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Europa Conference League
Bohemians
09 Jul 2026 18:00
St Josephs FC
Prediction:
Bohemians to win 1.14
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Europa Conference League · 1st Qualifying Round

Bohemians vs St Josephs FC: Prediction and Odds, Europa Conference League, 09/07/2026

09 Jul 2026 Dalymount Park Emmanuel Taiwo

Dalymount Park hosts Bohemians against St Josephs FC on 9 July in the Europa Conference League first qualifying round. The Gypsies return to European football after a five-year absence, riding three consecutive clean sheets in domestic action. Priced at 1.14, they carry heavy favouritism against a part-time Gibraltarian outfit with everything to prove.

Our prediction
1: Bohemians to win
1.14 on Stake · Confidence High
Bohemians' mid-season sharpness, three consecutive clean sheets, and the comforts of Dalymount Park make them the clear pick against a part-time St Josephs FC side returning from a lengthy competitive break.
Odds recorded on 31 Aug 2026 at 01:51 · Odds are subject to change

Projected final score: 2-0

Bohemians are the overwhelming favourites here, priced at 1.14, and rightfully so. Three consecutive League of Ireland wins with three clean sheets, 40 goals scored across 25 league matches, and a returning Patrick Hickey give the Dublin side every advantage over a part-time Gibraltarian outfit that has not played competitively since April 2026.

A low-scoring home win is the most logical outcome. St Joseph's passive 4-4-2 and their 30.25% average possession share suggest they will sit deep and limit openings, keeping the total modest. With Bohemians' high-pressing system built for control rather than chaos, N/A reflects a clean sheet that their recent domestic form strongly supports.

Match Analysis

Bohemians enter this Europa Conference League qualifier as commanding favorites at 1.14, backed by three consecutive League of Ireland wins, three clean sheets, and a mid-season rhythm that their part-time opponents simply cannot match.

  • 3 consecutive wins and 3 clean sheets in the League of Ireland Premier Division heading into this tie.
  • 40 goals scored in 25 league matches in 2026, averaging 1.6 goals per game in domestic competition.
  • 2nd place in the League of Ireland table, confirming Bohemians as a well-organized, high-functioning professional outfit.
  • Patrick Hickey returns from suspension, giving Bohemians a near-full squad for this home European fixture.

St Josephs FC arrive at 15.00 as heavy outsiders, and the odds are justified: the part-time Gibraltarian side has not played a competitive match since April 2026, leaving them roughly three months short of match sharpness against a professional opponent in full flow.

  • No competitive match since April 2026, a three-month fitness and sharpness deficit against a mid-season side.
  • Average possession of just 30.25%, leaving them dangerously exposed against Bohemians' high-pressing 4-3-3 system.
  • Passive 4-4-2 counter-attacking shape demands defensive organisation and fitness that current form strongly suggests is lacking.

Key point: With goals markets unavailable, the double chance covering Bohemians via 1.14 at a short price remains the sharpest single-angle play on this fixture.

Statistics and Head-to-Head

Form & Statistics: Bohemians vs St Josephs FC

Bohemians

Season statistics

2.6Total goals
57%Both teams score
1.5Goals scored
1.1Goals conceded

St Josephs FC

Season statistics

4.1Total goals
31%Both teams score
3.6Goals scored
0.5Goals conceded
StatisticBohemiansSt Josephs FC
Last 5 results···
Avg goals scored1.5·3.6
Avg goals conceded1.1·0.5
Under 2.5 (last 5)···

Probabilities & Odds: Bohemians vs St Josephs FC

Source : Stake
MarketProbabilityOdds
Bohemians to win87.7%1.14
Draw13.3%7.50
St Josephs FC to win6.7%15.00
Both teams to score (Yes)··
Over 2.5 goals··
Under 2.5 goals··

Match Information

Competition: Europa Conference League
Stage: 1st Qualifying Round
Date: 09 Jul 2026
Time: 18:00 BST
Stadium: Dalymount Park
Probable lineup

Lineups: Bohemians vs St Josephs FC

Bohemians

4-3-3
  1. 1 Paul Walters
  2. 2 Darragh Power
  3. 3 Cian Byrne
  4. 4 Ryan Burke
  5. 5 Patrick Hickey
  6. 6 Dawson Devoy
  7. 7 Sadou Diallo
  8. 8 Harry Vaughan
  9. 9 Ross Tierney
  10. 10 Colm Whelan
  11. 11 Josh Harpur
  • Alex Lacey (injury)
  • Kian Best (injury)
  • Plestil Dominik (Injury)
  • Sakala Benson (Injury)

St Josephs FC

4-4-2
  1. 1 Banda
  2. 2 Olivero
  3. 3 Barba Jimenez
  4. 4 Martínez Montesinos
  5. 5 Cardozo
  6. 6 Sánchez López
  7. 7 Volz
  8. 8 González Pérez
  9. 9 Forján Gutiérrez
  10. 10 Gibson
  11. 11 Juanfri

Low confidence

Both sets of lineups carry a speculated tag here, drawn from single sources, so treat the tactical picture as provisional rather than settled. That said, a 4-3-3 versus 4-4-2 contest is the likely shape, with Dawson Devoy expected to pull the strings in Bohemians' midfield three.

St Josephs arrive from Gibraltar with a compact 4-4-2 built around familiar Iberian names, and Juanfri will be one to watch in the final third. Given the low confidence in both sources, late changes to either XI before the 17:00 UTC kickoff remain a genuine possibility.

Final thoughts on the predictions for Bohemians vs St Josephs FC

Bohemians' mid-season sharpness, three consecutive clean sheets, and the comforts of Dalymount Park make them the clear pick against a part-time St Josephs FC side returning from a lengthy competitive break. The home win at 1.14 represents the strongest selection on this card. Back Bohemians to win in what should be a controlled, professional European return. Odds correct at time of publication.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the main prediction for Bohemians vs St Josephs FC?

Bohemians to win is the clear pick at 1.14, backed by an 82% confidence rating. The single most decisive factor is the gulf in match sharpness: Bohemians arrive on a run of three consecutive clean-sheet victories in the League of Ireland, while St Joseph's FC have not played a competitive match since April 2026.

What is the highest odd for Bohemians to win?

The best available price for a Bohemians victory is 1.14. For bettors seeking safer coverage, a home-or-draw double chance is worth considering, as it removes the unlikely but non-zero risk of a shock result while still keeping Bohemians' dominant position at the centre of your stake.

Will there be more or less than 2.5 goals in this match?

Under 2.5 goals is the lean here, reflected in N/A. Bohemians average just 1.6 goals per game across 25 league matches, and their recent form features three clean sheets in a row, suggesting a controlled, low-scoring performance rather than a high-scoring rout against a defensively organised Gibraltarian side.

When and where is Bohemians vs St Josephs FC played?

The match kicks off at 17:00 UTC on 9 July 2026, which is 18:00 Irish Standard Time. The venue is Dalymount Park, Bohemians' historic home ground in Dublin.

Can St Josephs FC pull off an upset against Bohemians?

Realistically, an upset is very unlikely. The 15.00 price reflects St Joseph's FC as heavy outsiders, and for good reason: they are a part-time side who have not competed since April, facing a professional club in mid-season rhythm sitting second in their domestic league. Their low possession average of 30.25% offers little platform to threaten.

Which alternative market offers the best value?

Bohemians to keep a clean sheet, best framed through the BTTS No market at N/A, offers genuine value here. With three consecutive clean sheets already banked and St Joseph's FC lacking match sharpness after months without competitive football, the hosts' high-pressing 4-3-3 looks well-placed to shut out the Gibraltarian side entirely.

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