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Europa Conference League
Gent
13 Aug 2026 19:30
IFK Göteborg
Prediction:
Gent to win 1.40
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Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

Gent vs IFK Göteborg: Prediction and Odds, Europa Conference League, 13/08/2026

13 Aug 2026 Planet Group Arena Emmanuel Taiwo

Gent welcome IFK Göteborg to the Planet Group Arena on 13 August for the Europa Conference League third qualifying round second leg, carrying a slender 1-0 aggregate advantage. The Belgian hosts, priced at 1.40, will look to seal progression behind a defence that has kept five consecutive clean sheets across all competitions.

Our prediction
1X: Double Chance Gent or Draw
1.40 on Stake · Confidence High
Gent's five consecutive clean sheets, home advantage, and a 1-0 aggregate cushion make this a fortress the Swedish side will struggle to breach.
Odds recorded on 20 Sep 2026 at 14:48 · Odds are subject to change

Projected final score: 1-0

Gent enter this second leg with a 1-0 aggregate lead and five consecutive clean sheets, making them heavy favourites to advance. Priced at 1.40, the Belgian side's defensive record of just 11 goals conceded in their last 10 matches dwarfs Göteborg's 19, and IFK's six losses in ten games underline their inability to overturn deficits on the road.

A single-goal margin reflects Gent's cautious, structured approach, particularly with eight players missing. Their priority is protection rather than attack, and Göteborg's depleted forward line, missing both Ersoy and Mucolli, severely limits their threat. 2.04 suits a tie where the hosts are content to manage the aggregate rather than chase goals.

Match Analysis

Gent enter this second leg as clear favourites at 1.40, holding a 1-0 aggregate lead and boasting five consecutive clean sheets. Any home win or draw is enough to advance, giving them a commanding position heading into this tie.

  • 1-0 aggregate lead from the first leg means a draw is sufficient to eliminate Göteborg.
  • 5 consecutive clean sheets kept, including 3 at home, across all competitions this season.
  • Gent conceded only 11 goals in their last 10 matches, a stark defensive superiority.
  • 2-0 home win over KV Mechelen opened their Belgian Pro League campaign with confidence.

IFK Göteborg face a steep uphill battle at 6.25, needing to overturn a one-goal deficit on the road against a side in excellent defensive form. Key attacker Gabriel Ersoy is ruled out with a muscular injury, further limiting their already stretched offensive options.

  • IFK Göteborg conceded 19 goals in their last 10 matches, exposing a fragile defence.
  • 6 losses in their last 10 games highlight a squad badly out of form.
  • 4 away losses in their last 10 fixtures underline chronic struggles on the road.

Key point: With both defences under pressure and Gent likely to manage the game conservatively, backing under 2.5 goals at 2.04 offers a compelling complementary angle.

Statistics and Head-to-Head

Form & Statistics: Gent vs IFK Göteborg

Gent

Recent form

WDD
Wins1/3 (33%)
Draws2/3 (67%)
Losses0/3 (0%)

Season statistics (3)

2.8Total goals
52%Both teams score
1.5Goals scored
1.3Goals conceded

IFK Göteborg

Recent form

LWL
Wins1/3 (33%)
Draws0/3 (0%)
Losses2/3 (67%)

Season statistics (3)

3.3Total goals
62%Both teams score
1.4Goals scored
1.9Goals conceded
StatisticGentIFK Göteborg
Last 5 results1W 2D·1W 2L
Avg goals scored1.5·1.4
Avg goals conceded1.3·1.9
Under 2.5 (last 5)3/3·1/3
H2H, last 1 meetings1 Gent · 0 Draws · 0 IFK Göteborg

Gent vs IFK Göteborg: Head-to-Head

Gent 100 % Draws 0 % IFK Göteborg 0 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

1Total goals
0%Both teams score
0Home goals
1Away goals
0%Over 2.5 goals
100%Under 2.5 goals

Probabilities & Odds: Gent vs IFK Göteborg

Source : Stake
MarketProbabilityOdds
Gent to win71.4%1.40
Draw24.4%4.10
IFK Göteborg to win16%6.25
Both teams to score (Yes)54.9%1.82
Over 2.5 goals58.5%1.71
Under 2.5 goals49%2.04

Match Information

Competition: Europa Conference League
Stage: 3rd Qualifying Round
Date: 13 Aug 2026
Time: 19:30 BST
Stadium: Planet Group Arena
Probable lineup

