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Europa League
Hearts
13 Aug 2026 19:45
Benfica
Prediction:
Benfica to win 1.42
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Europa League · 3rd Qualifying Round

Hearts vs Benfica: Prediction and Odds, Europa League, 13/08/2026

13 Aug 2026 Tynecastle Park Emmanuel Taiwo

Tynecastle Park hosts a colossal Europa League third qualifying round second leg on 13 August 2026 as Hearts welcome Benfica. The aggregate scoreline from Lisbon shapes everything here, with the Scottish side facing a Portuguese giant priced at 1.42 to claim victory on the night. European progression hangs in the balance.

Our prediction
2: Benfica to win
1.42 on Stake · Confidence Medium
Benfica's superior squad depth, European pedigree, and consistent continental form make the away win at 1.42 the standout selection for this second leg.
Odds recorded on 24 Aug 2026 at 09:47 · Odds are subject to change

Projected final score: 1-3

Benfica's superior squad depth and European pedigree make them strong favourites to progress, with 1.42 reflecting their class advantage. Hearts arrive on a two-game losing run and are severely weakened by Craig Halkett's absence at centre-back, leaving their defensive line exposed against one of Portugal's most attack-minded attacks.

A four-goal total feels appropriate given Benfica's attacking ambition and Hearts' compromised defence, but Hearts retain enough home-crowd motivation to find the net at Tynecastle. 1.61 aligns with this outlook, as a completely shut-out home side would be surprising despite the quality gap between these two squads.

Recommended Bets for Hearts vs Benfica

Hearts vs Benfica, Odds Comparison

Odds comparison

Stakebc.game
Hearts to win6.006.00
Draw4.804.60
Benfica to win1.421.43
Under 2.52.602.58
BTTS Yes1.611.61

Odds recorded on 24 Aug 2026 at 09:47 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Benfica arrive at Tynecastle Park as clear favourites at 1.42, backed by their status as a perennial Primeira Liga top-six club and consistent European qualifiers, bringing a squad depth and pedigree that dwarfs anything Hearts can match at this level.

  • Regular Champions League and Europa League participants, giving Benfica vast two-legged tie experience.
  • WLDDW recent form shows resilience and the ability to manage results across competitions.
  • Squad depth absorbs absences of Prestianni and Gonçalo Oliveira without weakening the core starting XI.
  • Estádio da Luz first leg played on home soil, historically a strong platform for Benfica in European qualifying.

Hearts face a steep uphill battle at 6.00, entering this second leg on the back of two consecutive defeats and without first-choice centre-back Craig Halkett, whose absence leaves their defensive line dangerously exposed against one of Portugal's most attack-minded squads.

  • Craig Halkett ruled out, removing Hearts' most authoritative defensive presence for a critical European tie.
  • LL recent form signals a side low on confidence heading into a high-pressure second leg.
  • Scottish Premiership level represents a significant quality gap versus Benfica's Primeira Liga standard.

Key point: Given both squads' absences and potential tactical caution in a second leg, the under 2.5 goals market at 2.60 offers a complementary angle worth considering.

Statistics and Head-to-Head

Form & Statistics: Hearts vs Benfica

Hearts

Recent form

LLL
Wins0/3 (0%)
Draws0/3 (0%)
Losses3/3 (100%)

Season statistics (3)

3.4Total goals
67%Both teams score
1.6Goals scored
1.8Goals conceded

Benfica

Recent form

DWWLD
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws2/5 (40%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

3.4Total goals
50%Both teams score
2.5Goals scored
0.9Goals conceded
StatisticHeartsBenfica
Last 5 results3L·2W 2D 1L
Avg goals scored1.6·2.5
Avg goals conceded1.8·0.9
Under 2.5 (last 5)1/3·0/5
H2H, last 1 meetings0 Hearts · 0 Draws · 1 Benfica

Hearts vs Benfica: Head-to-Head

Hearts 0 % Draws 0 % Benfica 100 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

7Total goals
100%Both teams score
6Home goals
1Away goals
100%Over 2.5 goals
0%Under 2.5 goals

Probabilities & Odds: Hearts vs Benfica

Source : Stake
MarketProbabilityOdds
Hearts to win16.7%6.00
Draw20.8%4.80
Benfica to win70.4%1.42
Both teams to score (Yes)62.1%1.61
Over 2.5 goals68.5%1.46
Under 2.5 goals38.5%2.60

Match Information

Competition: Europa League
Stage: 3rd Qualifying Round
Date: 13 Aug 2026
Time: 19:45 BST
Stadium: Tynecastle Park

Final thoughts on the predictions for Hearts vs Benfica

Benfica's superior squad depth, European pedigree, and consistent continental form make the away win at 1.42 the standout selection for this second leg. Hearts have struggled in recent outings, and the quality gap between the Scottish Premiership and Portugal's top tier is simply too wide to ignore. Back Benfica to win and advance to the next round.

Questo articolo è a scopo informativo e non costituisce una raccomandazione di scommessa.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the main prediction for Hearts vs Benfica?

The main pick is an away win for Benfica, priced at 1.42, driven by a substantial quality gap between a perennial Portuguese top-six club and a Scottish Premiership side already weakened by the absence of first-choice centre-back Craig Halkett.

What is the highest odd for Hearts to win?

The best available price for a Hearts home victory is listed at 6.00. For bettors seeking safer coverage, a double chance backing Hearts or the draw in words offers a cushion, though the odds compress significantly given Benfica's European pedigree.

Will there be more or less than 2.5 goals in this match?

The lean here is towards Under 2.5 goals at 2.60. Hearts have lost their last two matches and are likely to set up defensively at Tynecastle, prioritising shape over adventure, which should keep the scoring relatively contained across ninety minutes.

When and where is Hearts vs Benfica played?

The match kicks off at 18:45 UTC on 13 August 2026, which is 19:45 BST locally. The venue is Tynecastle Park in Edinburgh, Scotland, Hearts' compact and famously atmospheric home ground.

Can Benfica pull off an upset against Hearts?

Benfica are far from underdogs here; they are in fact the clear favourites, reflected in the 1.42 price. With Hearts in poor recent form, recording two consecutive losses, and missing Halkett at the back, a Benfica victory is the most realistic and well-supported outcome of this tie.

Which alternative market offers the best value?

BTTS No at 2.18 offers solid value in this fixture. Hearts' defensive vulnerabilities are real, yet their cautious home setup and Benfica's own absences through suspension and injury suggest one side, most likely Hearts, may well be shut out entirely across the ninety minutes.

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