Image Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

Milwaukee Bucks Playoff Picture: What are the Milwaukee Bucks’ chances for making it to the playoff?

Are Milwaukee Bucks lock for a playoff spot? Let's find out.

Image Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

The NBA regular season nears it’s end, with teams battling for home-court advantage in the playoffs. Two teams in the East and one in the West have already booked their seats for the playoffs.

In Milwaukee, the Bucks are in a three-way battle in the Eastern Conference for the fourth-seed. The Indiana Pacers (38-29), Milwaukee Bucks, (38-30) and the Detroit Pistons (38-31) all battle for home-advantage in the playoffs. Let’s look at the Milwaukee Bucks playoff picture.

What are the Milwaukee Bucks’ chances for making it to the playoff?

With the top-two seeds untouchable, the Bucks battle it out for the third and fourth-seed. However, the Bucks are 5.5 games behind the Knicks, even after playing a game more than them.

The Milwaukee Bucks (38-30) currently sit fifth in the East, and are 99.9% guaranteed to make the playoffs, according to Basketball Reference. They carry a healthy 5.5 game advantage over the Hawks (33-36). A 99.3 % chance to finish as the top-six seed, 0.4% as the seventh-seed and 0.2% as the eighth-seed. Here is the full breakdown of Milwaukee Bucks’ playoff seed chances:

Playoff Seed	Percentage
2	0.0
3	0.2
4	44.2
5	36.8
6	18.1
7	0.4
8	0.2

Source: Basketball Reference. Data up to the Golden State Warriors game

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The Bucks finishing fourth or fifth gives them a favorable matchup against the Indiana Pacers in the first-round of the playoffs. The Bucks will also have a chance to avenge the 2024 first-round playoff loss against the Pacers. In the regular season head-to-head, the Bucks won 3-1 in the 2024-25 season against the Pacers. Only loss being in the last second where Haliburton made a magical four-point play.

In the second-round, the Bucks might face the number one seed, the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavs have swept the Bucks 4-0 in the season head-to-head games. The Bucks will be itching to get a revenge on the Cavs.

Milwaukee Bucks

NBA 2024-25

Suryansh Kumar

NBA/WNBA Writer

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Hello, my name is Suryansh, and I write NBA/WNBA content for ThePlayoffs. I love sports, which is why I write and I love the NBA because of the stats. My aim is to find unique stats and perspectives to provide my readers with another angle on sports.