Are Milwaukee Bucks lock for a playoff spot? Let's find out.
The NBA regular season nears it’s end, with teams battling for home-court advantage in the playoffs. Two teams in the East and one in the West have already booked their seats for the playoffs.
In Milwaukee, the Bucks are in a three-way battle in the Eastern Conference for the fourth-seed. The Indiana Pacers (38-29), Milwaukee Bucks, (38-30) and the Detroit Pistons (38-31) all battle for home-advantage in the playoffs. Let’s look at the Milwaukee Bucks playoff picture.
With the top-two seeds untouchable, the Bucks battle it out for the third and fourth-seed. However, the Bucks are 5.5 games behind the Knicks, even after playing a game more than them.
The Milwaukee Bucks (38-30) currently sit fifth in the East, and are 99.9% guaranteed to make the playoffs, according to Basketball Reference. They carry a healthy 5.5 game advantage over the Hawks (33-36). A 99.3 % chance to finish as the top-six seed, 0.4% as the seventh-seed and 0.2% as the eighth-seed. Here is the full breakdown of Milwaukee Bucks’ playoff seed chances:
| Playoff Seed | Percentage |
| 2 | 0.0 |
| 3 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 44.2 |
| 5 | 36.8 |
| 6 | 18.1 |
| 7 | 0.4 |
| 8 | 0.2 |
The Bucks finishing fourth or fifth gives them a favorable matchup against the Indiana Pacers in the first-round of the playoffs. The Bucks will also have a chance to avenge the 2024 first-round playoff loss against the Pacers. In the regular season head-to-head, the Bucks won 3-1 in the 2024-25 season against the Pacers. Only loss being in the last second where Haliburton made a magical four-point play.
In the second-round, the Bucks might face the number one seed, the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavs have swept the Bucks 4-0 in the season head-to-head games. The Bucks will be itching to get a revenge on the Cavs.
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