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Europa League
Hammarby
23 Jul 2026 18:00
Anderlecht
Prediction:
Hammarby to win 2.10
View Odds >
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Europa League · 2nd Qualifying Round

Hammarby vs Anderlecht: Prediction and Odds, Europa League, 23/07/2026

23 Jul 2026 Tele2 Arena Emmanuel Taiwo

Hammarby welcome Anderlecht to the Tele2 Arena on 23 July for their Europa League second qualifying round clash, a first-ever competitive meeting between these two sides. The Belgian visitors arrive as favourites at 3.15, though Henrik Rydstrom’s newly energised hosts will fancy their chances under the Stockholm lights.

Our prediction
X2: Double Chance Draw or Anderlecht
3.15 on Stake · Confidence Medium
Anderlecht's superior pedigree and squad depth make them the likelier side to avoid defeat, but Hammarby's recent revival under Henrik Rydstrom, including two wins from two, cannot be ignored.
Odds recorded on 31 Aug 2026 at 03:42 · Odds are subject to change

Projected final score: 1-1

Anderlecht arrive with three confirmed long-term absentees in Camara, Hey, and Sardella, stripping width and defensive cover from a squad already conceding at an alarming rate. Hammarby’s new-manager momentum under Rydstrom, back-to-back wins delivering a genuine morale lift, makes 3.45 a credible outcome in this first-leg European qualifier at Tele2 Arena.

Both sides carry enough attacking threat to find the net at least once, yet defensive fragility on both ends caps ambition at a modest total. Anderlecht’s 2.4 goals conceded per game and Hammarby’s 1.4 goals scored average point toward a tight, low-scoring affair, making N/A a stretch and a two-goal split the most balanced projection.

Match Analysis

Anderlecht arrive as the clear favourite at 3.15, bringing Belgian top-flight pedigree and structural quality to this Europa League qualifying opener, even as a significant injury crisis strips key personnel from both flanks and central midfield.

  • Belgian Pro League pedigree gives Anderlecht structural superiority over Allsvenskan opposition.
  • First-ever meeting between these clubs; Anderlecht’s European experience is a clear edge.
  • Anderlecht’s squad depth, even depleted, includes players of higher individual ceiling than Hammarby’s roster.
  • Away-leg discipline in two-legged ties historically favours the higher-ranked travelling side.

Hammarby enter at 2.10 as hosts at Tele2 Arena, riding a fragile two-game winning streak under new coach Henrik Rydstrom, but facing a sharp jump in opposition quality with Koné out and Jakobsson and Tekie both doubtful.

  • Hammarby concede key injury absences: Koné out, Jakobsson and Tekie both doubtful for this match.
  • Only 2 wins in their last 7 games before Rydstrom’s arrival; the bounce is a thin sample.
  • Hammarby have zero competitive European qualifying experience at this level this season.

Key point: With Anderlecht conceding 2.4 goals per game recently and both sides showing attacking intent, the over 2.5 market at N/A offers a compelling alternative angle.

Statistics and Head-to-Head

Form & Statistics: Hammarby vs Anderlecht

Hammarby

Season statistics

3.3Total goals
50%Both teams score
2.3Goals scored
1Goals conceded

Anderlecht

Season statistics

2.9Total goals
54%Both teams score
1.5Goals scored
1.4Goals conceded
StatisticHammarbyAnderlecht
Last 5 results···
Avg goals scored2.3·1.5
Avg goals conceded1.0·1.4
Under 2.5 (last 5)···

Probabilities & Odds: Hammarby vs Anderlecht

Source : Stake
MarketProbabilityOdds
Hammarby to win47.6%2.10
Draw29%3.45
Anderlecht to win31.7%3.15
Both teams to score (Yes)··
Over 2.5 goals··
Under 2.5 goals··

Match Information

Competition: Europa League
Stage: 2nd Qualifying Round
Date: 23 Jul 2026
Time: 18:00 BST
Stadium: Tele2 Arena

Final thoughts on the predictions for Hammarby vs Anderlecht

Anderlecht’s superior pedigree and squad depth make them the likelier side to avoid defeat, but Hammarby’s recent revival under Henrik Rydstrom, including two wins from two, cannot be ignored. The hosts will make this uncomfortable at the Tele2 Arena. Our prediction is X2, Draw or Away, backed by Anderlecht’s away odds at 3.15. A draw remains a realistic outcome given both teams’ defensive concerns.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the main prediction for Hammarby vs Anderlecht?

The draw or Anderlecht win is the favoured call here, with the away side priced at 3.15, though Anderlecht’s alarming defensive record of 2.4 goals conceded per game across their last five outings gives Hammarby a genuine route back into this tie at the Tele2 Arena.

What is the highest odd for Hammarby to win?

Hammarby’s best home-win price is available at 2.10, which reflects the step up in class from Swedish league opposition. Bettors seeking safer coverage can consider the double chance combining a draw or Hammarby win, which effectively insures against a narrow Anderlecht victory without sacrificing all value.

Will there be more or less than 2.5 goals in this match?

Anderlecht have been leaking goals at a rate of 2.4 per game in their last five matches, and Hammarby arrive with back-to-back wins. Despite that, the significant injury absences for Anderlecht may suppress attacking output. On balance, the Under 2.5 goals market at N/A looks the more prudent lean in a cautious first-leg European qualifier.

When and where is Hammarby vs Anderlecht played?

The match kicks off on 23 July 2026 at 02:00 IST (midnight UTC). The venue is the Tele2 Arena in Stockholm, Sweden, which serves as Hammarby’s home ground.

Can Anderlecht pull off an upset against Hammarby?

Anderlecht are actually the bookmaker favourites here, priced at 3.15, so this is less an upset scenario and more the expected outcome. However, six key absences including Camara, Stroeykens, and two suspended players strip real quality from their squad, making a comfortable away win far from certain.

Which alternative market offers the best value?

The BTTS No market at N/A offers genuine interest. Anderlecht’s depleted midfield and suspended attackers may struggle to break down a Hammarby side buoyed by home support, while Henrik Rydstrom’s early tactical caution in European competition could keep this a tight, low-scoring first leg.

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