{"id":1493601,"date":"2025-06-06T12:21:00","date_gmt":"2025-06-06T10:21:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/fr\/uncategorized\/\/"},"modified":"2025-06-06T12:21:06","modified_gmt":"2025-06-06T10:21:06","slug":"carlos-alcaraz-lorenzo-musetti-pronostic-cotes-demi-finale-roland-garros-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theplayoffs.news\/fr\/prono-tennis\/carlos-alcaraz-lorenzo-musetti-pronostic-cotes-demi-finale-roland-garros-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti : face-\u00e0-face, aper\u00e7u, pronostic et cotes pour la demi-finale de Roland-Garros 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"

Le retour de Carlos Alcaraz, ancien numéro 1 mondial, dans le dernier carré de Roland-Garros 2025 promet une demi-finale intense face à Lorenzo Musetti, tête de série numéro 8. <\/p>

L’Italien, classé 7e mondial, réalise le meilleur tournoi de sa carrière à Paris, tandis qu’Alcaraz, quadruple vainqueur en Grand Chelem, défend son titre sur la terre battue parisienne.<\/p>

Parcours vers les demi-finales<\/strong><\/h2>

Alcaraz a démarré sa campagne avec une victoire maîtrisée contre Giulio Zeppieri, avant de se défaire en quatre manches successives de Fabian Marozsan, Damir Dzumhur et Ben Shelton (13e tête de série). En quarts, il a écarté Tommy Paul en trois sets secs.<\/p>

De son côté, Musetti a survolé les deux premiers tours face au qualifié Yannick Hanfmann et au lucky loser Daniel Elahi Galan. Il a ensuite élevé son niveau pour s’imposer en quatre sets contre Mariano Navone, Holger Rune (10e) et Frances Tiafoe, dans un quart de finale physiquement éprouvant.<\/p>

Aperçu du match : Alcaraz vs Musetti<\/strong><\/h2>

Carlos Alcaraz a brillé en 2025 avec des titres à Rotterdam, Monte-Carlo et Rome, et de belles performances à Melbourne, Doha, Indian Wells et Barcelone. Seule ombre au tableau : son forfait à Madrid sur blessure. Côté stats, il affiche 133 aces, 71 % de points gagnés sur sa première balle, et un taux de conversion de balles de break de 45 % (sur 323 occasions).<\/p>

Musetti, perturbé par des blessures cette saison (forfaits à Rio et Barcelone), a toutefois trouvé du rythme avec des quarts à Hong Kong et Buenos Aires, une finale à Monte-Carlo, et des demi-finales à Madrid et Rome. Il cumule un bilan de 20 victoires pour 7 défaites, avec 81 aces, 69 % de points gagnés sur première balle et 38 % de balles de break converties.<\/p>

Face-à-face : Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti<\/strong><\/h2>

Avantage net pour Alcaraz, qui mène 5-1. Musetti l’avait battu en finale de Hambourg 2022 en trois sets, mais depuis, l’Espagnol a enchaîné cinq victoires, dont deux en 2025 : à Monte-Carlo (3-6, 6-1, 6-0) et à Rome (6-3, 7-6).<\/p>

Historique des confrontations :<\/strong><\/h3>
Année<\/strong><\/th>Tournoi<\/strong><\/th>Tour<\/strong><\/th>Vainqueur<\/strong><\/th>Score<\/strong><\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
2025<\/td>Rome<\/td>Demi-finale<\/td>Alcaraz<\/td>6–3, 7–6(4)<\/td><\/tr>
2025<\/td>Monte-Carlo<\/td>Finale<\/td>Alcaraz<\/td>3–6, 6–1, 6–0<\/td><\/tr>
2024<\/td>Miami<\/td>1\/8e<\/td>Alcaraz<\/td>6–3, 6–3<\/td><\/tr>
2023<\/td>Pékin<\/td>1\/8e<\/td>Alcaraz<\/td>6–2, 6–2<\/td><\/tr>
2023<\/td>Roland-Garros<\/td>1\/8e<\/td>Alcaraz<\/td>6–3, 6–2, 6–2<\/td><\/tr>
2022<\/td>Hambourg<\/td>Finale<\/td>Musetti<\/td>6–4, 6–7(6), 6–4<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>

Comparaison des deux joueurs :<\/strong><\/h3>
Joueur<\/strong><\/th>Classement<\/strong><\/th>Bilan carrière<\/strong><\/th>Bilan 2025<\/strong><\/th>Titres en carrière<\/strong><\/th>Grands Chelems<\/strong><\/th>Titres en 2025<\/strong><\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Alcaraz<\/td>2<\/td>239-61<\/td>30-5<\/td>19<\/td>4<\/td>3<\/td><\/tr>
Musetti<\/td>7<\/td>152-118<\/td>20-7<\/td>2<\/td>0<\/td>0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>

Pronostic :<\/strong><\/h2>

Lorenzo Musetti montre de belles choses sur terre battue cette saison. Mais face à un Carlos Alcaraz en pleine confiance et fort de cinq victoires consécutives contre lui, l’Italien semble en difficulté. L’Espagnol est favori logique.<\/p>

Pronostic : Carlos Alcaraz en trois sets à 1.79 chez Parions Sport<\/a><\/strong><\/p>

Cotes pour la demi-finale Roland-Garros 2025 entre Lorenzo Musetti et Carlos Alcaraz:<\/strong><\/h2>
Résultat<\/th>Cotes<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Lorenzo Musetti remporte le match<\/td>6.50<\/a><\/strong><\/td><\/tr>
Carlos Alcaraz remporte le match<\/td>1.13<\/a><\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>

<\/p>

Credit Photo: Susan Mullane-Imagn Images<\/em><\/p>

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