Sion
Noah
>Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying RoundSion vs Noah: Prediction and Odds, Europa Conference League, 13/08/2026
The Stade de Tourbillon hosts a decisive second leg on 13 August as Sion welcome Noah in the Europa Conference League third qualifying round. Locked at 2-2 from the first leg, everything rides on this fixture. Sion are favoured at 1.41, backed by a commanding home record that could prove the difference.
Projected final score: 2-0
Sion's home record in this campaign is a compelling argument for the hosts: three wins from three at Tourbillon, including a 4-0 demolition of BATE after a 2-2 first-leg draw, a scenario almost identical to tonight. With Noah missing Stone Mambo (suspended), Mario Gonzalez (injured), and Yan Eteki (injured), 1.41 looks generous for a side with such a clear structural advantage.
A clean sheet feels achievable for Sion given Noah's depleted attacking options, and the hosts' 4-2-3-1 is built to suffocate opponents early and control possession. Two goals should be enough without overextension. With Noah's counter-attacking threat blunted by absences, 1.82 reflects a match where the visitors simply lack the firepower to breach a disciplined Sion backline.
Match Analysis
Sion enter this decisive second leg as clear favorites at 1.41, backed by three consecutive home wins averaging 3.33 goals per game and a direct blueprint: a 4-0 home demolition of BATE after an identical 2-2 first-leg draw.
- 3 wins from 3 home matches this campaign, averaging 3.33 goals scored per game at Tourbillon.
- 4-0 home win over BATE after a 2-2 first-leg draw provides an exact tactical and psychological precedent.
- Aggregate level at 2-2: Sion need only a one-goal winning margin to advance, lowering the performance threshold.
- 53.3% average possession in Conference League play allows Tholot's 4-2-3-1 to control tempo and suffocate opponents early.
Noah arrive at Tourbillon as heavy outsiders at 6.00, their counter-attacking 4-1-4-1 structure severely disrupted by suspensions and injuries that strip Perkovic of key attacking and midfield personnel for this winner-takes-all tie.
- Stone Mambo suspended, Mario Gonzalez injured: two key absences deplete Noah's attacking options significantly.
- Hambardzumyan doubtful after being forced off in the first leg, further disrupting Noah's preferred midfield shape.
- Away record in European second legs historically disadvantages sides relying on defensive counter-attacks against in-form home teams.
Key point: With no goals markets available, the home double chance reinforces value: Sion's prolific home form and Noah's depleted squad make a Sion clean sheet a credible secondary angle at 1.41.
Statistics and Head-to-Head
Form & Statistics: Sion vs Noah
Sion
Recent form
Season statistics (3)
Noah
Recent form
Season statistics (3)
Sion vs Noah: Head-to-Head
Average statistics (recent meetings)
Probabilities & Odds: Sion vs Noah
Source : StakeMatch Information
Lineups: Sion vs Noah
Sion
Starters
- 1 Anthony Racioppi
- 2 Jan Kronig
- 3 Noé Sow
- 4 Numa Lavanchy
- 5 Batata
- 6 Ali Kabacalman
- 7 Baltazar Costa Rodrigues de Oliveira
- 8 Franck Surdez
- 9 Ilyas Chouaref
- 10 Rilind Nivokazi
- 11 Winsley Boteli Mokango
Bench
- Ruberto
- Caillet
- Marquinhos
- D. Möschinger
- Ryan Kessler
- Lorenzo Villa
- L. Chipperfield
- Fodé Sylla
- D. Rrudhani
- J. Lukembila
- A. Llukes
- T. Berdayes
Absent
- Benjamin Kololli (injury)
- Nias Hefti (suspended)
- Kreshnik Hajrizi (injury)
Noah
Starters
- 1 Daniel Figueira
- 2 E. Boakye
- 3 N. Saintini
- 4 Sergey Muradyan
- 5 M. Pavlovic
- 6 T. Oshima
- 7 Gustavo Sangare
- 8 Gor Manvelyan
- 9 Hélder Ferreira
- 10 M. Jakoliš
- 11 M. Lazetić
Bench
- Coneglian
- Avetisyan
- Doumbia
- Costache
- Khamoyan
- Zaven Khudaverdyan
- Gareginyan
- Oddei
Absent
- Yan Eteki (injury)
- Stone Mambo (Suspension (red card in first leg))
- Mario Gonzalez (Injury (before first leg))
Low confidence
Sion line up in a compact 4-2-3-1 with multiple credible sources backing this probable XI, while Noah's 4-1-4-1 carries a speculated tag, adjusted to account for doubtful players from the first leg. That confidence gap is worth keeping in mind when reading the away shape.
Tactically, Sion's double pivot offers defensive cover for wide runners like Ilyas Chouaref, whereas Noah's single holding midfielder leaves their four-man midfield band with greater attacking licence but potentially exposed on the counter, a dynamic that could define the tie's second leg.
Final thoughts on the predictions for Sion vs Noah
Sion's dominant home record, their proven ability to overturn a first-leg draw with a commanding performance at the Stade de Tourbillon, and the tactical advantage of Didier Tholot's possession-heavy approach all point towards a home victory. Noah's resilience cannot be dismissed, but the Swiss side hold the edge where it matters most. Back Sion to win at 1.41 and secure their place in the next round. Odds correct at time of publication.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the main prediction for Sion vs Noah?
Sion to win at 1.41 is the primary pick, backed by a 62% confidence rating. The single most decisive factor is Sion's devastating home form: three consecutive home wins averaging 3.33 goals per game, including a 4-0 demolition of BATE Borisov after a similarly level aggregate earlier in this campaign.
What is the highest odd for Sion to win?
The best home-win price is available at 1.41. For bettors who prefer a safer route, covering Sion via a double chance that includes the draw alongside a home win offers reduced risk, though at a naturally shorter return. Given the aggregate is level, Sion require just one goal's margin to progress.
Will there be more or less than 2.5 goals in this match?
Sion's home matches this European campaign have averaged 3.33 goals per game, and the first leg itself produced four goals across 90 minutes. With Noah's defensive options thinned by injury and suspension, the match dynamics favour goals. The Over 2.5 market at 1.71 looks well-supported by both recent trend and squad news.
When and where is Sion vs Noah played?
The match kicks off at 19:15 local time (CET) on 13 August 2026, at the Stade de Tourbillon in Sion, Switzerland. It is the second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round tie, with the aggregate score level at 2-2.
Can Noah pull off an upset against Sion?
An upset is possible but genuinely difficult. Noah showed resilience by leading twice in the first leg, yet their squad is now severely stretched: Stone Mambo is suspended, Mario Gonzalez is injured, and two further players are doubtful. The 6.00 reflects that difficulty clearly. Perkovic's counter-attacking shape loses its teeth without key personnel.
Which alternative market offers the best value?
The Both Teams to Score: Yes market at 1.82 offers solid value here. Noah scored twice in the first leg despite being the away side, and Sion's high-tempo attacking style tends to leave spaces on the counter. Even with Noah's absences, their European pedigree makes a clean sheet for either side unlikely.
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