Lineups: Gent vs IFK Göteborg

Gent

4-4-2
  1. 1 Davy Roef
  2. 2 Mouhamed Ngom
  3. 3 Christian Burgess
  4. 4 Siebe Van Der Heyden
  5. 5 Tiago Araujo
  6. 6 Matties Volckaert
  7. 7 Tibe De Vlieger
  8. 8 Mathias Delorge
  9. 9 Laszlo Benes
  10. 10 Hyllarion Goore
  11. 11 Josue Vergara
  • K. Peersman
  • M. Paskotsi
  • I. Cissé
  • M. Sonko
  • Max Dean
  • A. Kadri
  • Leonardo Lopes
  • Jordan Torunarigha (injury)
  • Archie Brown (injury)
  • Atsuki Ito (suspended)
  • Wilfried Kanga (injury)
  • Pieter Gerkens (suspended)
  • Tom Vandenberghe (suspended)
  • Matisse Samoise (injury)
  • Hugo Gambor (suspended)

IFK Göteborg

4-3-3
  1. 1 Viktor Andersson
  2. 2 Alexander Jallow
  3. 3 Rockson Yeboah
  4. 4 Hjoertur Hermannsson
  5. 5 Noah Tolf
  6. 6 Kolbeinn Thordarson
  7. 7 Sam Larsson
  8. 8 David Kruse
  9. 9 Sebastian Clemmensen
  10. 10 Adam Bergmark Wiberg
  11. 11 Tobias Heintz
  • J. Rasheed
  • A. Erlingmark
  • Felix Eriksson
  • F. Ottosson
  • S. Alioum
  • O. Månsson
  • Tiago
  • Arbnor Mucolli (injury)
  • Gabriel Ersoy (Muscular injury)

Medium confidence

Gent set up in a compact 4-4-2 against IFK Göteborg's 4-3-3, a shape that should give the Swedish side more control through the middle. Laszlo Benes will be central to how Gent dictate tempo, while the wide channels become a key battleground given both formations prioritise width.

Both lineups carry probable status from the same source, so confidence levels are broadly even. Göteborg's three-man midfield, anchored by Kolbeinn Thordarson and Sam Larsson, will need to manage the transition phases carefully against a Gent side that can hurt opponents quickly on the counter through Josue Vergara.

Final thoughts on the predictions for Gent vs IFK Göteborg

Gent's five consecutive clean sheets, home advantage, and a 1-0 aggregate cushion make this a fortress the Swedish side will struggle to breach. IFK Göteborg's away form offers little encouragement, with recent results highlighting their inconsistency under Joachim Bjorklund. The double chance 1X at 1.40 represents the smartest play here, covering both a Gent victory and a draw that would still see the Belgians progress. Odds correct at time of publication.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the main prediction for Gent vs IFK Göteborg?

The pick is Gent or Draw (1X), backed at 1.40 for the home-win leg of that coverage, with 72% confidence. Gent's five consecutive clean sheets against a Göteborg side that has conceded 19 goals in their last 10 matches is the single most decisive factor here.

What is the highest odd for Gent to win?

The best home-win price is available at 1.40. For bettors who prefer safer coverage, a double chance backing Gent or the Draw removes the unlikely but non-zero risk of a draw, wrapping both favourable outcomes into one position without needing a separate token.

Will there be more or less than 2.5 goals in this match?

Under 2.5 goals is the lean here, backed at 2.04. Gent have kept five straight clean sheets, and Göteborg have managed a meagre attacking return across their recent fixtures. With Gent defending a lead and Gabriel Ersoy ruled out through injury, a low-scoring affair looks the most probable outcome.

When and where is Gent vs IFK Göteborg played?

The match kicks off at 18:30 UTC on 13 August 2026, which is midnight IST. The venue is the Planet Group Arena in Ghent, Belgium, where Gent have already kept three of their five recent clean sheets.

Can IFK Göteborg pull off an upset against Gent?

It is a tall order. Göteborg must win by two or more goals, yet they have lost four of their last ten away matches and conceded 19 goals in that span. The 6.25 reflects just how steep the climb is. With key attacker Ersoy injured and Gent's defensive record so strong, a comeback is possible but genuinely unlikely.

Which alternative market offers the best value?

Both Teams to Score: No at 1.82 stands out as the sharpest alternative. Gent's five consecutive clean sheets and Göteborg's depleted attack, worsened by Ersoy's absence, make it highly plausible that the hosts keep another clean sheet, giving this market strong underlying value beyond the main result bet.

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