Congo DR
Uzbekistan
Congo DR vs Uzbekistan: Prediction and Odds, World Cup, 28/06/2026
Two nations with everything to prove collide at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on 28 June when Congo DR face Uzbekistan in a World Cup Group K clash. Both sides are making historic returns or debuts on the grandest stage, and with knockout qualification hanging in the balance, the Leopards’ home win price at 2.32 reflects a tightly contested affair.
Projected final score: 1-1
DR Congo enter this match unbeaten in their last three, sitting top of Group K after a creditable draw with Portugal, while Uzbekistan arrive having lost 3-1 to Colombia. The Leopards’ structural solidity and Uzbekistan’s depleted midfield, with Masharipov and Ashurmatov both ruled out, tip the balance toward a Congo result at 2.32 or a share of the spoils.
A low-scoring affair is the most logical outcome here. Congo concede just 0.60 goals per 90 minutes in qualifying, and Uzbekistan’s attack, though capable, is blunted by key absences. Both sides carry injury concerns limiting attacking depth, pointing firmly toward 1.89 as the dominant market signal for this tight, cautious encounter.
Recommended Bets for Congo DR vs Uzbekistan
Congo DR vs Uzbekistan, Odds Comparison
Match Analysis
DR Congo enter this Group K decider as favorites at 2.32, sitting top of the group after an impressive 1-1 draw with Portugal. Unbeaten in their last three matches, the Leopards demonstrate genuine defensive solidity and tournament poise.
- Unbeaten in 3 consecutive matches (DDW), including a creditable draw against Portugal.
- 0.60 goals conceded per 90 minutes in qualifying underlines their defensive organization.
- 50% clean-sheet rate in qualifying suggests a disciplined, structured backline.
- Group K top position provides psychological edge over a side that lost 3-1 to Colombia.
Uzbekistan arrive at 3.10 facing a steep challenge: a 3-1 defeat to Colombia, a recent run of three losses in five matches, and a depleted squad missing Masharipov, Ashurmatov, and Alikulov through injury ahead of this crucial fixture.
- Three losses in last five matches (LLLDW) signals worrying inconsistency at this level.
- Masharipov, Ashurmatov, and Alikulov all absent, severely thinning midfield and defensive cover.
- Despite a strong 0.28 goals-per-shot conversion, their attack lacks the depth to compensate for absences.
Key point: With both defenses under injury pressure and cautious tactical setups expected, the under 2.5 goals market at 1.89 offers a compelling complement to the home or draw prediction.
Statistics and Head-to-Head
Form & Statistics: Congo DR vs Uzbekistan
Congo DR
Recent form
Season statistics (4)
Uzbekistan
Recent form
Season statistics (5)
Probabilities & Odds: Congo DR vs Uzbekistan
Source : DafabetMatch Information
Lineups: Congo DR vs Uzbekistan
Congo DR
Starters
- 1 Mpasi
- 2 Aaron Wan-Bissaka
- 3 Chancel Mbemba
- 4 Axel Tuanzebe
- 5 Arthur Masuaku
- 6 Samuel Moutoussamy
- 7 Noah Sadiki
- 8 Meshack Elia
- 9 Nathanael Mbuku
- 10 Cédric Bakambu
- 11 Yoane Wissa
Absent
- Rocky Bushiri (Achilles injury)
- Théo Bongonda (Injury)
Uzbekistan
Starters
- 1 Utkir Yusupov
- 2 Abdukodir Khusanov
- 3 Abdulla Abdullaev
- 4 Umar Eshmurodov
- 5 Farrukh Sayfiev
- 6 Otabek Shukurov
- 7 Odiljon Xamrobekov
- 8 Sherzod Nasrullaev
- 9 Abbosbek Fayzullaev
- 10 Eldor Shomurodov
- 11 Oston Urunov
Absent
- Jaloliddin Masharipov (Spinal disc herniation)
- Rustamjon Ashurmatov (Injury)
- Husniddin Alikulov (ACL injury (long-term))
Low confidence
A 4-3-3 against a 3-4-3 sets up an intriguing width battle at this World Cup group stage decider. Congo DR’s shape looks to push Yoane Wissa and Nathanael Mbuku wide, stretching Uzbekistan’s three-man backline and creating overloads in the channels.
Congo DR’s probable XI carries reasonable confidence from credible sources, while Uzbekistan’s 3-4-3 remains speculative, drawn from predictions rather than confirmed team news. Eldor Shomurodov is the focal point of the Uzbek attack, but the formation around him should be treated with some caution until official confirmation arrives.
Final thoughts on the predictions for Congo DR vs Uzbekistan
DR Congo’s superior form and tactical resilience make the 1X double chance the standout selection here. The Leopards remain unbeaten in Group K, while Uzbekistan carry the weight of three losses in their last four outings. Back Congo DR not to lose, with the home win priced at 2.32 covering the stronger half of this double chance.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the main prediction for Congo DR vs Uzbekistan?
The 1X double chance (Congo DR win or draw) is the recommended pick, with the home side priced at 2.32; DR Congo’s superior Group K position after holding Portugal to a 1-1 draw, combined with Uzbekistan’s three losses in their last five outings, makes a Leopards result or stalemate the most coherent outcome.
What is the highest odd for Congo DR to win?
Congo DR’s outright home victory is available at 2.32. For bettors seeking safer coverage, the double chance pairing a Congo win or draw offers a lower-risk entry into the same outcome, effectively backing the Leopards not to lose, which suits their solid defensive record of just 0.60 goals conceded per 90 minutes.
Will there be more or less than 2.5 goals in this match?
Under 2.5 goals, priced at 1.89, looks the stronger lean here. DR Congo have conceded just 0.60 goals per 90 minutes in qualifying, and Uzbekistan arrive without Masharipov in midfield, blunting their creative output. A tight, low-scoring contest between two cautious sides is the most probable scenario.
When and where is Congo DR vs Uzbekistan played?
The match kicks off at 23:30 UTC on 27 June 2026, which is 01:30 CET on 28 June. The venue is the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, United States.
Can Uzbekistan pull off an upset against Congo DR?
An upset is possible but genuinely difficult. Uzbekistan are priced as outsiders at 3.10, and their recent form of three defeats in five matches, combined with the absences of Masharipov, Ashurmatov, and Alikulov, significantly weakens their midfield and defensive cover. Shomurodov and Fayzullaev can hurt on the break, but consistency has been their problem.
Which alternative market offers the best value?
Both Teams to Score: No, available at 12.00, offers solid value here. DR Congo’s 50% clean-sheet rate in qualifying and Uzbekistan’s depleted creative midfield, minus the injured Masharipov, suggest at least one side is likely to be shut out, making this market a logical complement to the low-scoring match narrative.
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