s attacking threat is real enough to breach England’s defence once, but England’s clinical edge should secure two goals of their own. 1.64 aligns naturally with this scenario, keeping the scoreline tight and competitive.

Recommended Bets for Norway vs England

Norway vs England, Odds Comparison

Odds comparison

Dafabet1xBetMelBetStakebc.game
Norway to win3.804.184.024.103.95
Draw3.503.803.623.603.60
England to win2.001.951.891.891.91
BTTS Yes···1.011.64

Odds recorded on 31 Aug 2026 at 01:42 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

England arrive at this World Cup quarter-final as the clear bookmaker choice, priced at 2.00 across 84 bookmakers. Their form reads WWWDW, dropping only two points in five matches, and they finished first in their group.

  • 84 bookmakers consistently price England as favourites, implying a ~50% win probability.
  • WWWDW form sees England drop only two points across their last five matches.
  • Group-stage position 1st reflects England’s superior tournament performance over Norway.
  • Only one draw in five matches; England have not lost once during this tournament.

Norway face a steep challenge priced at 3.80, implying just a ~23% chance of victory. Their WWLWW form includes one tournament loss, and finishing second in their group underlines the quality gap they must bridge here.

  • Odds of 4.4 reflect the market’s clear view of a significant quality gap.
  • One tournament loss in five matches exposes a vulnerability England have not shown.
  • Second-place group finish suggests Norway faced a less demanding path than England.

Key point: With no market data available for totals, the double chance covering England or a draw offers a safer angle, supported by 2.00 already implying a coin-flip probability for the outright England win.

Statistics and Head-to-Head

Form & Statistics: Norway vs England

Norway

Recent form

WWLWW
Wins4/5 (80%)
Draws0/5 (0%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

4.2Total goals
100%Both teams score
2.4Goals scored
1.8Goals conceded

England

Recent form

WWWDW
Wins4/5 (80%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses0/5 (0%)

Season statistics (5)

3.2Total goals
60%Both teams score
2.2Goals scored
1Goals conceded
StatisticNorwayEngland
Last 5 results4W 1L·4W 1D
Avg goals scored2.4·2.2
Avg goals conceded1.8·1.0
Under 2.5 (last 5)0/5·2/5

Probabilities & Odds: Norway vs England

Source : Dafabet
MarketProbabilityOdds
Norway to win26.3%3.80
Draw28.6%3.50
England to win50%2.00
Both teams to score (Yes)99%1.01
Over 2.5 goals59.2%1.69
Under 2.5 goals48.5%2.06

Match Information

Competition: World Cup
Stage: Quarter-finals
Date: 11 Jul 2026
Time: 21:00 UTC
Stadium: Miami Stadium

Final thoughts on the predictions for Norway vs England

England’s superior form and squad depth make them the right pick to advance from this World Cup quarter-final. Norway have been solid, but the quality gap is real, and the bookmakers reflect it. Back an England win at 2.00 as the standout selection for this fixture.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the main prediction for Norway vs England?

England to win is the primary pick at 2.00, backed by their superior World Cup form of WWWDW compared to Norway’s WWLWW and their stronger tournament standing as group winners, making the quality gap the single most decisive factor in this quarter-final.

What is the highest odd for Norway to win?

Norway’s best home-win price sits at 3.80, which is a long shot given England’s dominance in this tournament. Bettors seeking safer coverage can explore the double chance combining Norway or a draw, though England’s form makes even that a cautious proposition.

Will there be more or less than 2.5 goals in this match?

With no goals-market data available and both sides showing inconsistent attacking output across their recent five matches, a cautious lean towards 2.02 is reasonable; knockout-stage matches at this level tend to be tighter, with teams prioritising defensive solidity over expansive play.

When and where is Norway vs England played?

The match kicks off at 17:00 local time (EDT) on 11 July 2026 at Miami Stadium, Florida. Globally, that is 21:00 UTC, or 02:30 IST on 12 July for viewers in India.

Can England pull off an upset against Norway?

England are actually the favourites here, not the underdogs. Norway, priced at 3.80, face a significant challenge against an England side that has dropped just one point in five matches. A Norway upset is possible but would require a disciplined defensive performance and clinical finishing on limited chances.

Which alternative market offers the best value?

The draw at 3.50 offers genuine value as an alternative market. England’s confidence of 58% leaves meaningful room for a stalemate, and knockout-stage quarter-finals frequently produce tight, low-scoring affairs where neither side fully opens up, making the draw a credible outcome worth considering.

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